New Zealand vs Egypt Prediction, Tips & Odds

New Zealand vs Egypt

World CupGroup Stage - 2
New Zealand
#4 · World Cup
LLWLL
1 - 3
BC Place, Vancouver
Referee: Omar Mohamed Al Ali, United Arab Emirates
Egypt
#2 · World Cup
DDWDL

Match Preview

Egypt enters this match against New Zealand with a significant advantage, having secured 5 points from three matches, while New Zealand has only managed to earn a solitary point. With Egypt's record of 1 win and 2 draws, they are positioned to advance, while New Zealand's 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses indicate a disappointing campaign. Historically, Egypt has more tournament experience, with their last three World Cup appearances culminating in group stage exits. In contrast, New Zealand has not qualified for the last three editions, which underscores the challenges they face on this international stage. Egypt's manager, Hossam Hassan, has been at the helm since early 2024 and has seen his team display resilience, evidenced by their ability to secure draws against strong opponents and a recent win against New Zealand. In terms of recent competitive form, Egypt has shown a more consistent performance, with their last eight matches yielding 4 wins and 4 draws, including a victory against New Zealand. Meanwhile, New Zealand's form has been troubling, with only one win in their last eight competitive outings. A key caveat for this match is the absence of Ahmed Abou El Fotouh for Egypt, which could impact their defensive stability. Overall, the stakes are high for New Zealand, who are effectively eliminated from the tournament and will seek to end their campaign on a high note. For Egypt, a draw would suffice to secure their place in the next round. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has evaluated these factors through an in-house model that considers bookmaker probabilities and tournament context, providing insights into this intriguing matchup.

About the Teams

New Zealand

ManagerF. Schmid · since 2018-02-22
Tournament historyNo appearances in the last 3 editions on record
Recent matches
Lat England 0-1Friendly
Lat Haiti 0-4Friendly
Wvs Chile 4-1FIFA Series
Lvs Finland 0-2FIFA Series
Lat Ecuador 0-2Friendly
Lat Colombia 1-2Friendly

Egypt

ManagerHossam Hassan · since 2024-02-01
Tournament historyLast 3 editions — 2018: Group stage. Best: Group stage.
Recent matches
Dat Australia 1-1World Cup
Dvs Iran 1-1World Cup
Wat New Zealand 3-1World Cup
Dat Belgium 1-1World Cup
Lat Brazil 1-2Friendly
Wvs Russia 1-0Friendly

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Egypt leads 1-0)
0 New Zealand0 Draw1 Egypt
Mar 24
Egypt
1-0
New Zealand
Friendlies

In their only meeting, Egypt has won against New Zealand, with a record of 1 win and 0 draws. This encounter took place in 2024 and was a friendly match, which typically features lower intensity and squad rotation. As there are no competitive meetings between the two teams, the sample size is too small to identify any patterns or trends in their head-to-head history.

Group G Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Belgium
31206245
LWWWD
2
Egypt
31205325
LWDWD
3
Iran
30303303
DDD
4
New Zealand
3012410-61
LLD

Key Statistics

2026 Season
New ZealandEgypt
0.73Goals p.g.1.4
1.82Goals conceded p.g.0.73
0%Clean sheets40%
9%Win rate47%
2.55Avg goals in match2.13
xG per game1.28
xGA per game-0.05
41%Possession %46%
3.2Shots on target / game3.4
4.1Corners per game3.3
New Zealand
Recent Form

New Zealand have won 1 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat New Zealand 4-1 and lost to New Zealand 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 1W 1D 9L from the last 11 games (9% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: New ZealandAll competitions
06 Jun
England
1-0
New Zealand
Friendlies
03 Jun
Haiti
4-0
New Zealand
Friendlies
30 Mar
New Zealand
4-1
Chile
FIFA Series
27 Mar
New Zealand
0-2
Finland
FIFA Series
Nov 25
Ecuador
2-0
New Zealand
Friendlies
Nov 25
Colombia
2-1
New Zealand
Friendlies
1
Win
9%
1
Draw
9%
9
Lost
82%
Egypt
Recent Form

Egypt have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Egypt 1-1 and beat New Zealand 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 2L from the last 15 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: EgyptAll competitions
03 Jul
Australia
1-1
Egypt
World Cup
27 Jun
Egypt
1-1
Iran
World Cup
22 Jun
New Zealand
1-3
Egypt
World Cup
15 Jun
Belgium
1-1
Egypt
World Cup
06 Jun
Brazil
2-1
Egypt
Friendlies
28 May
Egypt
1-0
Russia
Friendlies
7
Win
47%
6
Draw
40%
2
Lost
13%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.

Unavailable Players

1 player

New Zealand

No reported absences

Egypt1

Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
Missing FixtureHamstring Muscle Injury

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Egypt to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

New Zealand vs Egypt Predictions, Stats, H2H - 22 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt