RickJs Handicapping Picks

[rickj]

A great day Tuesday. Phoenix came through in the nhl for a +157 win. Those are always nice. And another close one in the nba but we were on the winning side with under on Golden State.

We have hit a new high in percentage return..now over 11%. I have to remind you that my goal is over 5% in the long haul. But its nice to be increasing total plays with %return increasing also. Thats a very good sign!

Good Luck


15-Nov-06 4:35pm
15-Nov-06 Basketball
Boston Celtics (+2) for Game +100

15-Nov-06 4:05pm
15-Nov-06 Hockey
Money Ottawa Senators +153

15-Nov-06 6:05pm
15-Nov-06 Hockey
Colorado Avalanche for Game +128

Selection 1: NCAA Football
Miami Ohio 15-November-2006 4:30 PM PST
Spread +4 for Game -105

RickJ

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 24-20-1 +4.35
o/u 3-5 -2.28
nfl
Sides 13-3-1 +9.85
o/u 4-3 +.83
nhl
sides 18-16 +3.96
Nba
Side 9-9 -.21
o/u 5-3 +1.94

Total 180 Bets + 20.04 units +11.13% Return

[aliensyndm]

Yeah I found the golden state under play interesting. The line on this opened around 208 and was up to 215.5 at pinnacle just before tip-off quite a large difference. Huge second but low third and then it was touch and go for a while but it came in.

[rickj]

yep...looked like a winner after the 1st quarter...then at the half looked like a loser...fun to watch nba

[rickj]

Friday nba+nhl+all ncaafb plays

Finally a losing day. I was beginning to wonder. Pittsburgh made a fight of it in the first half but really couldnt hang close. So -1 unit yesterday.

Lot of plays tonight.... 2 nhl plays, 2 nba plays, 2 ncaafb plays and then for sat..5 ncaafb plays.

Good Luck!

17-Nov-06 4:35pm
17-Nov-06 Hockey
Money Dallas Stars +107

17-Nov-06 4:35pm
17-Nov-06 Hockey
Money Ottawa Senators +110

17-Nov-06 5:05pm
17-Nov-06 Basketball
Total Washington Wizards/Detroit Pistons (U 201.5) for Game -107

17-Nov-06 5:05pm
17-Nov-06 Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies (+5.5) -110

17-Nov-06 3:00pm
17-Nov-06 Football
Spread Eastern Michigan (+11.5) -110

17-Nov-06 11:00am
18-Nov-06 Football
Memphis (+17) -108

17-Nov-06 11:00am
18-Nov-06 Football
Total Oklahoma State/Texas Tech (U 69.5) for Game -105

17-Nov-06 5:00pm
18-Nov-06 Football
Total California/USC (U 55) for Game -109

17-Nov-06 8:00pm
18-Nov-06 Football
Total San Jose State/Hawaii (U 73) for Game -105

Also remember I previously posted northern Il and northwestern as ncaafb plays.

Good Luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 25-21-1 +4.35
o/u 3-5 -2.28
nfl
Sides 13-3-1 +9.85
o/u 4-3 +.83
nhl
sides 19-17 +4.49
Nba
Side 10-9 +.79
o/u 5-3 +1.94

Total 185 Bets + 21.57 units +11.66% Return

[rickj]

A good day Friday. Split on the nba for -.10 units, Split on nhl for +.07 units, and 2-0 in ncaafb for +2.0 units..so over all a +1.93 day.

A full slate in the nhl but I couldnt find anything there. 3 plays in the nba today. Nfl is tough this Sunday. I have 2 other possibilities but right now they are not plays. And we have 5 ncaa fb plays left for today. So a busy day today.

Good Luck

18-Nov-06 5:35pm
18-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Indiana Pacers (+3.5) +102

18-Nov-06 5:35pm
18-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Memphis Grizzlies (+10.5) -107

18-Nov-06 5:35pm
18-Nov-06 Basketball
Total Memphis Grizzlies/Dallas Mavericks (U 190.5) for Game -106

18-Nov-06 1:15pm
19-Nov-06 Football
Total Indianapolis Colts/Dallas Cowboys (U 49.5) for Game -105

18-Nov-06 10:00am
19-Nov-06 Football
Total Cincinnati Bengals/New Orleans Saints (U 51) for Game +100

