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Re: Italy: 1/3 - 3/3
Have to agree with martini about Genoa's concrete chances of collecting a positive result today, although I don't think a desperate Cagliari side is going to make it easy.
I've read the "rossoblu" environment is very confident about the points deduction to be fixed, but for this weekend the only way they can change the table is by getting 3 pts and
this is, according to their words, the way they'll play today.
But if the motivational factor may lead to an achievement for the hosts I believe another point must be considered.
We have a side under huge pressure vs a side with no pressure at all.
Genoa just need a couple of points to call themselves safe in Serie, so realistically they can end the season with no relegation worries, maybe even thinking about an european placement or making Borriello the top scorer of the league.
If you also consider their excellent form plus the fact they only suffered away defeats from top teams then It's hard to see them pointless today.
Finally odds on HW seem not valuable to me.
Cagliari were priced around 3,00 when they hosted Lazio, just a week ago now we have 2,50/2,60 against a side at least equal to the one from Roma.
I also have given a look to the recent H2H.
It loudly speaks in favour of the hosts, but it only refers to Serie B and the closer season is 2004/2005, so I'm not giving it any kind of consideration.
In conclusion the game is very tricky, but I believe Genoa deserve a small punt.
2 units for me @2,70 (Stanleybet).
GL,
KK_
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