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Colorado Rapids vs Austin Prediction, Tips & Odds

Colorado Rapids vs Austin

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 18
Colorado Rapids
#11 · Major League Soccer
WLWDL
1 - 0
Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City
Austin
#14 · Major League Soccer
WLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 61.0%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 63.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.57). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.5% vs 61.0%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Colorado Rapids to win this match against Austin, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 13th place, Colorado has shown some improvement with two wins in their last five matches, managing to score 25 goals while allowing 24. Their positive goal difference of 1 indicates a slightly better attacking output compared to their defensive vulnerabilities. Austin, on the other hand, finds themselves in 14th position with a record of three wins, five draws, and seven losses. They have struggled significantly this season, with only one win in their last five matches and a goal difference of -12, having scored just 19 goals while conceding 31. This indicates a real challenge for them in both attack and defense. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Colorado Rapids, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to note is the likelihood of Colorado winning by one goal. However, a potential pitfall for Colorado could be their inconsistency, as they have had periods where they struggle to maintain form. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Colorado Rapids Win54%1.75
Draw21%3.86
Austin Win25%4.27
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6457.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6755.9%

Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Colorado Rapids 1-1 Austin
6.9914.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Colorado Rapids -0.5
1.7148%

Colorado Rapids have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.99
14.4%
2-1
7.53
13.4%
1-0
7.99
12.6%
2-0
8.79
11.5%
3-1
11.71
8.7%
2-2
12.20
8.3%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Colorado Rapids
-0.0
1.31
Austin
+0.0
3.25
Colorado Rapids
-0.5
1.71
Austin
+0.5
3.80
Colorado Rapids
-1.5
2.88
Austin
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Colorado Rapids are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Colorado Rapids vs Austin
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.733.854.301.652.201.622.15
Marathonbet
1.723.924.251.672.161.632.11
Betfair
1.754.004.331.652.201.652.20
Pinnacle
1.764.064.531.712.22
SBO
1.763.684.061.722.19
William Hill
1.733.804.001.652.15
Bet365
1.753.804.501.672.151.672.10
Unibet
1.773.854.201.632.201.602.20
888Sport
1.733.804.001.672.101.652.15
Betano
1.783.854.351.702.201.652.15
Superbet
1.773.904.351.682.201.652.17
BetVictor
1.733.804.331.642.081.622.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XColorado Rapids or Draw
75%1.20
12Colorado Rapids or Austin
79%1.22
X2Draw or Austin
46%2.03

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Colorado Rapids leads 5-3)
5 Colorado Rapids2 Draw3 Austin
Jun 25
Colorado Rapids
0-2
Austin
Major League Soccer
Mar 25
Austin
0-1
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Oct 24
Austin
3-2
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Jun 24
Colorado Rapids
2-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
Oct 23
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
Mar 23
Austin
1-1
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Oct 22
Austin
1-1
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Jul 22
Colorado Rapids
2-3
Austin
Major League Soccer
Sept 21
Colorado Rapids
3-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
Aug 21
Austin
0-1
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer

In the last 10 matches between Colorado Rapids and Austin, Colorado Rapids have won 5 times, drawn 2, and Austin has won 3 times. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters, with several narrow wins; Colorado Rapids secured victories by a single goal on three occasions. However, Austin's wins have also been tight, including a 3-2 result. The most recent match showed Austin winning 2-0, suggesting they can prevail against Colorado. With two draws in the last ten games, the rivalry appears balanced, though Colorado has historically edged the head-to-head record.

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Nashville SC
18124235142140
DLWWW
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
17104338172134
DDLWL
2
Inter Miami
18115245321338
DWWWW
2
Los Angeles FC
19104535191634
DWWWW
3
San Jose Earthquakes
18103537241333
LDLWL
3
New England Revolution
189362823530
LDWDL
11
Colorado Rapids
1871102725222
WLWLL
14
Austin
184592236-1417
LLWLL
14
CF Montreal
1844102435-1116
DLLDD
15
Sporting Kansas City
1842121846-2814
LLWLL
15
Atlanta United FC
1833121933-1412
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Colorado RapidsHome
5W0D3L
8 playedGF 17 · GA 91.88 pts/game
AustinAway
0W3D7L
10 playedGF 10 · GA 290.30 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Colorado RapidsAustin
1.45Goals p.g.1.14
1.45Goals conceded p.g.1.72
24%Clean sheets28%
34%Win rate24%
2.9Avg goals in match2.86
0.95xG per game0.96
0.10xGA per game-0.45
56%Possession %49%
3.0Shots on target / game4.2
5.5Corners per game3.6
Colorado Rapids
Recent Form

Colorado Rapids have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Austin 1-0 and beat San Diego 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 14L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Colorado RapidsAll competitions
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1-0
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1-0
San Diego
Major League Soccer
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1-1
FC Juarez
Friendlies Clubs
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1-2
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
21 May
Colorado Rapids
2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
US Open Cup
10
Win
34%
5
Draw
17%
14
Lost
48%
Austin
Recent Form

Austin have won 0 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Colorado Rapids 1-0 and lost to Houston Dynamo 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 15L from the last 29 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AustinAll competitions
07 Aug
Austin
2-0
Club Tijuana
Leagues Cup
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
23 Jul
Austin
3-1
Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
08 Jul
Austin
4-0
Sporting JAX
Friendlies Clubs
03 Jul
Austin
0-1
Club Queretaro
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
24%
7
Draw
24%
15
Lost
52%

Lineups

Confirmed

Colorado Rapids4-3-3Confirmed

4Reggie CannonDEF
5Loïc WilliamsDEF
22Lucas HerringtonDEF
6Rob HoldingDEF
77Darren YapiFWD
7Dante SealyFWD
9Rafael NavarroFWD
41Nicholas Defreitas-HansenGK
12Josh AtencioMID
10Paxten AaronsonMID
8Hamzat OjediranMID
24Noah CobbDEF
2Keegan RosenberryDEF
29Miguel NavarroDEF
33Kosi ThompsonDEF
93Georgi MinoungouFWD
32Donavan PhillipFWD
16Alex HarrisFWD
31Adam BeaudryGK
13Wayne FrederickMID

Austin4-4-2Confirmed

17Jon GallagherDEF
29Guilherme BiroDEF
4Brendan Hines-IkeDEF
5Oleksandr SvatokDEF
9Brandon VázquezFWD
10Myrto UzuniFWD
1Brad StuverGK
11Facundo TorresMID
6Ilie SánchezMID
33Owen WolffMID
77Przemysław PłachetaMID
23Žan KolmaničDEF
35Mateja ĐorđevićDEF
7Jayden NelsonFWD
21Christian RamirezFWD
12Damian LasGK
30Joseph RosalesMID
20Nicolas DubersarskyMID
38Ervin TorresMID
14Besard SabovićMID

Unavailable Players

8 players

Colorado Rapids6

J. Travis
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
K. Stewart-Baynes
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
M. Diop
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Holding
Missing FixtureRed Card
T. Ku-DiPietro
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
Z. Steffen
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury

Austin2

J. Bell
Missing FixturePelvis Injury
M. Desler
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (55.9%)
Both Teams Score1.64 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Colorado Rapids Win1.75 (53.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (44.1%)
BTTS No2.15 (42.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.86 (21.3%)
Austin Win4.27 (24.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Colorado Rapids have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Austin 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Colorado Rapids have generated 0.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Colorado Rapids player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.