18-Nov-06 1:05pm
19-Nov-06 Football
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) for Game +105

Ncaa football plays posted prevously are as follows:


13-Nov-06 10:00am
18-Nov-06 Football
Northwestern (+2.5) for Game +104

17-Nov-06 11:00am
18-Nov-06 Football
Memphis (+17) for Game -108

17-Nov-06 11:00am
18-Nov-06 Football
Total Oklahoma State/Texas Tech (U 69.5) for Game -105

17-Nov-06 5:00pm
18-Nov-06 Football
Total California/USC (U 55) for Game -109

17-Nov-06 8:00pm
18-Nov-06 Football
Total San Jose State/Hawaii (U 73) for Game -105

Good Luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 27-21-1 +6.35
o/u 3-5 -2.28
nfl
Sides 13-3-1 +9.85
o/u 4-3 +.83
nhl
sides 20-18 +4.56
Nba
Side 10-10 -.31
o/u 6-3 +2.94

Total 191 Bets + 23.54 units +12.32% Return

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Good stuff Rick and good luck with your picks

Appreciate you moving them all into a thread here now too. Cheers.

[rickj]

I am still in shock. An 8-0 day. 5-0 in ncaafb and all were easy wins. 3-0 in nba also easy wins. Scary!

This morning I looked over the nfl again and would really have to stretch to find any more plays so the 3 below that were previously posted are it. 1 nba play and 1 nhl play today also. So 5 plays in all. We are at the 200 play mark and over 15% return. Thats pretty scary also considering if the lines were close to even each way it would be very tough to get this type of return.

My method of uncovering inefficiencies in the lines seems to be working well so far and works in all sports!

Good luck today


18-Nov-06 6:05pm
19-Nov-06 Basketball
Sacramento Kings (+2.5) for Game +102

18-Nov-06 7:05pm
19-Nov-06 Hockey
Money Chicago Blackhawks +184

Previously posted nfl plays:

18-Nov-06 1:15pm
19-Nov-06 Football
Total Indianapolis Colts/Dallas Cowboys (U 49.5) for Game -105 210.00 200.00


18-Nov-06 10:00am
19-Nov-06 Football
Total Cincinnati Bengals/New Orleans Saints (U 51) for Game +100 200.00 200.00

18-Nov-06 1:05pm
19-Nov-06 Football
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) for Game +105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 13-3-1 +9.85
o/u 4-3 +.83
nhl
sides 20-18 +4.56
Nba
Side 12-10 +1.71
o/u 7-3 +3.94

Total 199 Bets + 31.60 units +15.88% Return

[rickj]

Monday nba + nhl plays

Here they are. I actually thought there would be a few more based upon the overnight lines but it didnt pan out.

A good day yesterday. 3-0 in the nfl, but we lost our nhl play and nba play for +1.05 units.

Good Luck!

20-Nov-06 4:35pm
20-Nov-06 Hockey
Money New York Islanders +135

20-Nov-06 5:05pm
20-Nov-06 Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies (+3.5) -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 20-19 +3.56
Nba
Side 12-11 +.71
o/u 7-3 +3.94

Total 204 Bets + 32.65 units +16.00% Return

[aliensyndm]

I thought Sacremento Kings might have turned the spurs over as well. I had them +3. Sacremento are certainly beefcake at home. I recall them going 12-3 up in the second quarter and then spurs took a timeout. Then through a series of turnovers late on in the quarter they actually went in behind at halftime, crazy stuff and bad psychologically I think. All went pear-shaped from then on 8-0 though man can't argue with that eh ? Enjoy it cos one day you'll be 0-8 Just part of sports betting !

[rickj]

A 1-1 day yesterday for breakeven. Memphis came through in the final quarter and won big as a dog. Islanders really were never in the game. But were within 1 goal late.

No nhl plays tonight. 1 nba play. 3 early ncaafb plays.

Good Luck


20-Nov-06 5:35pm
21-Nov-06 Basketball
Total Washington Wizards/Dallas Mavericks (U 205.5) -105

21-Nov-06 9:00am
24-Nov-06 Football
Miami Ohio (+3) -107

21-Nov-06 5:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Notre Dame/USC (U 57) for Game -111

21-Nov-06 1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Nevada (+2.5) -102

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 20-20 +2.56
Nba
Side 13-11 +1.71
o/u 7-3 +3.94

Total 206 Bets + 32.65 units +15.85% Return

[rickj]

A good day yesterday. Dallas under 205 was a winner by almost 20 pts! That brings us to our highest percentage gain yet. 16.26% on 207 bets.

