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  #61 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 01:24
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Hi
Guys

Any view on A. Madrid vs. Sevilla.
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  #62 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 06:28
kompressaur's Avatar
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

you read my mind Specarta. Good to see you and welcome to The Daily Punt

Just looking at it and i think i could be interested in the home. Theyre the form team in the league by the last 10 games. Ok at home and Sevilla a wee bit ropey on the road. Anyone got any thoughts or news on this one?
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  #63 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 06:50
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

I'll preview tonight's game in a little while. Just got some work to finish off first.

And welcome to TDP, Specartra
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  #64 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 07:07
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Hi
Guys
Looks like the valencia game, lots of ppl dumping money on A.madrid..
Taking sevilla+0.5 should be a good bet.
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  #65 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 09:11
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Atletico Madrid v Sevilla:

Atletico still aren't sure whether Kezman will be available to them. He was sent off at the weekend for two yellow cards, but Atletico are appealing against the first of those two bookings, and the appeal is due to be heard this morning.

If Kezman is available, the team should be pretty much the same as last week, apart from the return of Martin Petrov in place of Molinero.

If Kezman is unavailable, ESPN think it's between Petrov or Ariel Ibagaza to play up front alongside Fernando Torres. If it's Petrov, then Antonio López would be the left-sided central midfielder, with Molinero on the wing, if it's Ibagaza, then Gabi would come into the starting lineup, alongside Luccin.

Maxi Rodríguez, Juan Valera and Zahínos are all out injured for Atletico.

Sevilla have doubts over their keeper, Palop, as he has both a muscle problem and the flu. They'll leave the decision until the last minute, but if he's missing then they could have a major problem. Reserve keeper Antonio Notario and B team first choice keeper Javi Varas are both injured too, so if Palop is ruled out then the keeper will be Pablo Vargas, 22 years old, and the reserve keeper for Sevilla B.

Sevilla will also be without Jesús Navas, suspended, and Aitor Ocio, injured, along with the long-term injured players. Kanouté returns after overcoming ankle problems.

PROBABLE LINEUPS (from ESPN):
ATLETICO MADRID: Leo Franco; Velasco, Pablo, Perea, Antonio López or Molinero; Galletti, Luccin, Ibagaza, Petrov or Antonio López; Fernando Torres and Kezman or Petrov.
SEVILLA: Palop or Vargas; Alves, Dragutinovic, Javi Navarro, David; Jordi, Martín, Renato; Adriano, Saviola and Kanouté.
---------------
I was already interested in Atletico anyway, and I think those goalkeeper problems for Sevilla make me like Atletico even more. Even if Palop does play, it seems clear that under any other circumstances the club would've prefered not to play him, and so it may well be that they send him out there even if he's only 80% fit.

If Kezman misses out, it would be a blow for Atletico, I've been impressed with him this season (nothing like the player who was at Chelsea). Atletico's record in the games he's missed this season is 1-2-3.

Sevilla are 2-0-5 for their last 7 away games, but the two wins came at Cadiz and Santander, the bottom two teams in the home form table. Atletico, meanwhile, are on a run of 4 straight wins at home, and are 9 home games unbeaten. There's a clear motivation for Atletico to win tonight, too, as a win would leapfrog them above Sevilla, Celta Vigo and Villarreal and leave them in 6th place, a UEFA Cup-qualifying position.

At the weekend, Atletico claimed a draw at Villarreal, although they maybe just about deserved to win it, and were certainly the better team up until Kezman got sent off. Sevilla meanwhile were pretty poor, and were held to a 1-1 draw by Mallorca.

The Atletico Madrid website also points out that Fernando Torres has scored in all three games he's played v Sevilla in the Vicente Calderón.I'm not normally a fan of goalscorer bets, but Torres is certainly in excellent form at the moment, and worth a couple of points on him to score at any time @ 11/10 with Bet365.

I'm going to wait on the verdict of the appeal (and I think Atletico have got a decent case) before deciding on this one I think, but if the ban is removed, I'll be on Atletico. Will post up on here once I hear anything.

Torres to score at any time @ 2.10 2pts
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  #66 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 09:25
Spanish punter
 
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Actually, change of plan, as I think most of those games Kezman missed were in the first half of the season, before they went on their recent superb run. The last game Kezman missed was away to Barcelona, and Atletico won 3-1. If they can win there without him, they can win anywhere.

Atletico Madrid (-0.5) v Sevilla @ 2.075 6pts
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  #67 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 11:06
Spanish punter
 
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Kezman's appeal has been rejected, he'll miss tonight's game. Doesn't change my view of tonight's game, I still think Atletico will win, although I'm marginally less confident than I would've been with Kezman playing.
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  #68 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 11:52
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

In general, Kezman has looked much more settled in Spain than chelsea hasn't he?
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  #69 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 12:01
Rashin's Avatar
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Kezman is still playing the same type of game, that is making you pull your hairs when he has a one on one with the keeper and he misses. I think only Dutch football suits him.
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  #70 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 12:14
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

I've been impressed with Kezman's all-round game this season. As Rashin says, he's still capable of missing great scoring chances, but he also does a lot of work for the team, helping to create plenty of chances for others too. I certainly think he's looked more settled in Madrid than Chelsea, Brimson, although to be fair I suppose he's been given more of a chance at Atletico, where he's been playing regularly, as opposed to the squad rotation he got at Chelsea.
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  #71 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 15:59
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Looks like there's definitely some value with Atlético. Nice write-up RC
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  #72 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 19:57
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Palop starts for Sevilla, hopefully he's not fully fit
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  #73 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 20:32
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Are you watching RC? If so, how do both sides look? Thanks
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  #74 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 20:34
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

I am watching, Sponger. Sevilla have just missed their second penalty . Two superb saves from Leo Franco. If you've got the option of betting on bookings in-running, I'd recommend overs. The game is niggly, the ref is incompetent, and I really can't see it finishing 11 a side.

Atletico had the better of the first 10 minutes or so, but since then Sevilla have come right back into it. The first penalty seemed to be a dive by Saviola, but the second was a clear handball.
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  #75 (permalink)  
Old 23-03-2006, 20:44
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Re: Spanish midweek stuff 21-23 March

Wow, it's not every day you get to see 2 spot kicks saved by the same keeper in one game. Thanks for the update RC.
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