Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
Match Preview
The model favours Shenyang Urban to win against Henan Jianye, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Shenyang Urban currently sits in 9th place in the league, having accumulated 24 points from 21 matches. Their season has been a mixed bag, with a record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. They have scored 28 goals but conceded 33, resulting in a goal difference of -5. Despite these challenges, their recent form shows signs of improvement, with two wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Henan Jianye is just behind in 10th place, with 23 points from 21 matches. They have a slightly better goal difference of +1, thanks to 26 goals scored and 25 goals conceded. Their recent form has been more consistent, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, which includes two wins and three draws. This resilience could pose a challenge for Shenyang Urban, especially as they look to solidify their position in the mid-table. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Shenyang Urban, with the likelihood of a close match reflected in the projected score. However, the caveat is the potential for Henan Jianye’s unbeaten streak to disrupt Shenyang's plans, especially if they can convert their recent draws into wins. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team involves an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.22 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.21 | 1.66 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.31 | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.11 | 3.60 | 2.28 | 1.70 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.17 | 1.74 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.06 | 3.52 | 2.29 | 1.70 | 2.19 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.28 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 2.92 | 3.45 | 2.22 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.25 | 1.64 | 2.12 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Henan Jianye leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, Henan Jianye defeated Shenyang Urban 4-0. This lopsided result indicates a significant advantage for Henan Jianye, showcasing their offensive strength and Shenyang Urban's defensive vulnerabilities. The match was not close, with Henan scoring four goals while preventing any response from Shenyang. As it stands, Shenyang Urban has yet to secure a win against Henan Jianye in their head-to-head history.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 25 | LDLLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShenyang Urban have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4 and lost to Shenyang Urban 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 14L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Henan Jianye have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 10D 11L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShenyang Urban
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shenyang Urban have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Henan Jianye 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
