Kop in the Conference

[Kop66]

I’ve backed Grays again, 5/6 @ Betfred. They are in good form and they’re at home to league newcomers Histon.
Histon have struggled and are yet to win, drawing two and losing two, a home loss to Aldershot on Friday night must be knocking at confidence and after having 2 decent away efforts I can see their form dipping on their travels too now. Grays are going for their third straight win, they are unbeaten in four and they are creating quite a few chances in front of goal.

(015) Grays 12.00 @ 5/6 Betfred

[Kop66]

I've just added Woking before kick off. Away at Salisbury who are unbeaten (as are Woking). I just think 23/10 offered by Bet365 might be a bit of value. To play a bit safer though i've split the bet and also taken them +1 @ 8/11

(016) Woking+1, 2.50 @ 8/11 - Woking 1.50 @ 23/10 Bet365

[Kop66]

August

W7/L9
Staked 80.00
Returned 80.70
+0.70
Yield 0.87

Best pick
(012) Cambridge Utd 12.00 @ 4/5 Bet365 (W 5-1)

Worst pick
(007)Kidderminster 4.00 @ 12/5 Sportingodds (L 5-1)

Bets 15 and 16 cost me

I'll give it another month.

[Kop66]

Blue Square Premier

There’s a few I’ve picked out but I’ve not got that much to say on any of them, I just like betting a lot in this league and there seem to be some decent prices about this week as it appears that hard to call (with the exception of Torquay and Oxford).

I’ll start with the homes, Kiddie Harriers I just have a hunch for against Exeter, their attacking style hasn’t worked that well for them so far but I think they are due one at home (I don’t think they’ve won there since March)? I also think Exeter’s league position is flattering them a bit and that they are due a loss. Betfred are going 7/4 for the home here, Better and Betdirect have already clipped them in a fraction to 13/8 while several others are as short as 11/8

Crawley Town are just about my biggest bogie team and I’m a little surprised by a few of their results lately but with Guy Madjo and Magno Vieira upfront they cant be ruled out of a third consecutive home win against Burton Albion.

Of the aways I know Ebbsfleet are a decent team at home but I’m chancing Sportingbets odds of 17/10 on Stevenage to sneak a close away win, they are in form and are as short as 5/4 with a few of the others including Ladbrokes.

I’ve taken Grays 6/4 one more time at Droylsden who really are struggling .

Salisbury have started really well, I’ve been quite impressed by their results, they go to Histon who just pipped them to the title last year. Histon got a decent result last week at Grays but I still cant see why there are odds of 15/8 available on the away here, a big price for a team that is unbeaten and wanting a little revenge.

5 rather suspect picks this week but any two winners does guarantee at very least my stake money back.


(017) Kiddie Harriers 4.00 @ 7/4 Betfred
(018) Crawley 4.00 @ 6/4 Betdirect
(019) Stevenage 4.00 @ 17/10 Sportingbet
(020) Grays 4.00 @ 6/4 Betfred
(021) Salisbury 4.00 @ 15/8 Betdirect

20.00 Staked

[Kop66]

(017) Kiddie Harriers 4.00 @ 7/4 Betfred
(018) Crawley 4.00 @ 6/4 Betdirect
(019) Stevenage 4.00 @ 17/10 Sportingbet
(020) Grays 4.00 @ 6/4 Betfred
(021) Salisbury 4.00 @ 15/8 Betdirect

20.00 Staked
31.80 Returned
+11.80

Overall
W10/L11
Staked 100.00
Returned 112.50

[Kop66]

Right then right then, i've had another look in the BSP and there's a couple i'm quite hopeful with. Kiddie Harriers didnt let me down at the weekend, taking care of Exeter by a comfortable 4 goals to nil, previous to that they beat R+D on their travels 0-1 so they seem to have made adjustments to the way they were leaking goals. Farsley havent been doing so bad against lesser clubs but i think they are going to find it tough against an inform Kiddie team. Harriers were 7/4 but there's still some 6/4 about and i'm on with Ladbrokes.

Halifax travel to Stafford on Thursday night and with all the survival and take over talk i think Halifax are going to be giving as good as they get here, Stafford with just 1pt from the opening 6 games will be looking to improve on that but Halifax have showed a little improved form over the last two games beating Droylsden 3-0 and then getting a good draw at Oxford, i think they have enough upfront to take all 3 points here and 13/8 looks a reasonable price.

