Munki's Asian Bets

[munkimafia]

I've lurked on here for a while so thought it about time to stick my head above the parapet and suffer some public humiliation.

I am using a commercially available bit of software to generate ratings and will be betting when I perceive I am getting significant value.

The bets will probably all be asian handicap bets although there may be the odd over/under bet as well.

I will concentrate on leagues which have been profitable for me in the past..

I am going to run two banks simultaneously. The first will be a straight level stakes method and the second will be much more speculative affair where I will raise and lower stakes depending on how much value I think I am getting.The level stake bank will start at 100 units and the variable stake bank will start at 500 units.

I have had a bit of success with this lately so there is nothing surer than it will go totally tits up now.

Bet #1

Belgium Jupiler League 07/04/07

Bergen Mons (-0.75) vs Lierse SK
Bank 1 (Level Stakes ) 1pt @ 1.96 (Canbet)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 18pts @ 1.96 (Canbet)


Bet #2

Bulgaria A PFG

CSKA Sofia (+0.25) vs Levski Sofia
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 1.79 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 19pts @ 1.79 (Pinnacle)


Bet #3

Bulgaria A PFG

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (+0.5) vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 1.91 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 16Pts @1.91 (Pinnacle)

Bet #4

Welsh Premier League 07/04/07

Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth (+0.5)
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 2.15 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 19pts @ 2.15 (Pinnacle)


Bet #5

Welsh Premier League 07/04/07

Cefin Druids vs Haverfordwest (+0)
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 1.98 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 23pts @ 1.98 (Pinnacle)

[Grga]

Welcome to TDP.
Good luck mate.

[munkimafia]

Originally Posted by Grga

Welcome to TDP.
Good luck mate.

Cheers GRGA.

Disasterous start as predicted with 4 losers and one drawn bet
No bets today

[Grga]

Originally Posted by munkimafia

Cheers GRGA.

Disasterous start as predicted with 4 losers and one drawn bet
No bets today

Don't worry mate.That is the curse of posting your picks online.We all had that.
Keep those picks coming.

[munkimafia]

Bank 1 Level Stakes 96pts (-4)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 428pts (-72)

Just one for today

Bet #6

Wales Premier League

Cwmbran vs TNS (-2)
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 2.06 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 24pts @ 2.06 (Pinnacle)

[munkimafia]

Well I finally got a winner with TNS winning 5-0.
I will update the banks later.

One more for today so far .

Bet #7

Singapore S-League

Woodlands (+1) vs Home Utd
Bank 1 (Level Stakes) 1pt @ 1.93 Betinternet
Bank 2 (Variable Stakes) 33pts @ 1.93 Betinternet

[munkimafia]

Another winner today with Woodlands winning 3-2

The banks currently stand as follows

7 bets have resulted in 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses.


Bank 1 Level Stakes

Stakes 7 Pts
Return 4.99 Pts
Profit/Loss (-2.01)


Bank 2 Variable Stakes

Stakes 152 Pts
Return 136.13 Pts
Profit/Loss (-15.87)

[munkimafia]

Bet #8 Wales Premier League 13/04/07

Cefn Druids vs Welshpool (-0.25)
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.95 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 14pts @ 1.95 (Pinnacle)


Bet #9 Holland Eredivisie 14/04/07

PSV (-0.75) vs FC Twente
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.90 Bet365
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 14pts @ 1.90 Bet365


Bet #10 Ukraine Premier League 14/04/07

Tavriya (+1.25) vs Shaktar
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 2.08 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 18pts @ 2.08 (Pinnacle)


Probably a few more to follow for tomorrow once there are more prices available.

[munkimafia]

Originally Posted by munkimafia

Bet #8 Wales Premier League 13/04/07

Cefn Druids vs Welshpool (-0.25)
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.95 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 14pts @ 1.95 (Pinnacle)

Welshpool win 3-1

Nearly back to where I started from before last Saturday's awful start.

[munkimafia]

Bet #11 Wales Premier League 14/04/07

Connahs Quay vs Llanelli (+0)
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.94 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 21pts @ 1.94 (Pinnacle)

[munkimafia]

Bet #12 Bulgaria A PFG 14/04/07

Lokomotiv Sofia (-0.25) vs Litex
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.83 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 17pts @ 1.83 Pinnacle

[munkimafia]

Bet #13 Bulgaria A PFG 14/04/07

Slavia Sofia (+0.75) vs CSKA Sofia
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.99 (Pinnacle)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 13pts @ 1.99 (Pinnacle)

[munkimafia]

Bet #14 Singapore S League 14/04/07

Geylang Utd vs Armed Forces (-1)
Bank 1 Level Stakes 1pt @ 1.95 (VC Bet)
Bank 2 Variable Stakes 33pts @ 1.95 (VC Bet)

[munkimafia]

Good day so far.

Bet #10 Ukraine Premier League 14/04/07
Tavriya (+1.25) vs Shaktar
Result 1-3

Bet #11 Wales Premier League 14/04/07
Connahs Quay vs Llanelli (+0)
Result 0-1

Bet #12 Bulgaria A PFG 14/04/07
Lokomotiv Sofia (-0.25) vs Litex
Result 1-0

Bet #13 Bulgaria A PFG 14/04/07
Slavia Sofia (+0.75) vs CSKA Sofia
Result 0-1 (half stake loss)

Bet #14 Singapore S League 14/04/07
Geylang Utd vs Armed Forces (-1)
Result 0-2

PSV still to go tonight.

Banks currently stand as follows

Bank 1 Level Stakes
Stakes 13 Pts
Returns 13.16 Pts
Profit/Loss + 0.16
ROI +1.23%

Bank 2 Variable Stakes
Stakes 268
Returns 306.13
Profit/Loss +38.13
ROI +14.23

[munkimafia]

Another winner to finish the day off with PSV winning 2-0

Bank 1 Level Stakes
Stakes 14 Pts
Returns 15.06 Pts
Profit/Loss + 1.06
ROI +7.57%

Bank 2 Variable Stakes
Stakes 282
Returns 332.73
Profit/Loss +50.73
ROI +17.99

14 bets
6 losers
1 drawn
7 winners