Quote:
Originally Posted by Wittmann 44
Dlouhy has managed to get through to the second round despite losing both his final qualifying and first round proper – he managed the neat trick of both winning opponents having to pull out and qualified as a lucky loser
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Didn't Dlouhy beat Udomchoke in the first round proper? Not sure I could back Tipsarevic with any confidence at that price anyway - he's played Dlouhy three times, all on clay (which going by the stats appears to be Tipsarevic's favourite surface) and Dlouhy's won 2 and retired in the third.
Pretty risky going with a fourfold too, especially the week before Wimbledon when there's a bigger chance of retirements. Was actually quite tempted to oppose Grosjean, reluctantly put myself off that one in the end though. And Del Potro is Argentinian, by the way
I am going to follow you on two of your bets for today's games, though:
Lay Ljubicic v Seppi @ 1.25, liability 1pt
No way should Ljubicic be such a heavy favourite here. Seppi actually has a pretty impressive grass record (16-8), as opposed to Ljubicic's 14-16, and Seppi won the only previous meeting, on clay, where Ljubicic is generally a stronger player than Seppi.
Lay Mathieu v Lee @ 1.59, liability 1.5pts
Nothing to add on this one that Wittmann's not already said.
Onto the women's events:
Bammer v Safarova @ 2.1 2pts
Not sure Bammer should be the outsider for this one. Leads 2-0 on the H2H (both hard court), has a higher ranking, comfortably beat Kirilenko in the 1st round while Safarova struggled past Groenefeld in 2 tiebreaks. Only thing in Safarova's favour, IMO, is the fact she's got a grass court final (in the Ordina event in 2005) to her name.
Safina v Krajicek @ 1.86 2pts
A repeat of last year's final, which Krajicek won. However, they've met 3 times since then, with Safina winning all 3 in straight sets. As Wittmann mentioned earlier in the week, Krajicek not having a great 2007, and I'd expect Safina to get revenge her for last year's defeat.
17th - 24th June - Ordina Open (ATP / WTA) & Nottingham (ATP)
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for Berrer...
but you're right.
) to record his first grass win in only three attempts. The guy obviously hates the surface but should he be over 4/1 against a player ranked 488 in the world who has lost 19 of 21 games against top 100 players since 2005?. There is a difference of almost €5,000 between exiting in the second round and exiting at the QF stage and surely that must be some motivation here for the Argentine clay court specialist. Wessels is at home and has won all 3 matchs here but Berlocq might just be a bit of value to pull another surprise here. 
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