Norway vs Senegal Prediction, Tips & Odds
Norway vs Senegal
Match Preview
Norway enters this match against Senegal with a slight edge in group stage performance, having secured 6 points from their three matches, including two wins and a loss. Their attacking prowess has been evident, scoring 8 goals, though they have also conceded 7 times, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Senegal, despite their strong historical pedigree, has struggled in this tournament, managing only 3 points with one win and two losses. Their goal difference of 2 suggests a more balanced but less effective offensive output compared to Norway. Both teams are led by experienced managers, with Ståle Solbakken at the helm for Norway since 2021 and Jean Koto managing Senegal since July 2021. This continuity could lend an advantage in tactical cohesion, particularly for Norway, who have shown a mixed bag of recent form. They have won only one of their last eight competitive matches, but their victories against teams like Sweden and Estonia demonstrate their capability to perform when necessary. For Senegal, their recent form includes a notable 5-0 victory over Iraq, showcasing their attacking potential. However, they have also experienced significant defeats, such as a 3-0 loss to Morocco, which raises concerns about their consistency. Both teams are at full strength with no reported absentees, which could lead to an intriguing tactical battle. This match is crucial for both teams, as Norway seeks to solidify their place in the knockout stages, while Senegal aims to salvage their tournament by aiming for a strong finish. The stakes are high, and while Norway has the upper hand in recent results, the unpredictability of tournament football means anything is possible. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses this fixture through aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context, but specific probabilities are not available for this match.
About the Teams
Norway
Senegal
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Norway leads 1-0)Norway and Senegal have met once in their history, with Norway winning that match 3-2 during the 2026 World Cup. Since this is the only competitive meeting between the two teams, the sample size is too small to assert any patterns or trends. The match took place in 2026, making it a relatively recent encounter, but with only one data point, it does not provide a comprehensive understanding of how these teams perform against each other.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 4 |  Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNorway have won 5 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Norway 1-4 and beat Norway 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 2L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Senegal have won 2 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Saudi Arabia 0-0 and lost to USA 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 2L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNorway
No reported absences
Senegal
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
