Tennis Week 28th Jan - 3rd February (Vina Del Mar)

[rcgills]

Just seen Sporting Odds have got prices on a challenger event in Wroclaw (Poland), and there's one there that looks reasonable to me. Sergey Stakhovsky came through qualifying without dropping a set, beating Mach, Vacek and Sluiter. He's yet to drop a set in the main draw either, beating Karanusic in the first round, and then Janowicz (who'd knocked out Mahut in the first round). He's up against Simone Bolelli now, 5th seed here and he's beaten Kunitsyn and Montcourt so far. Doesn't have a bad hard court record, but seems to be more of a clay court player, and I fancy Stakhovsky's chances here given his momentum and his decent results so far.

Stakhovsky to beat Bolelli @ 2.875 2pts

Think the game is due to start in 10 minutes, by the way.

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Think the game is due to start in 10 minutes, by the way.

My mistake, it was Stepanek v Melzer which started then, the Stakhovsky game is on after they've finished.

[Wittmann 44]

Good spot. Didn’t realise anyone was covering this. Bolleli beat him easily enough in Slovenia towards the tail end of last year indoors and he is useful enough at this level. I’m drawing a blank on Bolleli. Think he has a decent serve but not much else. Amazed he is actually ranked 68. Rose without trace I guess

GL the Ukrainian looks in decent form alright.

[Viktor]

Hello guys,

I'm from Czech Republic.

I'm little bit late, but agree with tip on Acasuso against Cuevas. Acasuso playing in similar form is really hard to defeat on clay even for top claycourters. He is very strong on serve, strong from base line. He can't be compared to shaky Verdasco. Unfortunatelly, as we have to search value in odds, I can't see it in it this time, so no bet.

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Stakhovsky to beat Bolelli @ 2.875 2pts

Took the first on a tie-break, lost the next 6-4 and lost the deciding set on a tie-break

[Wittmann 44]

Unlucky there RC. Can't have been much in that

Another terrible day for me. Acasuso manages not to create a single bp chance en route to being broken 4 times . Ends my ante post interest as well. Shaping up for a Racing Post predicted final of Monaco and Gonzo.

1 final bet for what has been a poor week. 1 from the Fed Cup tomorrow:

Peer-Safina

This is playing indoors in Israel. The last two have been very close between these two with Peer edging a three setter in the Gold Coast recently to reverse the same result in 2007. Safina is having major serving yips (33 in her last 3 games) and exited very tamely in Oz. Peer not playing with last year’s fluency but with the homne crowd behind her and against a player who is very much a confidence player you’d have to fancy her to have the edge here.Safina’s selection is a major surprise here and her sole Fed Cup outing prior to this ended in a tame straight sets defeat on clay way back in 2005.

1.50 Units Peer @ 5/6 (Blue Square)

[Wittmann 44]

That’s it from me for this week. Should have stayed in bed. The Acasuso result was very disappointing given he broke straight off and looked well in control in the early exchanges. Redeemed slightly by a good win for Peer at a tasty price.

Lots of work done on the next three events and waiting for the draws this evening.

2.25 Units Acasuso @ 2/5 (Betdirect) -2.25 Units
2.25 Units Gonzo @ 1.28 +0.60 Units
1.25 Units Fogini @ 2.24 -1.25 Units

ATP Staked 5.75 Units
ATP Loss -2.90 Units

ATP Event Staked 12.50 Units
ATP Event Loss -4.91 Units (-39.2% Yield)

Usual horrible choke by Safina when a break up final set (and having won the first set to love). Collapse of serve and double faults in the double figures meant she lost 6 on the bouce in the last set. She’s a bigger basket case than her brother. Looked like a very ugly game with few winners and masses of errors. 13 service breaks in 20 games says it all.

1.50 Units Peer @ 5/6 (Blue Square) +1.25 Units

WTA Staked 1.50 Units
WTA Event Profit +1.25 Units (+100% Yield)

Event Staked 14.00 Units
Event Loss 3.66 Units (-26.14% Yield)

Ante Post Staked 2 Units
Ante Post Loss -2 Units

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

YEAR TO DATE

Match - Bets

Year to Date Staked 185.75 Units
Year to Date Profit +1.09 Units (+0.59% Yield)

Ante Post Bets

Year to Date Staked 5.00 Units
Year to Date Profit +3.75 Units (+75% Yield)

Total Bets

Year to Date Staked 190.75 Units
Year to Date Profit +4.84 Units (+2.54% Yield)

[Wittmann 44]

Very unlucky Engineer. Monaco makes the final and then retires before a ball is struck . Bizarre

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by Wittmann 44

Very unlucky Engineer. Monaco makes the final and then retires before a ball is struck . Bizarre

He got injured in the doubles, apparently, and looks set to miss the Davis Cup tie against Great Britain next week.

[Wittmann 44]

Thanks RC. Very unfortunate. He's have fancied his chances as Gonzo was struggling.

[rcgills]

ATP Tennis - Movistar Open, Vina del Mar

[engineer]

Wasn't lucky with that one, really, but with with price of 3/1 it definitely isn't a reason for some regret. The big winner was Gonzalez - not in his best shape, but made it somehow.
The best thing for me is that Movistar Open is over