I wouldn't back any Italian striker ... the Italian national side is totally paralysed by fear in any games that matter and will be playing for a series of 1-0's and 0-0's in Germany.
Take a side that will score 10+ goals to find your top scorer (with 5-6 goals) and so you'll need a team that will go deep into the competition.
Brazil, Germany (as hosts), Argentina, Holland, England are all likely top seeds and quarter-finalists if they do not screw up their group games.
France and Italy look like dodgy "top seeds" ripe for a group upset and therefore meeting one of those top 5 in 2nd round (and losing).
So .. the battle for the other 3 Q/F spots might come down to ... Czech Rep, Serbia, Croatia, Sweden, and perhaps Paraguay.
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But most of the leading scorers get their goals early in the group stages (Ronaldo was an exception last time, and Paolo Rossi in 1982 as well) ...
So really if you're looking for a dark horse player thne wait for the draw ... see which team has been lucky enough to get into a group with Trinadad & Tobago and/or an asian minnow ... as well as drawing FRance / Italy as top seed.
Then get on their best striker who is most likely to start.
Sounds easy dunnit ?
