Eastern European Football:

[kompressaur]

Some info on the bulgarian league chaps if anyone is into that.
http://www.thedailypunt.com/forum/sh...86&postcount=2

Didnt we used to havea Bulgarian poster who was pretty darn good too?

[vmanahov]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

Some info on the bulgarian league chaps if anyone is into that.
http://www.thedailypunt.com/forum/sh...86&postcount=2

Didnt we used to havea Bulgarian poster who was pretty darn good too?

Hi Komp,
I personally prefer not to post any previews on Bulgarian League simply because the odds are terribly short of price.Most people are looking for value odds and prices such as 1.02,1.10 or 1.20 are not tempting.They are two hot favorites Levski and CSKA which rarely lose points,therefore odds are low.Betting on other games have high level of risk due to match fixing practice.A few months ago I remember a fixed comical game between Spartak and Belasitsa finished 3-3.Visitors supposed to win but only one Spartak player didn't know that this game is fixed and hi equalized in the last minute.
As far as I know a person called Engineer used to post Bulgarian previews.You probably meant him as pretty good punter.

[vmanahov]

Originally Posted by stefan mardale

Poli Timisoara - Dinamo Bucuresti


Timisoara has just confirmed that they will send the reserve team against Dinamo, so without other comments:

Poli - Dinamo 2 2.11@10bet 10/10

There is no sure bet in football, but this is huge value. Dinamo had good chances of winning anyway. Anything above 1.50 could be taken.

You can also try Dinamo (-1.75) @5.60 at Bet365.

Hi Stefan Mardale,
Is there any reason why Poli play with reserve team.Most bookies haven't reduced the price yet for AW.Can you please give some more details.Thanks.

[stefan mardale]

Originally Posted by vmanahov

Hi Stefan Mardale,
Is there any reason why Poli play with reserve team.Most bookies haven't reduced the price yet for AW.Can you please give some more details.Thanks.

Hello. Their boss wants to complain in this manner about some repeated harsh referee and romanian federation decisions (if you ask me, it's an obvious exaggeration, no one tries to persecute them). The decision is official, they have announced the 18 men squad for sunday game: Zimmermann, Pantilimon, Matei, Luchin, Axente, Mera, Scutaru, Latovlevici, Siminic, Torje, Popovici, Rada, Omoduemuke, Rivis, Daminuta, Patras, Straut, Mansour. Only Mansour and Matei are first league players Torje and Daminuta are also promising players, but very, very young. I repeat, it's just a huge value, no one says Dinamo will win for sure. The odds will drop for sure till Sunday.

[engineer]

No much time now, but few words can be said about this round in Bulgaria.
By the way, today is the national feast-day in Bulgaria (kinda independence day) and there are many national flags all over the buildings, it does look nice...
So, about the football today, definitely there is no value at low-priced home wins, each game could go wrong there...
I could be interested at Rilski Sportist against Loko Plovdiv, the home team are in the relegation battle and this is a good chanse to take 3 points, so low stakes for home win here...

I wouldn't name Litex a "Bulgarian Banker" at all... Maybe they will win in Varna, but i rate their chances at about 40-50 %. Spartak Varna signed with many new quality players, byt they won't play today. Anyway Spartak could be pretty good this spring and I can't recomend betting against them at home.

I would bet largely if I can find for the match of Levski some sort of handicap Levski -3 or Levski -4. Their opponent is just the sh...est team in Bulgaria, and at least 4:0 I expect there.

GL all

[bosman]

Polish Extraklasa 03.03.2007

Groclin v Widzew – agree with Ori, that Groclin is not a team you can blindly trust, but they are in form now. Home team made good transfer, buying Ivanovski, while the visitors sold their best player Grzelak. Widzew playing really crap now, lost both cup games (3:0, 4:0).
Groclin – 2 pts

Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan – hosts sold many players, visitors are better team, but they have very weak defence. No bet

Zaglebie Lubin v Odra Wodzislaw – fancy home win here, better team, almost full squad. Odra is terrible away (0-2-5), lost their key striker Chmiest.
Zaglebie – 2 pts

Gornik Zabrze v Wisla Krakow – away win for me. Hosts lost their topscorer Aleksander. His record this season – 4 goals, so you can imagine how good they are. They improved a little, making some transfers, Kuzba you can forget, he is allthe time injured, but Gierczak and Paszulewicz are experienced players. Wisla without spectacular transfer,but with new coach. No doubts they are class better, but still we can’t compare this Wisla with a team from same years ago, it was nice team for punters, doesn’t matter, home or away,it was almost a banker every round. Today nobody is suprised with their defeats. Odds are not great, but team from Krakow should manage a win.
Wisla – 2 pts

About Korona v Arka and Pogon v LKS I wrote already my comments. My bets are:
Korona (-1) 3 pts
Pogon 1 pts

[stefan mardale]

Decision 'made in Romania': Poli's captain, Alexa, will play tomorrow "because he asked boss Iancu to play" (Alexa is an ex-Dinamo player and captain) Still, there is no joke, the second team will enter the field, with the named exceptions. The odds slashed, so very small value right now.

[stefan mardale]

Originally Posted by stefan mardale

UT Arad - FC Arges
UT Arad - FC Arges (+0.5) 2 1.87@Bet365 5/10

UT Arad - FC Arges 0-0 + 4.35u

UTA dominated the game, for the last 10 minutes they even played 11 against 10, but FC Arges managed to get a draw.

I'm still thinking about tonight's game.

[stefan mardale]

Craiova (+1) @1.80 looked very tasty, but i have decided to skip it. There are 2 good teams, Rapid is in great form and i'm a little afraid. I might get involved only in live betting, over seems interesting, depending on the circumstances.

P.S. I am preparing for a Dinamo lay Timisoara boss suggested that they might use the first team if the federation cancels Karamian suspension (virtually impossible for this to happen anyway - but nothing is impossible in Romania ). If something like this happens tomorrow, i'll announce it promptly

[Ori]

Damn, only void with Korona -1 as they've won only 1:0 after penalty kick in 26 minute (and Arka was in 10 man since then ). Altough win was never in doubt, i'm dissapointed by Korona's finishing abilities in that game .

[kompressaur]

I'll do a full Eastern European weekend round up folks after tomorrows games folks. feel free to bring any good tips and winners to my attention on the thread as sometimes it can be a bigger wading through all the info and selections on this thread.

to all contributers of this weeks Eastern European thread. a great read chaps

[stefan mardale]

Originally Posted by stefan mardale

Craiova (+1) @1.80 looked very tasty, but i have decided to skip it.

Ended 0-0, too bad i didn't make it a selection, but i hope tomorrow Dinamo will increase this week's profit

[kompressaur]

Streaming Games

13:00 CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna
13:10 Gornik Zabrze - Wisla Krakow

[engineer]

Sunday's game in BG - CSKA v Cherno More...
Two teams with aims. CSKA with a new sponsor, money is there, the moral is reasonably high. They were two points behind Levski during the winter break, yesterday Levski won 10:0, so it's 5 points gap now to the top and the third is 1 point behind them. So each game should be a must-win for CSKA, no matter home or away.
Cherno More have good squad, they have some confidence, but they are seldom capable of performing well against CSKA, especially in Sofia.
No significant squad problems for both teams today.
I expect some sort of result 2:0 or 3:0, I'm betting 0.5/10 for these in bet365.
Reasonable bet is CSKA -1.
GL

[stefan mardale]

Still no 'special' news about Timisoara game, probably same situation as described yesterday.