Spanish Leagues: 9th - 10th Dec

[kompressaur]

09 Dec 19:00 Barcelona v Real Sociedad 1.16 5.50 14.00
09 Dec 21:00 Sevilla v Real Madrid 2.30 3.20 2.75

10 Dec 16:00 Athletic Bilbao v Huelva 2.25 3.10 2.87
10 Dec 16:00 Celta Vigo v Villarreal 2.30 3.10 2.80
10 Dec 16:00 Getafe v Real Betis 2.00 3.00 3.60
10 Dec 16:00 Gimnastic v Levante 2.30 3.20 2.75
10 Dec 16:00 Osasuna v Mallorca 2.10 3.20 3.20
10 Dec 16:00 Racing Santander v Real Zaragoza 2.62 3.20 2.37
10 Dec 18:00 Atletico Madrid v Espanyol 1.61 3.30 5.25
10 Dec 20:00 Valencia v D Coruna 1.66 3.20 5.00
odds from bet365

Div 2 to follow

[jetpilot]

interesting set of fictures,on a first glance..

Barca should have too much for Sociedad,but odds are ridicilous,should leave that alone..

May be interested in Bilbao,Recreativo are very hot this year,playing good football,but Bilbao were excellent on Bernabeu,and only Casillas with two brilliant saves at the end of the match keeps them from taking something,Orbaiz injury and Aduritz red card are no good news for Bilbao tbh...

Betis travel to Madrid,and if they lose again Irrureta will be fired,yeterday their goalkeeper injured on training and it's doubtfull for sunday,Betis missed two penalties against Atletico,and were better team in second half,meanwhile Getafe are having scoring problems,only 2 goals in last 5 matches but Abondanzieri is in superb form and he is bringing points for his team..

Gimnastic can win this one in my opinion,I'm not very attracted by Levante last result(draw against Barca),those who watched that game,knows that it was poor game in all acounts,with Levante running the show in second half,after Barca players started to walk on the pitch

That's big price for Depor isn't it?If Valencia are still w/o Villa &Morientes,Depor should be considerwed,but they are crossing bad period in their form,didn't record win in 6 rounds..unders should be considered too..

Espnaol finally find their game,and played their best game so far beating Sevilla last round,Atletico played good game in Sevilla and manage to grab all points after their goalkeeper saved two penalties,I'm not interested at that price on atletico at home,even they are for sure capable of winning this one

[rcgills]

Segunda odds (from Sporting Odds)

Alavés v Ciudad de Murcia
9-Dec-2006 18:30 2.10 2.80 3.60

Almería v Lorca
9-Dec-2006 18:30 1.727 3.00 5.00

Castellón v Xerez
9-Dec-2006 18:30 2.80 2.80 2.50

Numancia v Sporting
9-Dec-2006 18:30 2.50 2.80 2.80

Vecindario v Málaga
9-Dec-2006 18:30 2.80 2.80 2.50

Hércules v Polideportivo Ejido
9-Dec-2006 20:00 2.25 2.80 3.20

Cádiz v Valladolid
10-Dec-2006 12:00 2.625 2.80 2.70

Albacete v Las Palmas
10-Dec-2006 17:00 1.90 3.00 4.00

Real Murcia v Ponferradina
10-Dec-2006 17:00 1.571 3.25 6.00

Real Madrid B v Salamanca
10-Dec-2006 17:30 2.625 2.80 2.70

Tenerife v Elche
10-Dec-2006 18:00 2.25 2.80 3.20

[rcgills]

I think, although I'm not sure, that Villa may be OK for the Deportivo game, Jetpilot, and Morientes is expected back in full training today.

Not going to be around this weekend, so I'm not yet sure whether I'll be betting on anything this weekend, may just leave it.

Anyway, first thoughts, possibly Osasuna at home to Mallorca, could be interested in Zaragoza, as Racing are without Zigic and Munitis suspended, but that price is a bit short, bookies seem to have taken those suspensions into account. Espanyol are very tempting at that price, Atletico are very erratic at home, and Espanyol are in great form.