Things have been great..but let me discuss a second about draw down..or variance. Being a poker player it is generally accepted that your bankroll should be at least 300 big bets. Or if your playing 100-200 holdem ..60,000 to play day in and day out. The reason assuming you have a positive expectation in the game is variance or what some people call "running bad".

The same is true for sports betting. Even if you have a positive expectation variance will still require certain bankroll requirements.

So far we have had almost 0 draw down..everything has been pretty much straight up. But reality what it is dont get carried away with this and be conservative, expect ..anticipate a draw down and be prepared.

Good Luck!

22-Nov-06 Hockey
Colorado Avalanche for Game +106

22-Nov-06 Hockey
Phoenix Coyotes for Game +155

22-Nov-06 Basketball
Toronto Raptors (+3) for Game -110

22-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Miami Heat (+10) -105

22-Nov-06 9:30am
23-Nov-06 Football
Detroit Lions (+2.5) +105

26-Nov-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+3) -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 20-20 +2.56
Nba
Side 13-11 +1.71
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 207 Bets + 33.65 units +16.26% Return

[rickj]

A good day yesterday. 1-1 in nba and 2-0 in nhl . Colorado came through for +106 and phoenix for +1.55!!

Only 1 nhl game today and nothing there. No nba and nothing in the other two nfl games. So a light day..for
a change. But Friday a full slate of nba and nhl. So will be working on that later.

These are more plays for this weekend. And today only have detroit +2.5 as previously posted.

Also another new high in % return. Now over 17 % on all plays!!

Good Luck!

4:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Louisville/Pittsburgh U (U 59) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Carolina/Clemson (U 46.5) -105

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Boise State/Nevada (U 57.5) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Spread UAB (+2.5) +106

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 14-12 +1.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 211 Bets + 36.21units +17.16% Return

[rickj]

Detroit it seemed never had a chance yesterday in the nfl. A full slate in nhl and nba but I could only find two plays that look good.

Also remember we have m/o tonight.

Good Luck

5:05pm
24-Nov-06 Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies (+2) for Game -107

4:35pm
24-Nov-06 Basketball
Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5) -108

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 14-12 +1.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 212 Bets + 35.21units +16.61% Return

[rickj]

A good day Friday. Although we lost miami ohio. Both memphis and philadelphia won by 15 as dogs in the nba.

A lot of plays saturday. Will be an interesting day.

Good Luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

5:05pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Minnesota Timberwolves (+4) -105

5:35pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Memphis Grizzlies (+10.5 -110


6:05pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Boston Celtics (+6) +102

7:35pm
25-Nov-06 Hockey
Los Angeles Kings +169

8:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Purdue/Hawaii (U 74) +102

12:30pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total BYU/Utah (U 55) -109

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Florida/West Virginia (U 54) -104

Previously posted ncaa fb plays for sat

4:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Louisville/Pittsburgh U (U 59) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Carolina/Clemson (U 46.5) -105

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Boise State/Nevada (U 57.5) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Spread UAB (+2.5) +106

5:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Notre Dame/USC (U 57) for Game -111

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Nevada (+2.5) -102

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-22-1 +7.32
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 16-12 +3.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 215 Bets + 36.14units +16.81% Return

[rickj]

Sat looked a lot worse then it was. We had 13 plays 9 of the plays were ncaa fb. And of those 9 we went 2-7. I put in a 12 hour day at the 40-80 mixed game at the Bellagio and had the misfortune of having to watch every ncaa fb game But then when I checked the nba and nhl we swept all four of those with la a +169 win in the nhl!
So it turned into a -.61 unit day. It really did feel a lot worse

An interesting aside....When I went to bed last night the score on the hawaii game was 17-0 at the half. They scored 60 in the second half to go over!

Any way....I could find nothing in the nba or nhl today...and two plays in the nfl. I posted buffalo previously.

10:00am
26-Nov-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+3) -105

5:15pm
26-Nov-06 Football
Philadelphia Eagles (+9.5) -110

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 23-20 +6.86
Nba
Side 19-12 +6.68
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 228 Bets + 35.53 units +15.58% Return