Santos v Gremio
I took a small bet on Grêmio to be the CTL outright winner @ 6.5 it is now 2.75. i did it just based on the weird statistic that they win it every 12 years.

but now the bookies seem to feel theyre favorites.
Tonight its definitly going to be a battle between the Paulista Santos and the Gaucho Grêmio.
Grêmio likes a battle, they relegated to 2nd Div. in 2004 after finishing last in the league.
In 2005 they won the 2nd Div. championship after having
four players sent off and two penalty kicks against them that werent scored and they beat
Náutico 1-0. That match is now called as "The Battle of Aflitos".
Santos on the other hand has every reason to believe they can turn this around.
In 58 h2h encounters, Santos won 27 and lost only 14.
If at their home stadium Grêmio is unbeaten, of the 15 times theyve traveled Grêmio won only five, lost eight, four of the defeats had been by two or more goals.
Of 18 home games that Santos played this year it won 13, drew three and only lost two.
In these 18 games in its stadium this year, Santos only failed to score in one, against Are Bento.
In 40 games so far this year, Santos won 12 times by a two goal difference.
In the first leg, Grêmio had only two shots on goal.
A team with players like Zé Robert, Kléber, Cléber Santana, behind Marcos Aurélio, cannot play so bad twice in a row.
Fábio Costa, Kléber, Zé Robert are more experienced than Grêmio's players.
Santos allready overturned a goal deficit in the Liberators, V Caracas-VEN and America-MEX.
Finally Luxemburgo is a master in motivating players and setting winning projects. It again faces Manu Menezes, who's still at the beggining of his career.
The battle
The battle began after Santos fans were beaten by locals on their return trip, appearantly this was in cooperation with the local police.
That and the lose to Grêmio, made a local radio broadcaster outburst, talking to Santos fans on a private station, saying some nasty words like outlaws and "Bichonas" (think i know what he meant).
The broadcaster later apologized, but Grêmio will definitly look to exploit on his words as a motivational tool.
Further more, theres the matter of the amount of tickets offered to Grêmio, only 400 of the 1000 tickets are available..