I'm optimistic about getting one of these results up and that's the reason for the higher staking.

(022) Kiddie Harriers 12.00 @ 6/4 Ladbrokes
(023) Halifax 12.00 @ 13/8 Betdirect

24.00 Staked

[Kop66]

Halifax have been shortened by all firms near enough.

I've just added Andy Cambell as 1st scorer

(024) Andy Cambell 2.00 e.w. 1st Scorer @ 6/1 Betdirect

(each way 1/3, 1-2-3-4)

4.00 staked

[Kop66]

(022) Kiddie Harriers 12.00 @ 6/4 Ladbrokes
(023) Halifax 12.00 @ 13/8 Betdirect
(024) Andy Cambell 2.00 e.w. 1st Scorer @ 6/1 Betdirect

28.00 Staked
32.50 Returned


Overall
W11/L13
Staked 128.00
Returned 145.00
+17.00

[Kop66]

Blue Square Premier

With the bookies not tempting me on the 1X2 I’ve looked for a different market this weekend, so for one weekend only I’m going to chance some generous prices in the Goalscorer markets.

Brief stats…
Scot Rendall has scored in each of Cambridge Uniteds last 3 games
Russel Penn has scored in each of Kidderminster Harriers last 3 games
Craig Dobson has scored in each of Stevenage’s last 2 games

(025) Rendall 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 9/1, anytime 2.00 @ 3/1
(026) Penn 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 12/1, anytime 2.00 @ 4/1
(027) Dobson 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 18/1, anytime 2.00 @ 6/1

12.00 staked @ Bet365

[Kop66]

I think thats a good call for an even money bet ScorpioRed, tote sport are as short as 1.73. Farsley dont travel too well either.

I've just joined you on this one

(028) Histon 4.00 @ Evs V.C

[Kop66]

I’m up for a small bet on Halifax again, they have found a little form of late…..

Stafford Rangers 2-3 Halifax
Oxford Utd 1-1 Halifax
Halifax 3-0 Droylsden

Off the pitch they have just been given a 28 day reprieve from a winding up order and could possibly be in the hands of new owners within the next 24 days. One possibility is being bought out by MyFootballClub which could mean they’d have 50,000 new supporters on board straight away.. BBC SPORT | Football | My Club | Halifax Town | Fans' website could save Halifax

Basically they all seem up for the fight on and off the pitch and it could be a period to follow them.

Opponents Woking have played ok and picked up some decent points on their travels but they are finding wins hard to come by lately having drawn 3 and lost 1 in their last four games and after two 1-1 draws latest I get the feeling a win or a loss is up next with the loss looking the more likely.

(029) Halifax 4.00 @ 11/10 Stan James

[Kop66]

(025) Rendall 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 9/1, anytime 2.00 @ 3/1
(026) Penn 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 12/1, anytime 2.00 @ 4/1
(027) Dobson 1st Scorer, 2.00 @ 18/1, anytime 2.00 @ 6/1

Rendall scored the second goal in a 1-1 draw. I checked my account expecting to see a loss for Penn but for some reason bet365 have it as a void bet and returned my stake?
He played according to the BBC but i'll happily take it.

(028) Histon 4.00 @ Evs V.C
(029) Halifax 4.00 @ 11/10 Stan James

Overall
W13/L15 1Void
Staked 148.00
Returned 165.40
+17.40

[Kop66]

I'm with all of what's been mentioned regarding the BSPrem' so far, bottom 4 to lose, Cambridge, Kiddy and Torquay all look like potential winners. I think Burton have a great chance too, but i've been looking for something with odds that have been overlooked
I think the one i might take a closer look though is Rushden at Weymouth, only because i think the price on the away makes it look more of an outsider than what it actually is.

Looking at a few stats...

Weymouth are unbeaten in their last 5

Droylsden 1-3 Weymouth
Weymouth 2-0 Ebbsfleet United
Woking 1-1 Weymouth
Weymouth 2-2 Cambridge Utd
Exeter 0-0 Weymouth

Rushden are unbeaten in in their last 4

Rushden & D'monds 0-0 Burton Albion
Salisbury 1-1 Rushden & D'monds
Rushden & D'monds 1-1 Crawley Town
York 2-3 Rushden & D'monds

Rushden have that FA investigation hanging over them after the brawl at Salisbury but apart from that i think they have a few things in their favour, they were unlucky at Salisbury, only a 90th minute equaliser cost them the win and previous to that on their travels it was a decent 3 points at York.
Gary Hill returns to his old club where he managed last season so he should know a thing or two about what to expect down there, add that to the fact that Curtis Woodhouse is suspended which i see as a positive rather than negative for them.

