Tennis week 14-20/April

[Martens]

room looks abandoned lately

where is wittmann? did he retire from tennis?

please write some picks, i need money this week

waiting to read opinions

[rcgills]

Wittmann's got a new baby to be looking after.

You could always post some opinions of your own while you're waiting for others

[Martens]

good news for wittmann

ok, this is my double for today, and as you know is real money placing

well, is from Estoril and is Simon and Minar

this tournament is live ob eurosport i guess?? it was live previous years, i have to check, Federer is there

good luck

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by Martens

this tournament is live ob eurosport i guess??

Yes, Spanish Eurosport start showing it from Wednesday onwards, I think.

Good luck with your double.

[engineer]

Thanks for opening the thread, Martens.

Loads of tennis this week.

I'll come with some picks later, but don't rely on them to make money

In the morning thought the price for GG Lopez was too good, but Darcis is a decent claycourter, in fact it seems the clay is his favourite surface, although he won two ATP titles on hard.
So, won't be backing Lopez in that one.

Minar and Simon should win their games, don't know how will Minar perform on clay after his good games in USA.

[engineer]

Here's what I fancy for today:

Pashanski to beat Gisquel @2.02 - 2.5 pts

Mayer to beat Gabashvili @1.85 - 2pts

Lay Srebotnik @1.27 against Baszinszky - liability 1.5 pts

Two doubles:

Arvidsson + Simon - 5pts

Cirstea + Errani - 8pts

[engineer]

For today:

G. Traver to beat Stakhovsky @1.42 - 5 pts

Small lay of Ivo Karlovic against Machado @1.31 - 1pt

Bigger lay of Davydenko against Meltzer @1.34 - 3pts

Doubles:

Andreev + G. Traver - 2 pts

Ferrero + Ferrer - 9 pts

[rcgills]

Two for me in the remaining games today:

Lay Kleybanova @ 1.37 v Cetkovska to win 4pts

Can't really see why Kleybanova is such a big favourite here, personally I'd make her slight favourite but not that short a price. Both players pretty decent on clay this year (Kleybanova 26-7, Cetkovska 22-9). Last year Cetkovska made the final of 3 clay tournaments at ITF level, winning one of them. Kleybanova also made 3 ITF clay tournament finals, winning 2 of them. Cetkovska may just have a slight edge in the fact she's played 3 clay tournaments this year, whereas this will be Kleybanova's first outing on clay since September. All in all, worth a go at this price I'd say.


Granollers-Pujol to beat Gulbis @ 2.04 2pts

Gulbis' clay court record over the past year is a fairly unimpressive 5-9, and his only clay match since last July was a Davis Cup match against world no. 724 Lazar Magdincev, which he lost in 5 sets. Clay court specialist Granollers-Pujol has hardly been off the clay in that time, and has made 5 finals since then, all at Challenger level, but with some decent wins against the likes of Roitman, Montanes and Capdeville.

These two met in March 2007, with Gulbis winning in straight sets, but Granollers has advanced much further than Gulbis since then - back then Gulbis was ranked 85, Granollers 163. Gulbis is still now ranked 85, but Granollers is up to 84. I'm happy to back Granollers as a slight underdog in this one.

[rcgills]

Actually, one more, I hadn't realised there were some 2nd round games being played tonight in Charleston.

Cirstea to beat Chakvetadze @ 4.4 2pts

Chakvetadze has looked out of sorts for much of this year, far from the form that's taken her into the top 10 in the rankings. In terms of win-loss ratio at least, clay could be considered her weakest surface, whereas it's most certainly Cirstea's prefered surface, with a 27-9 record for the past year, some of those coming at ITF level but she had a couple of decent runs at higher level tournaments, including a run from qualifying all the way through to the final in the Tier III event at Budapest.


Chakvetadze is obviously the favourite here, but I think she's slightly vulnerable in this match.

[Martens]

Granollers :

if it was at Estoril, i was going full stakes on spaniard, there in usa...hmmm the latvian may feel better

i will follow you, is good bet anyway, dont fancy anything else today

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by Martens

Granollers :

if it was at Estoril, i was going full stakes on spaniard, there in usa...hmmm the latvian may feel better

Yes, that thought did cross my mind too - not sure why Granollers has decided to go over to the USA rather than play in Valencia (which I would've thought would be more of an attraction being his home country), or even Estoril as you mention. Like you, though, I still think it's a decent bet.

[frank69]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Two for me in the remaining games today:

Lay Kleybanova @ 1.37 v Cetkovska to win 4pts

Can't really see why Kleybanova is such a big favourite here, personally I'd make her slight favourite but not that short a price. Both players pretty decent on clay this year (Kleybanova 26-7, Cetkovska 22-9). Last year Cetkovska made the final of 3 clay tournaments at ITF level, winning one of them. Kleybanova also made 3 ITF clay tournament finals, winning 2 of them. Cetkovska may just have a slight edge in the fact she's played 3 clay tournaments this year, whereas this will be Kleybanova's first outing on clay since September. All in all, worth a go at this price I'd say.

Hi to everibody, I am a new user. I have followed your great picks. Thanks friend! you are a great tipster

[rcgills]

Thanks, Frank, and welcome to TDP

[engineer]

Well done, RC - great job, indeed

To be honest I had dabbles on Cetkovska and G-Pujol also.
Intended to lay Chakvetadze when traveling home from work, but my mobile phone's battery got empty and couldn't log to Betfair mobile and than completely forgot, just to see the Russian being destroyed in the 3rd set.

My doubles went tits up this time, especially after Safin beating Ferrero in a marathon that he dominated most of the time. Obviously Safin is reviving which is good for the men's tennis.

Welcome to TDP, frank
Are you interested in tennis and tennis betting?

[rcgills]

Thanks Engineer

For today's games in Europe:

Valencia:

Schukin to beat Haase @ 3.6 2pts

I'm yet to be convinced by Haase on clay. Had a run to the semis in Amersfoot last July, but that was in his home country and he didn't really face particularly strong clay court opponents (Mantilla, Devilder and Serra, then losing to Eschauer). Clay is Schukin's strongest surface, and although he's been playing mostly in challengers, he has won a couple of clay tournaments in the past year, beating the likes of Mayer, Hernandez, Zabaleta, Bolelli and Granollers-Pujol. Think this one will be closer than the odds suggest.

Also interested in Minar to take a set off Davydenko, but not yet been matched on that, will wait to see if I can get a reasonable price.