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Old 27-09-2006, 03:28
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Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

Greece - A Ethniki
Saturday, 30/09/2006Best Odds
18:00Aris - Panionios1.703.506.00
20:00AEK Athens - Ergotelis1.275.7514.00
Sunday, 01/10/2006Best Odds
16:00Kerkyra - Ionikos2.353.053.20
16:00Larisa - Xanthi1.803.154.80
18:00Egaleo - Atromitos2.203.053.85
18:00OFI Crete - Panathinaikos7.003.701.50
18:00PAOK - Apollon Kal.1.454.259.50
20:00Iraklis - Olympiakos5.803.551.65


Greece - B Ethniki
Sunday, 01/10/2006Best Odds
16:00As. Tripolis - Prodeftiki1.453.807.35
16:00Chaidari - Kalamata1.653.105.50
16:00Levadeiakos - Panthrakikos1.404.259.10
16:00Kallithea - Veroia1.603.306.00
16:00Et. Asteras - PAS Gianena2.052.953.85
16:00Ilysiakos - Panserraikos5.403.304.40
16:00Messiniakos - Niki Volou1.753.205.50
16:00Ethnikos Pireos - Thrasivoulos1.603.255.75
16:00Agrotikos As. - Kastoria1.703.205.25
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Old 29-09-2006, 12:41
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

Initial thoughts on a round I do not like much...

Aris should be able to do it although Panionios showed some progress in his last away performance. 1.7 is not that great but can be taken, less than that I would not recommend.

Panathinaikos traditionally wins @ ofi and despite that team's bad form and bad performance at UEFA (despite the win and qualification) I would not go against this trend. No more comments on that.

I am struggling to see anything else, Kerkyra - Ionikos is one for the unders I think.

Second division, loads of lowish odds for the favourites, no value there, have to check it out for any upsets although nothing stands out on first glance.

By the way something went wrong with the odds at the Ilysiakos - Panserraikos game. Edit that if you want...
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Old 29-09-2006, 23:07
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

I am waiting for some possible longshots from the Greek Lower Leagues Galilee .
As for the Aris game, I agree that the home team is the favourite. Max. odds are now at 1.67, and I have a medium bet.
As for the other game of the day AEK hosts Ergotelis. AEK come from a draw vs Anderlecht for the Champions League. The team performance was good despite the absents, and the use, and good performance of the young substitutes was positive for AEK. The home team is 9 points behind teh first place, and need points badly. Still they have many absents in this game. They will miss influential regulars Dellas (D), Emerson (M), Zikos (M), all of them missed the game vs Anderlecht. Also they will miss regulars Kapetanos (F), and Alexopoulos (D) a long time absent. Udeze (D), had an injury but will play. As for the teams formation and lineup, coach Ferrer use to surprise in every game, so its still unknown.
Ergotelis come from a big home win vs OFI for the local derby of Heracleion the capital of Crete. The team looks in good form, they have good defense and some talented players in the front line. In this game probably they will defend.
AEK are the favourites. Its the better team and have the home advantagee. Still they have many absents, and also they had a game midweek for teh European Cup. Ergotelis is in good form and is not an easy opponent now. AEK is much motivated and the home win is the more possible result. Apart from that any other bets in this game look risky. Odds for the home win are low, and can be a part of a combo.
GL2A
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Old 30-09-2006, 17:01
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

For the Lower Leagues

In B Ethniki

Levadiakos - Panthrakikos
Levadiakos are first in the table, along with 3 other teams, and have 2 wins and 1 draw in 3 games. They are favourites for promotion, and want to stay at the first places. They come from a draw away vs Asteras Tripolis, another promotion candidate, in a game they equalised at the 96 min. (!). They look in good form, and are good at home. In this game they will miss 1 regular in the midfield and 1 regular defender, both missed the last games of the team. On the contrary 1 regular midfielder, returns in the squad.
Panthrakikos are new comers in the League. They have 2 wins at home so far, and lost away to Messiniakos. They are based on their home ground, and look rather mediocre travellers. In this game they will miss 2 regulars midfielders, also 1 regular defender is doubtfull.
Levadiakos are the favourites in this game. They are the better and more experienced team. They are good at home, and have to gather meny points there in their effort to promote. Panthrakikos probably will defend but have a difficult task. The odds for the home win are low but not far from fair. It can be a single for those who like the odds, or part of a combo.

