Australian Open 2007

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

this is on at a great time isnt it? I forgot all about this. Games just starting the now. Anyone got any thoughts on the 4th round ties? I'll find a stream for it too no doubt

Betfair have live coverage of many games on their site Komp

Im jus playing two today.

Peer to overcome Kuznetzova @ 3.20.

Been a bit put off this as Kuznetzova played pretty well just now but Peer has come into this tournament in some great form and is playing very well at the minute and the odds a bit too high for me.

Jankovic to beat Williams @ 1.60

Williams has done very well to get here but im still not covinced with her as she still doesn't look physically right at the minute still looking like shes eating a pie too many

Jankovic argueably the form player in womens tennis right now and think the price is as it is due mainly to Serenas previous form down the years.

[Hippy Dave]

Fucking hell Kiko, you must have nerves of steel to bet on women's tennis.

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Not big bets Dave. Just enough to give me some interest.

Definately think the value lies more in the womens games than the guys to be honest. Especially for trading due to them all being absolutely useless on service

Good luck mate.

[Beanie]

Didn't really fancy getting involved in the matches(other than following some picks) but I like the odds of Gonzalez a little too much.

The positives: Hard isn't his fav surface, but at the tail end of last year he put together a superb set of results, reaching 3 consecutive finals(2 hard, 1 carpet) and beating some handy players en route. He seems in decent nick and has a terrific engine, and is pretty consistent. That could be a big problem for Hewitt, who retired from the Adelaide tournament last week after months off injured, and even if he is over that his fitness could be called into question after some tough matches. Hewitt has been pretty poor, having to come back from 2 sets down against Michael Russell.

Negatives: Gonzalez has been pretty average too, dropping sloppy sets against poor opponents. Also, regardless of fitness, there are better players to be playing than Hewitt in Australia - he'll always extract every ounce of effort possible.

Still, I don't think it'll be enough - he's looked vulnerable up until now and against a proper test here I think Gonzo could have too much.

Gonzo @ 1.93 for me.

Plus I get to watch it at work

[Hippy Dave]

Considered that too Beanie, but Gonzalez hasn't been going well. Hate betting against home players at the best of times. Slightly lucky to win in R2 Gonzalez. Wouldn't be at all suprised if it goes 5 sets.

[Hippy Dave]

Originally Posted by Hippy Dave

David Nalbandian to beat Sebastian Grosjean 20pts @ 1.36
It's a year since Grosjean won 3 matches in a row outside of his native France (in this tournament last year), and he really isn't the force of old now. Nalbandian is a real class player who takes some beating. Some may be put off by his defeat to Pless before this tournament, and indifferent showing in R1, but he has reached at least the QF in the past 4 seasons on the back of a defeat in his only warm up, or no warm up at all. Grosjean may nick a set but I can't see it beeing any close than that.

Not the greatest start 7-5 1-1 to Grosjean, Bandy's getting plenty of break chances, just not taking them at the moment. Hopefully Grosjean's 5 setter will take it's toll, and Bandy will start taking his chances. He's only winning 63% on his 1st serve at the moment though, very low.

[Hippy Dave]

And that's 2 sets to 0 Grosjean. I can't quite work out this match. Every time Bandy looks in control he just throws in a whole heap of unforced errors. Good record of winning from 2-0 down, but I'm not optimistic.

[Hippy Dave]

Remarkable. Bandy starts set 3 with a break, goes 40-0 up and then loses 5 straight points to be broken back.

[Hippy Dave]

And he does it again. Breaks to go 2-1 up in the set, leads 30-0 on serve and is broken

[Hippy Dave]

Oh dear 5-7 4-6 4-5 0-40.

But he's saved 3 match points and it's back to 5-5

I only posted this reply to put up the final result, and it's not over yet.

[Hippy Dave]

The comback is on, saves 3 match points and takes set 3 in the tiebreak.

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Yeah could be your lucky day.

Foun it amazing how Grossjean was still 1.02 with 3 match points. Thats crazy.He shouldve been 1.01 max then.

Good luck all the same

[Hippy Dave]

I was on Stepanek yesterday when he threw away a 2 set lead, and didn't bother laying for a profit, so this might balance that out.

[Hippy Dave]

And he does it, with Grosjean exhausted in the 5th, 5/7 4/6 7/6 6/4 6/1

[Beanie]