RB Bragantino vs Corinthians Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Bragantino vs Corinthians
Match Preview
The model favours RB Bragantino to win against Corinthians with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned sixth in the Serie A standings, RB Bragantino has accumulated 30 points from 19 matches, boasting a record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of +6 indicates a solid attacking presence, having scored 26 goals while conceding 20. Notably, they are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws, highlighting their resilience and recent form. On the other hand, Corinthians sit in eighth place with 28 points from 20 matches, featuring 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal statistics show a balanced approach, with 22 goals scored and 20 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of +2. However, their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, suggesting inconsistency that could hinder their performance against a confident Bragantino side. The model gives RB Bragantino a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator suggests that they are favoured to win by a narrow margin. One caveat to consider is that if Corinthians can capitalise on set pieces or counter-attacks, they could disrupt Bragantino's momentum. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
RB Bragantino have kept a clean sheet in 35% of matches. Corinthians average 1.1 goals per game.
RB Bragantino manage games at home, conceding just 0.95 goals per match. Corinthians score 1.13 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.9% probability.
RB Bragantino have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature RB Bragantino clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. RB Bragantino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Bragantino vs Corinthians| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.55 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.19 | 3.08 | 3.44 | 2.38 | 1.56 | 1.99 | 1.71 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.27 | 3.14 | 3.65 | 2.49 | 1.57 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.02 | 3.30 | 2.44 | 1.55 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.54 | 2.42 | 1.59 | 1.99 | 1.73 | |
| 2.17 | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.47 | 1.57 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
Superbet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.56 | 2.07 | 1.71 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (RB Bragantino leads 6-3)In the last ten matches between RB Bragantino and Corinthians, RB Bragantino has won six times, Corinthians has won three times, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches decided by narrow margins, including four games ending 2-1. RB Bragantino has enjoyed a stronger recent record, winning five of the last six encounters. Corinthians last secured a victory over RB Bragantino in January 2025, suggesting a shift in dominance in this matchup. Overall, while RB Bragantino holds a favorable record, the matches have generally been closely contested.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 48 | DWLWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 42 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 40 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 35 | DDDDD |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | WWLWD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 33 | DDDDW |
| 7 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 | WDDWW |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 | LDDWW |
| 19 |  Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 22 | DLWLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Bragantino have won 10 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Corinthians 0-2 and beat Sporting Cristal 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 10D 12L from the last 37 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Corinthians have won 7 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 9 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Corinthians 0-2 and lost to Internacional 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 12D 9L from the last 38 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRB Bragantino4-2-3-1Confirmed
Corinthians4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
14 playersRB Bragantino8
Corinthians6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
RB Bragantino have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Corinthians 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Bragantino have generated 1.72 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Bragantino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