Asteras Tripolis - Proodeftiki
Asteras Tripolis are new comers in the League, but are ambitious for promotion. They have 4 points in 3 games, and they need points in their effort for promotion. They are good at home in front of the fans. They come from a draw at home in the derby vs Levadiakos in a game they have complaints from the ref. Not major absents for the team.
Proodeftiki are low in the table with 1 point in 3 games. They come from a loss at home vs Haidari that brought many conflicts in the team. They look in mediocre form. In this game they will have many absents. They will miss 4 defenders, many of them missed the previous game as well.
Asteras are the favourites in this game. They are good at home and also the guests have important absents in the defense. Both teams are motivated in this game, for different reasons. The morale is low in Proodeftiki after the last results, and Asteras look in better form. The home win is the more possible result, the odds are low, it can be a part of a combo.
My bet will be a combo, Levadiakos + Asteras Tripolis = 1.40*1.30= 1.82 at Expekt, stakes 7/10.

Haidari - Kalamata
Haidari come from an important away win vs Proodeftiki, and the morale is good in the team, after 2 consecutive losses in the League. They are good at home, and is a team with good defense. Haidari look in good form, also not major absents for the team.
Kalamata are low in the table with 1 point in 3 games. They come from a loss at home vs Kallithea. They are based on their home ground, and look rather mediocre travellers. In this game they will have the help of their fans. Kalamata will have some absents in this game. They will miss 1 regular striker, 1 regular midfielder, and also 1 regular striker is doubtfull.
Haidari look in better form, and are the favourites in this game. Kalamata have scoring problems, and with absents in the front line it will be difficult to score. The odds for the home win are lower than expected anyway this is the more possible result.
My bet will be Haidari win, 1.741 at Pinnacle, stakes 4/10.

Ethnikos Asteras - PAS Giannina
Asteras is low in the table, with 3 points in 3 games. An experienced team in the League, they are good at home. They come from a loss away vs Panthrakikos in a game they had some absents. This will be the first game in front of the fans, as the previous at home was in empty stadium. In this game they will miss 1 regular medfielder and 1 regular striker. On the contrary 1 regular midfielder and 1 regular striker return in the squad.
PAS Giannina are first in the table, with 7 points in 3 games. They are ambitious for promotion this year. They come from an impressive home win 4-0 vs Messiniakos. A team strong at home, at away games the draw suit them usually. PAS will have the help of the fans in this game. Not major absents for the team, even a player that signed this summer from Ethnikos Asteras will be in the squad.
A balanced game. Asteras is good at home but PAS look in better form. The way PAS play at away games give the draw good chances as both teams can be satisfied in the end.
My bet will be the draw, stakes 3/10.

GL2A
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Old 30-09-2006, 17:58
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

Thanks for sharing Censor and good luck with your bets mate
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Old 30-09-2006, 22:56
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

lovely stuff censor. excellent. im sure there are others that appreciate you and Galilee's work but their just too shy to come forward and say anything. I bet you there's a few others that know a wee bit about the greek leagues too but theyre scared we'll all laugh at their shitty English.

We wont.

It's good for us all.
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Old 01-10-2006, 11:03
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

Thanks Kiko and Komp .

