Usually my "totals" plays are much worse than my "sides" plays but today I like the under for Miami 1st half and full game.
pros: Miami is a slooow team.... they usually hold the ball up until Shaq lumbers up to the other end of the court and that takes, I don't know, half an hour? And Utah is a typical "white man" basket ball team - slow and low-tempo. They always seem to have at least one quarter where they struggle to beat the shot clock.
cons: miami's defence has been awfully dreadful recently. Really bad. Their coach has complained about it but nothing seems to be done. They just seem too complacent and always relying on a 4th Q surge to beat their opponents.
The pros outweigh the cons for me here, so:
Miami Under 196 @ 2.02
Miami Under 95.5 1st half @ 1.91 (taken from
betcris as no line on
pinnacle yet)