Swedish - 16/17/18th May

[kompressaur]

[kompressaur]

All odds from Bet365

[MickeyPaul]

Not many stats to go on.

Hmmm, IFK Norrkopping, 2 home games, no goals conceded; 2-0 and 1-0 victories. Vastra Frolunda, 2 away games, no goals scored; 1-0 and 3-0 defeats. Also, they travelled to Norrkopping in late Septemeber and lost 3-0...

Not much to go on I know but it looks like a home win. 1.57 @ Ladbrokes.

Vasteras v Orebro seems more interesting on paper - Ladbrokes go 3.75 for the home win here but the tiny little amount of stats I have say Vasteras have a win and a defeat in 2 at home - Orebro have a draw and a defeat from 2 away and are 1 goal worse off. All I have are those stats so 3.75 seems generous to me. Maybe the 1X here?

Any Swedes want to lend a hand?

[crowie]

I will try and help :tongue:


Nah, seriously, nothing for today but two things to note.

1. Sundsvall lost at Gefle yesterday 2-1. Available to lay about 3.00 or so, thats now extended their away run to 2 wins in their last 32 aways over approx 2+ seasons.

2. Kalmar lost 1-0 at Malmo yesterday. Thats 6 games this season Kalmar have played and all 6 have went under 2.5. In fact only one game of their 6 has had more than 1 goal in it.

If you look at Kalmars record from last season you will see this is a continuing trend. Their final game of last season saw them win 3-0. The previous 18 games before that one had went under 2.5. 18 games in a row under 2.5, some going. Adding on this season thats now 24 out of last 25 games under 2.5. The under was available about 1.70 on Betfair yesterday.


So, look to oppose Sundsvall away from home and back under 2.5 the next time Kalmar play in Sweden.

[MickeyPaul]

Cheers Crowie.

[MickeyPaul]

2/2 aint bad for my first jaunt into Sweden, eh?

Sweden - Superettan May 17

FT Norrkoping 3 - 1 Vastra Frolunda
FT Vasteras 2 - 2 Orebro
FT GAIS 1 - 1 Atvidaberg

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Well done - what do you think about for Djurgardens game tonight?

Having a look at the league just now and like you say, not much to choose from. Interesting stat i found was that Djurgarden have had over 2.5 goals in ALL 5 league games played so far, while Hammerby have drawn both home matches.

Kind of ignoring Hammarby's games seem to be tight and going by Djurgardens and i am going to plump for the over 2.5. Always may have a little dabble on 2-2

2-2 16/1 SJ
Over 2 goals 5/6 SJ

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

It would be good if we could find some Swedish, or european guys for that matter, to help us out here. Its all good us finding stats etc - be good if we could have teams news etc and people who know what they are actually talking about! :think

[MickeyPaul]

You saying I don't know what I'm talking about Kiko? Nah, you're right. Absolutely essential we get some continentals in and believe me, this is something we will be working on round the clock.

Whatever happened to Da Hannanah btw? I always liked him.

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Ok ignore - administrator guy just said that he doesnt think it would be much use here as most of them dont speak much English

He told me if i need any team news etc to get in contact and he'll help me out, its a start i guess!

[MickeyPaul]

Thanks Kiko - what administrator guy do you mean btw and what wouldn't be much use? I'm lost. :think

[nagga]

Hammarby - Djurgarden

Expected team (Hammarby): Ante Covic – David Johansson, Patrik Gerrbrand, Pétur Marteinsson, Max von Schlebrügge – Björn Runström, Mikkel Jensen, Petter Andersson, Petter Furuseth Olsen – Mikael Andersson, Jeffrey Aubynn

Expected team (Djurgarden): Pa Dembo Tourray - Niclas Rasck, Markus Johannesson, Toni Kuivasto, Fredrik Stenman - Ka¡ri A?rnason, Johan Arneng, Felix Magro - Ibrahim Ba, Sören Larsen, Tobias Hysen

[MickeyPaul]

Thank you, nagga. Looks a toughy on paper. Hammarby seem pretty tight at the back (say the stats) - 0-0 and 1-1 draws at home so far - the 1-1 coming against Malmo who sit top of the away table. Not bad going

Djurgarden have one win in 2 away games, 1-2 at bottom of the table Elfsborg. Their other away match ended in a 3-1 defeat at what looks stats wise to be a decent Halmstad side.

Could end 0-0 this one or a narrow home win. Could be a narrow away win too say the stats so I wouldn't touch it.

[nagga]

I for one had a punt on over 2.5 goals @ 2.045 and Djurgarden @ 3.28. I am not saying my bets will win, but the prices seemed good enough to me. So far this season, 7 out of 10 games of either team had at least 3 goals in them, that is the main reason why I see tiny value in my overs bet. As for my other bet, I think the price is too big, especially when Djurgarden don't have to travel very far.

[MickeyPaul]

Good luck nagga and don't mind my post. I was just looking at a couple of stats and was hoping someone would jump in and offer some more info.

Cheers.