In the Segunda, maybe Ciudad de Murcia if Alaves's internal problems are still going on (not read the press this week), Almeria at home are always worth backing, even at that price (possibly worth considering handicap), Castellon are too big a price there I think, as are maybe Numancia too. Hercules are slipping a bit after a decent start under their new manager, Poli Ejido could be worth considering. Murcia far too short a price for an out of form team. Salamanca's chances depend to a large extent on whether their top 2 scorers, Braulio and Vela, are back. Quite fancy Elche too, although Tenerife sacked their manager this week, so will have to wait and see what the situation is with them.

Shit, I seem to like the look of almost every game in the Segunda this week, that can't be good

[skinny]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Not going to be around this weekend, so I'm not yet sure whether I'll be betting on anything this weekend, may just leave it.

Where are you going to?
I need your prediction!

[jetpilot]

interesting preparations for upcoming match on camp nou

http://www.elmundodeportivo.es/20061...241448621.html

[Ori]

no comprendo espanol

[jetpilot]

Originally Posted by Ori

no comprendo espanol

click on the picture,you will understand,there was a fight between two players on trainng

[rcgills]

Suspensions for the Primera:

Aduriz Athletic
Murillo Athletic
Cristian Deportivo
Riera Espanyol
Juan Gimnàstic
Jonás Mallorca
Josetxo Osasuna
Raúl García Osasuna
Diarra R. Madrid
Munitis Racing
Zigic Racing

The LFP site hasn't updated the 2ª suspensions yet.

[jetpilot]

important missings,especially for Racing,since Munitis&Zigic are main force in attack and i have absolutely no idea who will replace them,Zaragoza are for sure capable winning this one,draw is a worry ...

Diarra will miss for sure,especially in game against Sevilla,he and Emerson do all running and tackling in midfield,good news is that Guti is back and Ronaldo finally started to score goals..

Ossasuna surely will be weakened,they're crossing best period of the season so far,but Mallorca can suprised here,no bet

[rcgills]

Segunda suspensions:

Jandro Alavés
Cañas Albacete
Dealbert Castellón
Rodri Castellón
Luque Ciudad Murcia
López Ramos Ejido
Kike Mateo Hércules
Turiel Hércules
Chupri Ponferradina
Tébar R. Madrid Castilla
Daniel López Salamanca
Mario Salamanca
R. Gañán Salamanca
Tortolero Salamanca
Barral Sporting
Juanmi Sporting
San Martín Tenerife

Hmm, couple of important players missing there for Sporting, Barral is their 2nd top scorer with 4 goals, and Juanmi is a defender and one of only 2 ever-presents in the squad (the other is the keeper). They were poor last week too by the sounds of it, Numancia looks pretty tempting. Don't like having to make my mind up on bets by Thursday evening though, a lot can change between then and matchday.

Wow, Salamanca have 4 players missing, and a look at the stats makes VERY interesting reading. This is the list of the defenders in their squad (Name/Minutes played/Games started):

Alberto 0 0
Charcos 66 0
Dani López 1170 13
Jimi 0 0
Mario 1334 15
Raúl Gañán 1331 15
Tortolero 1260 14

So that's all four of their first choice defence missing, leaving them with only 3 recognised defenders, who've played a grand total of 66 minutes between them . According to their website, they'll be going with a defence of those 3, plus Tomas (midfielder, 2 starts plus 3 as a sub this season). They've got top scorer Braulio back (7 goals), but 2nd top scorer Vela (6 goals, and who I've only just seen is actually on loan from Arsenal, never realised that) is injured and isn't expected back until January.

Wish they were playing a team I actually trusted though, I hate Real Madrid B Bastards always do the opposite of what I expect. They're capable of some great stuff, but also capable of playing completely shite. 9 of them also travelled to Kiev on Wednesday, with 5 of them playing some part, will that affect them? Hopefully only in a good way, being on a high, rather than being knackered from travelling and playing in midweek. I think this is too good an opportunity to pass up. Visitors missing their entire first choice defence plus second top scorer, and 2.625 on the home side?

Real Madrid B v Salamanca @ 2.625 5pts

Will think over Numancia for a couple of hours, but that's about all for the weekend in Spain, not really got time to look into any more, shame as there were a few others I quite liked the look of.

