Rickj's U.S Sports Plays

[sdsponger]

Hey Rick...Pinny going down for us really sucks. You may want to look at Bodog, Sportsbook.com, BetUS, BetED and thegreek.com. All pretty good for US sports and friendly to people in the US.

Keep up the good work man.

[rickj]

Friday was a 1-1 day for -.10 units. Boston really never threatened to cover but seattle won the game outright as a dog in overtime.

Today 2 more plays in the nba. I have looked over the nfl and cannot come up with any solid plays that I can see. So I am passing on the nfl this weekend.

Oh....I have done some research on other books...and it appears that cascade has -105 betting lines. Does anyone have any positive or negative experience with them? They are the only b+ or better rated book that I can see that has -105 lines.

Good Luck

Boston +14
Memphis +10

Lines as of 6:31 am pst

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 52-42-1 +8.22
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 24 bets + 12.02 units +50.08% Return
Total 355 Bets + 50.83 units +14.32% Return

[aliensyndm]

No experience here with cascade here. As you say they are B+ in sportsbookreview.com so that would certainly suggest they are not too bad.
Hopefully someone else will be able to shed a bit more light on them.

[rickj]

We had no plays on Sunday.....today there is a full slate of nba and nhl games... again I see nothing in the nhl. We started the season with plays every day in the nhl with a nice return on investment...but the lines have become very solid...so expect only 1 or 2 plays a week in the nhl.

In the nba today...3 plays

Milw +5.5 -110
Memphis +9.5 -110
Golden state under 209.5 -110

Lines avail at 6:58 am pst

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 53-43-1 +8.12
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 26 bets + 11.92 units +45.85% Return
Total 357 Bets + 50.73 units +14.21% Return

[rickj]

Monday was a good day. We had 3 plays...the 2 nba sides split...with milw winning outright as a big dog and Memphis unable to cover. Our total goldenstate under was a winner. So a +.90 unit day.

Today nothing in the nba...but a rare nhl play...

Ny Islanders +140

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 54-44-1 +8.02
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 29 bets + 12.82 units +44.21% Return
Total 360 Bets + 51.63 units +14.34% Return

[rickj]

Tues we lost 1 unit...with the islanders losing in the nhl 5-2.

Today nothing in the nhl...but 3 plays in the nba.

Things are settling down now and I suspect we will only have around 50-60 plays a month as opposed to around 100 when ncaafb and nfl is in full swing. But Baseball is just a few months away and things should pick up then.

Sacramento +4.5 -110
Milwaukee +5 -110
Houston +5.5 -110

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/



Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-44-1 +8.02
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 30 bets + 11.82 units +39.40% Return
Total 361 Bets + 50.63 units +14.02% Return

[rickj]

wedn we had an 0-3 day For -3.30 units. All games were close until the 4 th quarter but none of the 3 teams could hang on and cover.

Also I had the rather unpleasant experience of someone messaging me on yahoo complaining. He was rather insulting. So....let me say a few things before I post the plays.

1. This method I am using has been applied only over 364 bets. This is not conclusive to the long run profitablility of this method. Its encouraging but in no way a guarantee making money.

2. If you lose money betting these plays if you need to blame someone for your loss the only one you have to blame is yourself. You elected to make these bets.

3. If you dont have a good money management strategy in place you in all probability will lose all your money because of variance.

4. So far the biggest drop has been around 5 units. That is consistent with a method that has a 13 percent return...So this is also encouraging....but..... at some point I would expect a 15 to 20 unit drawdown.....if you are betting an amount that this would cause you a problem....you are betting too much.

and finally 5. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If your not a professional every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being a successful professional gambler.

If this discourages you from following these plays then I have accomplished what I have intended to accomplish. For those of you that understand all of the above...good luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Only 1 play today in the nba that I can see...also looks like no plays again in the nfl this weekend. Also I am now on betcascade..so my plays are all -105. If your laying -110 you can expect about 2 percent less return.

Washington/orlando under 205.5 -105


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-47-1 +4.72
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 33 bets + 8.52 units +25.82% Return
Total 364 Bets + 47.33 units +13.00% Return

[Grga]

Don't worry RickJ.
When they are winning on your picks they will praise you,when they are losing they are complaining.All you can say to them is to move their fat asses and start beting on their own if they think that they can do it better than you.
You have nice stats and keep up with good work.