For the Sunday ganes in A Ethniki

OFI - Panathinaikos
OFI are rather low in the table with 5 points in 5 games. They come from a loss to Ergotelis at the local derby of Heracleion the capital of Crete, something that had 47 years to happen. OFI look in mediocre form now after a good start of the season. Very important factor in this game is that the family that actually own Panathinaikos is from Crete and have helped OFI. In this game influential regular Drulic (F) and Wellington (D) returns in the squad. OFI will miss regulars Kounenakis (M), Kostadinidis (M). Coach Maurer stated that they will play defensive in this game.
Panathinaikos are 2nd in the table and want to stay close to teh first place. Midweek they had a game for the Uefa Cup at Ukraine, vs Metallurg Zaporozhye. Panathinaikos had a mediocre performance but the victory and qualification came for teh team. Temporary coach Velic will be and in this game, with him as coach Panathinaikos won their last 3 games. There are negotiations for a new coach in the team. Panathinaikos will have the help of the fans in this game. Tradition favour them vs OFI. In this game they will miss regular Goumas (D), and long time absents influential Gonzales (M), Victor (M).
Very particular games these between Panathinaikos and OFI. Tradition favour Panathinaikos a lot. The guests are much motivated and also the home team is in mediocre form right now. The away win is the more possible result, it can be a single for those who like the odds, or part of a combo.
My bet will be Panathinaikos -1 in the Asian, 1.88 at Pinnacle, stakes 4/10

PAOK - Kalamaria
PAOK are in the middle of the the table with 7 points in 5 games. Actually not very good or the popular team, however they had difficult schedule and many financial problems. They come from a loss 2-1 away vs Panathinaikos. They are good at home in front of the fans. In thi sgame they will miss regular Rebosio (D). They will play with 4-3-3 formation.
Kalamaria are low in the table with 4 points in 5 games. They come from a draw at home vs Panionios with a rather mediocre performance. In this local derby they want to repeat last seasons victory vs PAOk away, which came in the last round and the teams were unmotivated. In this game they will miss regular Popara (F) also long time absents Vella Junior (M), Perone (F). On the contrary regular Abonsah (D) returns in teh squad.
PAOK are strong at home and favourites in this game. Both teams are motivated for the game. Also both are not in their best form right now. The home ground gives advantage to PAOK. The odds for the home win are low it can be a part of a combo.
My bet will be a combo, Panathinaikos + PAOK = 1.45*1.37 = 1.98 at Gamebookers, stakes 6/10.

Egaleo - Atromitos
A hot local derby of Western Athens.
Egaleo have 8 points in 5 games, and are doing well so far in teh League. They are good at home, and they play more offensive football tis year. Last year they lost to Atromitos 1-0 at this local derby, and now they want to avenge that. Egaleo come from a home win vs Kerkyra 2-1 with a good performance. They will play with 4-3-3 formation.
Atromitos are low in teh table and need points badly. They come from a draw 2-2 at home vs Iraklis, also midweek they lost at Sevilla 4-0 for the Uefa Cup, in a game they rested many regulars. Atromitos will play with 3-5-2 formation.
They will miss regulars Lazanas (F), Jibbur (F).
A balanced game as a local derby. Egaleo are in good form and as they play at home they are favourites. Still Atromitos is much motivated and can't afford to lose. The guests travelled to Spain midweek for the Uefa Cup, however some players were rested.
my bet will be Egaleo on level ball, 1.65 at Interwetten, stakes 5/10.

Iraklis - Olympiakos
Iraklis are low in the table and need points badly. They also had a game for the Uefa Cup midweek where they lost 1-0 at home, with a goal at injury time. In the extra time they conceeded another and missed the opportunity for qualification. The morale is low in the team that looks in mediocre form. Iraklis are good at home usually. A team with good offensive line, but not so good defense usually. In this game influential striker Epale returns in the squad. On the contrary they will miss reglars Lawal (M), Prittas (M). Iraklis will play with 4-4-2 formation.
Olympiakos are first in teh table, and have 5 wins in 5 games. Midweek they had a game at Ukraine for the Champions League, when they drew 2-2 with Shakhtar Donetsk. In this game Olympiakos will have some important absents. They will miss influential regulars Rivaldo, Djorjevic (M), also Kafes (M), Ouaddou (D). Olympiakos will play with 4-3-3 formation.
A hard call. Iraklis is much motivated, but look in mediocre form. Olympiakos is the better team, but they have many absents, and also a they had an away game for the Champions League midweek. The away win is the more possible result but teh odds are low. Both teams have good strikers, and also not so good defense, so its a possible over.
My bet will be over 2.25 goals, 2.02 at Pinnacle, stakes 4/10.

