New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC
Match Preview
The model favours New England Revolution to win against Atlanta United FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. New England currently sits in fourth place in the league, boasting a solid record of eight wins, one draw, and five losses from their 14 matches this season. With 25 points, their offensive output has been respectable, scoring 22 goals while conceding 18. Their recent form, with three wins in their last five matches, suggests they are finding their rhythm as they look to solidify their playoff position. In contrast, Atlanta United FC is struggling in 14th place, having secured only three wins from 14 matches, alongside two draws and nine losses. They have managed to score just 14 goals while allowing 23, leading to a goal difference of -9. Their recent form is concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, which indicates difficulties both in attack and defense. This lack of consistency puts them at a disadvantage going into this match. According to the model, New England Revolution has a strong win probability, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a key caveat is that if Atlanta can find a way to improve their defensive performance or exploit any lapses from New England, they could pose a threat. The full prediction method, based on expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (New England Revolution leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between New England Revolution and Atlanta United FC, New England has won 6 times, drawn 2, and Atlanta has won 2. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, with several close matches; however, New England has secured a notable advantage. Notably, the majority of victories for New England have been by narrow margins, such as 2-1 and 1-0, suggesting tight contests. Atlanta's last win against New England came in February 2025, indicating a struggle to find success in recent encounters. Overall, while both teams have had their moments, New England holds the upper hand historically.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 | DLWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 | LDWDL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 33 | LDLWL |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNew England Revolution have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat New England Revolution 4-1 and drew with New England Revolution 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 9L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Atlanta United FC have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Atlanta United FC 3-2 and lost to New England Revolution 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 15L from the last 28 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
12 playersNew England Revolution4
Atlanta United FC8
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