Buen finde

[skinny]

Originally Posted by rcgills

.............but that's about all for the weekend in Spain, not really got time to look into any more, shame as there were a few others I quite liked the look of.

Buen finde

Why RC? What are you busy with?
Thought you have done your shopping with your girlfriend.

I need your analysis...

[igor5]

Real Madrid B - Salamanca
I was against Salamanca last week when they have problems with just 2 suspended players but this time this is big problem for them and I`m going to follow rc with real b, price is too big and they are good in attack they have some problems in difence....

Vecindario - Malaga
Malaga stay unbeaten 2 round and they are favorites in this game,f.ck that ,they have more quality for sure but in this game i like Vecindario ,they are playing much better in difence in last 5 rounds they didn`t receive like before 4-5 goals per game and i think odds for them are too high...

Almeria-Lorca
Almeria is home team and this should be one more win for them,Lorca is playing bad in away games 1-3-3,they score just 5 goals so far in away games and they are going to have big problems to score in this game

Castellon - Xerez
Again odds for Castellon are too high...
Xerez was crashed last round at home from Cadiz 1:4
This could be good bet if team news for Castellon is good

Numancia-Gijon
it`s seems like Numancia is playing much better away this season..
2.60 for Numancia is tempting but on the other side is Gijon with best away difence just 3 goals receive in 7 games....
I like h2h:
Home:3-2-0
Overall:5-2-3


Skinny we all like to read RC analyses but why you don`t write couple of words what you think could be good bet?

[igor5]

Almeria-Lorca
Almeria is very good at home and for tomorrow they are almost with full squad, but Lorca is with some injury problems.....

Injured:
Alex Alves-m
Alexandre José Oliveira-m

And several doubts:
Antonio Robles-d
Israel Delgado-d
Iván Ania-m
Gorka de Carlos-f
Javi Rodríguez-f


Almeria@ 1.8....6 pt


Alaves-Cuidad
Alaves is big crisis caused by president Dmitry Piterman-idiot that thinks that he is god himself
i like Cuidad but i just realize from the suspensions that Rc posted earlier that Luque-best scorer(5 goals) for Cuidad is out and that’s big blow for them ,they are home team and they playing very defensive in away game so without him it`s going to be difficult for them to score.....

Cuidad DNB@2.45.....1 pt


Hércules- Ejido
Hércules for this game is without too many players and Ehijo is looking like a decent bet.....

Hércules is without:
Injured:
Edu Albacar-d
Diego Mateo-m
Pablo Calandria-f
Suspended:
Kike Mateo
Jesus Turiel Angel

Ejido@3.2.....2pts

GL

[conanthelibrarian]

Originally Posted by jetpilot

interesting set of fictures,on a first glance..

Barca should have too much for Sociedad,but odds are ridicilous,should leave that alone..

May be interested in Bilbao,Recreativo are very hot this year,playing good football,but Bilbao were excellent on Bernabeu,and only Casillas with two brilliant saves at the end of the match keeps them from taking something,Orbaiz injury and Aduritz red card are no good news for Bilbao tbh...

Betis travel to Madrid,and if they lose again Irrureta will be fired,yeterday their goalkeeper injured on training and it's doubtfull for sunday,Betis missed two penalties against Atletico,and were better team in second half,meanwhile Getafe are having scoring problems,only 2 goals in last 5 matches but Abondanzieri is in superb form and he is bringing points for his team..

Gimnastic can win this one in my opinion,I'm not very attracted by Levante last result(draw against Barca),those who watched that game,knows that it was poor game in all acounts,with Levante running the show in second half,after Barca players started to walk on the pitch

That's big price for Depor isn't it?If Valencia are still w/o Villa &Morientes,Depor should be considerwed,but they are crossing bad period in their form,didn't record win in 6 rounds..unders should be considered too..

Espnaol finally find their game,and played their best game so far beating Sevilla last round,Atletico played good game in Sevilla and manage to grab all points after their goalkeeper saved two penalties,I'm not interested at that price on atletico at home,even they are for sure capable of winning this one

"Barca should have too much for Sociedad,but odds are ridicilous,should leave that alone"

Just wondering is that because you worked out the percentage of Barcelona winning and the odds don't justify the bet or you just looked and thought I don't fancy betting on red hot favs?