Kerkyra - Ionikos
Kerkyra are in the middle of teh table, with 8 points in 5 games. The team is doing well so far in the League, and have some good performances. They have good defense and are good at home. They come from a loss away 2-1 to Egaleo. In this game they will play with 4-5-1 formation. They will miss influential regular Sidibe (GK), also regular Zaharopoulos (F) that missed the previous game as well.
Ionikos also are in the middle of the table with 7 points. The team have some good performances but they lost their last 2 games. Now they want a positive result and have the quality to achieve that. A team with some good players in the frontline, as travellers they play defensive with counters. They will play with 4-4-2 formation. Ionikos will miss regular Zavanio (D), also influential regular Makor (M) will play.
A balansed game. Kerkyra are good at home, and Ionikos look in good form. Both teams lost in the previous games and don't want to lose again so the draw looks the more possible result. Kerkyra have good defense to stop Ionikos counters still they will miss their keeper. Ionikos defense also can reduce Kerkyra firepower, so the game is a possible under.
My bet will be the draw, stakes 3/10.

GL2A
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Old 01-10-2006, 11:29
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

im a bit wary of kalamaria myself Censor. I hate them h2h's especially at the price. I cant go for it but good luck with PAOK. i could go with Egaleo DNB

Panathinaikos's unbeaten streak of 22 games v Crete makes me quite interested in that too.
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Old 01-10-2006, 11:51
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

Four match with good chances.

NIKI VOLOU has bad start but fans standing by the team. Good categorie experience against unexperience MESSINIAKOS. High odds here.

HELSINKI need desperately the win to hunt the championsip. So i play it.

HODD with good form and good attack line can win SPARTA today. This match is the last hope for her. High odds.

Finally KUOPIO need the win to fight last match for save the categorie. This match is the last hope too.

Last edited by THEO-007 : 01-10-2006 at 12:38.
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Old 01-10-2006, 11:54
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

it's all greek to me. good luck Theo with your shameless plugging of your blog.

Does Theo say much more on his blog for why he fancies teams anyone?
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Old 01-10-2006, 12:44
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

just chanced a small accy Censor on-

Panathinaikos 4/9
Levadiakos 7/20
Asteras Tripolis 7/20

and added them to another wee odds on perm.

KALH TUCH
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Old 01-10-2006, 12:52
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

asteras-tripolis-prrodeftiki:
asteras tripolis(new comer to Bdivision this year from C division) is quite a strong team for B division standards, especially at home. in previous match, was unlucky to get equalised at home from levadiakos(2-2) in the dying minutes of injury time(96'). levadiakos, to say, is one of the favorites for promotion to super liga this year.asteras has no injuries or suspended players as well.
proodeftiki on the other side, is a mediocre team, especially away from home. the team stands at the bootom of the table with 1 point in three games. in this game, it will have a loy of players missing as well, provatidis, zaharopoulos(suspended), dimopoulos, giovanelis, koutloumpasis, botaitis(injured) which is a very serious problem for a team with not a very big roster, and for that reason several players from the youth team were called to fill the squad.
for me any other result but the win of asteras tripolis, would be a big surprise.
so, my bet asteras tripolis-proodeftiki 1@1.40(interwetten, bet24, bwin, vc) 10/10
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Old 01-10-2006, 12:52
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

i will bet in two other mathes in B division as well, but with medium stakes:

levadiakos-panthrakikos 1@1.40(expekt)
big quality difference and panthrakikos will be without 3 first-team players

kallithea-veroia 1@1.70(sportingbet)
kallithea in great form(7 points out of 9) while veroia will play without 6 players(some of them are considered regulars)
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Old 01-10-2006, 12:53
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

one prediction from C division as well:

panetolikos-apollon smyrnis 1@1.30(bwin) 10/10
huge quality difference. i can't see how apollon will escape without conceding at least 2 goals in there. apollon lost at home last week from koropi, a really weak team

Last edited by tolis07 : 01-10-2006 at 13:00.
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Old 01-10-2006, 12:53
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Re: Greek Football 30th Sept - 1st Oct

i am not interested in the two super liga matches that start earlier, so i will be back with super liga matches analysis, later on.
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