[rickj]

1 more nba play

Boston +4 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

[aliensyndm]

Yeah totally Grga, can't be doing with people complaining about someone's tips losing, especially when they are free tips ! Not as if it's a paid subscription tipster, always more pressure to produce then.

Besides a 0-3 day is hardly a disaster is it ? Doesn't matter how good you are you'll hit streaks that are far worse than 0-3 days. If people don't realise and understand this then they shouldn't be betting. Most games are going to have about a 60% maximum chance of covering the point spread, anything higher is very rare indeed and even with that random variance is gonna lead to many horrid losing streaks but that's what happens. You just have to get on with it.

You decided to take the plunge with betcascade then aye Rick ? Any problems so far, have you made a withdrawl yet ?

[sdsponger]

On the other side tonight Rick...GL bro

We all have bad days...heck, I've had 2 rough nights this week. It happens people, get over it. You are good and well organized capper Rick, keep up the great work. Don't let any of these lamers get you down. I'm sick of seeing people get bashed on forums for crap like this.

I like to see some of these lamers actually cap a game for once and have the balls to post their picks. I'm guessing it wouldn't be pretty

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Originally Posted by sdsponger

On the other side tonight Rick...GL bro

We all have bad days...heck, I've had 2 rough nights this week. It happens people, get over it. You are good and well organized capper Rick, keep up the great work. Don't let any of these lamers get you down. I'm sick of seeing people get bashed on forums for crap like this.

I like to see some of these lamers actually cap a game for once and have the balls to post their picks. I'm guessing it wouldn't be pretty

After all that ive ust seen your on the opposite of his bet tonight

Nah i agree with everything being said here and whoever it is that added you and gave you abuse for posting losers is an idiot.

Wouldnt worry about it and keep it the profitable thread

[rickj]

Brutal!...after a 10-0 start to the month we are now on a 0-6 run. 2 tough loses last night in the nba both by less then a bucket. Nothing easy about this gambling

Today 2 plays in the nba and 1 play in the nhl.

Good Luck

nhl

toronto +115

nba
New Orleans +7.5 -105
Boston +11 -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-48-1 +3.67
o/u 19-11 +7.68

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 35 bets + 6.42 units +18.34% Return
Total 366 Bets + 45.23 units +12.36% Return

[rickj]

Sat we broke our 0-6 run. Our nhl play lost but Boston +11 went into overtime and they covered. And new orleans won outright as a dog. So a +1 unit day.

To keep things in perspective its been a wild month...starting out with a 10-0 run and just finishing a 0-6 run. but for jan we are at 38 bets ...+7.42 units with a 19.53%return!

Today 1 play in the nba and 1 play in the nfl.

nba
Miami +6 -105
nfl
New england +3.5 -110

As to the new england line ... all but one offshore book that i can see has -3 and odds from -120 to -135. So if you want New England +3.5 you have to buy the hook....I suspect you will have to lay around -120. Or you can take +3 and get anywhere from +105 to +115. Here in vegas most books have -3.5 -110. In any event If you cant find +3.5 at a reasonable price I would wait until game time to play since the money is coming in on indy.

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 56-48-1 +5.67
o/u 19-11 +7.68

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 38 bets + 7.42 units +19.53% Return
Total 366 Bets + 46.23 units +12.63% Return

[rickj]

Sunday we tied the nba game and lost by a half on new england. Both were tough games. miami was at the line twice in the last min and only made 2 of 4 free throws despite their best free throw shooter was at the line...95% and had hit 22 in a row! Then with about 2 seconds left down by 3....Miami fouled giving the other team a 3 pt play for a tie. New England...was ahead 21 -3 at the half....ahead the whole game except the last minute. Oh well another tough day..and -1.10 units.

Only 1 play in the nba today....

Minnesota +7 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 56-48-1 +5.67
o/u 19-11 +7.68

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 40 bets + 6.32 units +15.80% Return
Total 368 Bets + 45.13 units +12.26% Return