I wouldn't normally count an even money favorite as "swimming against the tide" but as I've trawled through the Premiership thread and nobody fancies their chances, I'm including it.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not confident but sooner or later Villa have got to turn the corner and I just can't see the baggies winning there today and as Villa are 11/10 on
betfair, I'll stick 40 of the bank's points on them to win.
A few comments from the prem thread and I'll repeat that I'm not saying that any of these points aren't valid, I'm really just putting them up to back up the point that this bet is a valid SATT (swimming against the tide) bet.
Quotes
I've always shaded the Albion above the Blues for getting out tbh, as theyre only where they expected to be all along so their morale gets less damaged, as it were.... the same applies to Villa as per the same argument for the Blues, & I really think we're in trouble here.
If all the players Broms mentions are out, Villa are unbackable, simple as
Theyre in freefall & theres subplots around the place, as in DOLs war with the 'Evening Mail'....& none of it helps.
I dont see Villa winning here, & I might have a small punt on 1-1 again......but I fear for Villa here. The advantage is that being a sunday game, Birmingham may already have lost meaning a point isnt a disaster for either side....but if Blues win at Wigan I can see Albion throwing the kitchen sink & 'weak' Villa folding under the pressure.
and
WBA to score a surprise UPset over Villa. But a scored draw is also possible. They were not Sharp and missed many clear chances in their previous games
and
Villa's defence is still looking very dodgy. Cahill and Ridgewell at the heart of things. Barry also missing from the midfield won't help either.
The Baggies have two big players back in their ranks. Gera is class by West Brom's standards and Quashie should also be a reason for improvement.
I think West Brom are worth a modest punt at 3.75.