Here's some news on the game..
From the BBC..

Weymouth welcome back Trevor Challis (hamstring) and Simon Weatherstone.
Striker Stuart Beavon is a doubt with a hamstring injury and Narada Bernard (knee) is out but Sido Jombarti (bruised instep) is fit.

Rushden have no fresh injury concerns and Simon Rusk is set to keep his place in the first team after joining on loan from Northwich.

Striker Michael Malcolm will make his second appearance for the club, while Curtis Woodhouse is suspended.

I think Beavon would be a bit of a loss for them if he were to miss the game.

From the Dorset Echo..

Match preview
By Mark Golsby

Rushden & Diamonds head to the Wessex on Tuesday evening for what promises to be an intriguing match.

Ex Terras boss Garry Hill would have been hoping to return to the Wessex in happier circumstances than those he currently finds himself in. The much publicised events that followed Rushden’s match at Salisbury and the subsequent FA investigation can not be helping a side that have only won once in there last seven outings and are currently 19th in the league.

Rushden’s most recent result was a 0-0 draw at home to Burton a result that Garry Hill described as a tough test of their character against a team in the top four in the league, and that had the chances been taken his side would have won the game. He was also pleased with the consistency in the last four games, and the work rate over the 90 minutes.

Jason Tindall is having a much happier time of things of late with his Terras side steadily climbing the table having gone five unbeaten and gaining maximum points from their last two matches. The Terras most recent result being their first away win, a convincing 3-1 over league new boys Droylsden.

The bookies view the Terras as firm favourites for the first time this season with Betfair going as far as making the home side odds on.

When We Last Met Rushden & Diamonds
A 4-1 defeat at Nene Park with The Terras only goal coming from Nick Crittenden.

It could go to any of the 3 outcomes but as i'm in profit and i've just talked myself into it i'll risk a small stake on the favourable odds.

(030) Rushden 2.00 @ 9/4, Rushden 2.00 @ 13/8 DNB, Stan James

[Kop66]

(030) Rushden 2.00 @ 9/4, Rushden 2.00 @ 13/8 DNB, Stan James

Rushden win 1-2
Staked 4.00
Returned 11.75

Overall
W14/L15/V1
Staked 152.00
Returned 177.15
+25.15

[Kop66]

Blue Square Premier

I like the look of Burton too, Skybet go 11/10 for the away here but all others are odds on to date, you’d expect them to beat Droylsden.
Daryl Clare made his come back from a few games off at the weekend and scored both the goals in a 2-0 win at home to Woking, (though Woking were down to 10 men after 15 mins.) I think Clare might be on the score sheet again here, he’ll also take any Burton penalty should they get one.

Another player I’ve taken as a first goalscorer is Craig Dobson of Stevenage, who are away to Forest Green. Dobson has scored in 3 of Boro’s last 6 games including two on the road, with a 50% scoring rate in those 6 games odds of 22/1 are worth a bet for me especially as e.w works out at over 7/1.

I said just last week I tend not to get involved with teams starting -1 but I couldn’t resist Torquay-1 at home to Weymouth with odds of 11/8.
Weymouth have hit rock bottom in their last two games, they had been on a decent run but successive home losses, first to a late goal from Rushden and then a 1-3 loss to lowly Stafford Rangers on Saturday must have knocked confidence and they certainly wont be looking forward to going to Torquay.
Torquay have bounced back in fine style since getting beat at Burton by winning 3 on the trot and scoring 13 in the process.
As I say I don’t like these -1 bets but if ever there was a case then it could be this one and the odds look big enough for it.

(031) Daryl Clare 1st goalscorer 2.00 e.w @ 11/2 Bet365
(032) Craig Dobson 1st goalscorer 2.00 e.w @ 22/1 Bet365
(033) Torquay-1 4.00 @ 11/8 Blue Square

12.00 staked

Good Luck all