Dave's Brilliant Record 25/7/06 - 24/7/07

[mrmuzeman]

Kiko's influence causes a losing bet.

[Hippy Dave]

Andy Murray vs. Robbie Ginepri : Murray to win 10pts @ 1.57 (Skybet, Blue Square, others)
Murray's form is a different level to Ginepri's at the moment, with or without that win over Federer. 1-0 H2H Murray, and Ginepri losing to some oridnary players in this US hardcourt season.

[Hippy Dave]

Fcuk knows how, as he looked as though he could hardly stand at the end, but Murray wins in 3 sets. Better player in set 1 (7-6), looked unfit in 2nd (2-6) and somehow turned 3rd (6-4) around after being a break down.

Bets : 7
W/L : 4/3
Staked : 58pts
Returned : 84.7pts
Profit = 26.7pts
Yield = 46.03%

[Hippy Dave]

Andy Murray vs. Andy Roddick : Murray to win 5pts @ 2.37 (Paddy Power, Blue Square)
Jumping on the Murray bandwagon again. The bookies seem to have this priced up on 2 factors - reputation and Murray's fitness. If that was all you had to consider, the odds would be fair. However

a) Form
Murray is in brilliant form, as previously documented. His game is on fire, and his confidence is soaring. Roddick has struggled, beating plenty of journeymen, but falling against the better players.

b) Brad Gilbert
Knows Roddick's game inside out, and will surely have a tactical plan worked out for how Murray can beat him.

c) H2H
2-0 to Murray, 5 sets to 0. Clearly has the reuturning game to beat Roddick. His pretty average serve won't be too much of a problem, as Roddick's returning game is pretty average.

d) Fitness
Might have been a problem in an afteroon baseline game, but the cooler temperatures, combined with the large number of short points in games that Roddick plays will not trouble Murray.

[Hippy Dave]

Bets : 8
W/L : 4/4
Staked : 63pts
Returned : 84.7pts
Profit = 21.7pts
Yield = 34.44%