Pacific Life Open WTA + ATP

[rcgills]

Hi Martens. Good luck with your double - shorter prices than I like betting, but I wouldn't expect it to have too much trouble winning.

No time to write much today, but 5 bets for me today:

Isner to beat Bolelli @ 1.76 4pts
Olaru to beat Yuan @ 2.1 2pts
Hsieh to beat Vesnina @ 2.6 2pts
Voskoboeva to beat Parmentier @ 2.22 2pts
Pivovarova to beat Rodina @ 2.625 2pts

Good luck all for today

[engineer]

Vania King to beat poor A. Kremer @1.46

Rezai to beat Pin @2.08

A. Rolle to beat M. Brengle @1.8

I. Benesova to beat Chan @2.14 - strong single, Chan was miserable in Bangalore losing from the Croatian Mamic - good enough reason for me to lay her against much better opponent.

G. Dulko to spank Ditty @2.10 - the Argie should be OK and if she's fit enough she will have too much for the American who is in poor poor form.

[engineer]

Voskoboeva to beat Parmentier @2.18

The Russian played two great matches in Doha - defeated Danilidou and fought bravely against Sharapova and won a set. She has every chance today against the French who is coming from the clay and isn't much of a hardcourter...

[rcgills]

Well, yesterday was an improvement on day 1 at least. 2 winners, 2 losers, and a tiny profit for the day as a result. Looks like you had a good day yesterday, Engineer, 5 from 6

Hadn't actually realised Isner was today, not yesterday, so I've got that one carried over, and only one other game catches my eye for today - Amanmuradova against Peer. I went against Amanmuradova in the 1st round purely on the grounds of value, but she came through fairly comfortably in straight sets. In decent form of late, including beating Szavay and taking Schnyder to a deciding set tie-break in Bangalore last week.

As I've mentioned on here a few times, I'm not a fan of Peer at all, think she's pretty over-rated, and while she's justifiably a favourite for this one, I fancy the chances of an upset. She's already dropped sets to the likes of Voracova and Ditty this season on hard courts.

Think Amanmuradova is capable of a set here at the very least, and don't think the win is beyond her.

Amanmuradova @ 3.4 2pts
Lay Peer 2-0 @ 2.06, liability 6pts

[rcgills]

FFS, Amanmuradova has lost the first set 6-1, but blew 9 break points in all, including 5 in the very first game Promptly gets broken in the first game of the 2nd set too and things aren't looking too good there

[Martens]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Have got a few outright bets that I like the look of given the draw. In the men's event, have gone with Djokovic @ 5.5 (3pts) and Gonzalez @ 120 (1pt). Really can't see there being anyone in Djokovic's quarter of the draw to trouble him - Ferrer, Nieminen, Baghdatis, Berdych, Canas, Monaco and Kohlschreiber are the other seeds in the quarter. The bottom half (where Djokovic is) looks much the better half of the draw to be in, Nadal is the top seed in the half, although I wouldn't bank on him reaching the semis, and the likes of Federer, Roddick, Murray are in the top half.

May also consider Stepanek, although I'd want a bigger price than what's currently available.

In the women's event, it's hard to see past Sharapova IMO, but the price is far too short on her. Only bet so far for me is Na Li, where someone very kindly matched me @ 95 (1pt). Think the 2nd quarter could be the place to look for possible shocks - the 3 highest seeds in there are in pretty inconsistent form of late (Jankovic, Bartoli, Bammer). Am considering taking Medina Garrigues from there if I can get matched at a decent price (she's gone as high as 150, I'd want a bit higher than that if I can get it), and Hsieh might not be a bad long shot following her excellent performance in the Aussie Open at the start of the year.

is this price @5.5 for djoko to reach the semis?

looks very generous one, i mean i agree with you, that normally shouldnt face serious problems, all players you mentioned are indeed out of form,but tennis is tennis, is a "you never know" sport, may one player wakes up, and destroy everybody

besides, djoko, didnt play any impressive game after australia,but still this bet is very logical and good priced

lets see....

[Martens]

perhaps price djoko @5.5 is to reach the final....thats noit so juicy! and not so generous obviously, this is not grand slam after all, to predict quarter winners, so this one going for the djoko to reach the final @5.5, forget it, very risky and tricky


today

Baghdatis v Wawrinka

my pick is Wawrinka to win @2.2

pick is based on baghdatis bad form, he looks horrible this year,after he spent a week in hawai island, everything is ruined concerning his pre-season preparations and workings to improve physical condition,the guy looks absolutely out of form

low stakes though, tennis is tennis, you never know whats happening out there in this sport

good luck guys

[engineer]

No time to look at the coupon, so I'll follow you with that one, Martens.
Lay Baghy

[Martens]

i hope you did it, i watched that game live, and baghy was pure crappy,obviously in terrible physical condition

today

Youznhy to beat Hewitt

banker in my eyes, both players out of form again, but the russian ambitius to win and progress further in this tournament, i beleive he can do it,

also, Robredo to beat Ljubicic, same reasoning as above

good luck

[rcgills]

The price on Djokovic is for him to win the tournament, Martens I can assure you I would've ripped their arm off if they'd been offering 5.5 on him just to make the semis

For today:

Kuznetsova v Wozniacki

No denying Wozniacki is a very promising player, and she's had some impressive results in the opening few rounds here, but to date she's come up very short every time she meets any of the top players. Since October, she's lost twice to Venus Williams (6-2 6-2 and 6-3 7-5), 6-1 7-5 to Ivanovic, 6-0 6-1 to Sharapova and 6-0 6-2 to Davenport. That's straight sets every time, and losing by 5 or more games every time. She's still only 17, and maybe not quite prepared yet mentally for the matches against the top players. I'll take Kuznetsova to dish out a similar punishment today.

Kuznetsova 2-0 @ 1.98 2.5pts
Kuznetsova -4.5 games @ 1.833 2.5pts

[mord]

good call RC thanks for nice night winner

[rcgills]

No worries Mord, glad you were on it

[engineer]

Yes, good call RC, I'd rather give credits to the Danish to score a good result against a top class player at last, but obviously she isn't ready yet.

Later I'll try to get moving and investigate tonight's coupon. But still I don't like tournaments played away from Europe, can't really get into them.

[engineer]

BTW, hope Wittmann will pop up in here to tell us when the baby comes. If my memory serves that moment isn't far away. Hope everything is OK there

[engineer]

For that night:

Fish to beat Hewitt @2.60 - 5pts

Fish is been having awesome performance in Indian Wells so Hewitt shouldn't be much of a problem for him if he plays like he did against Davy. The Australian managed to take two wins in a row, in the US but I don't see him as a fav against Fish. Great price for Mardy!

Smaller bet Blake to beat Gasquet man @2.4 - 2 pts

Here it's the home adavntage that can tip the balance I reckon. In fact I'm putting that bet with the intention to lay it if Blake produces a good start and I'm still awake
Both players aren't the best serve holders so there should be good trading opportunities