Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Preview
The model favours Chongqing Tongliang Long to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Chongqing currently sits in second place in the league standings, having accumulated 29 points from 19 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid defensive record, conceding only 21 goals, which contributes to a positive goal difference of 2. With seven wins and eight draws, they have shown resilience, particularly in their recent form where they have secured two wins and two draws in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu finds themselves in a more precarious position, sitting in tenth place with 20 points from 19 matches. They have struggled throughout the season, recording only six victories while suffering 11 losses. Their goal-scoring has also been a concern, with 25 goals scored but 33 conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of 8. Their recent form, with just two wins in their last five matches, indicates ongoing challenges in both attack and defense. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Chongqing Tongliang Long. While the prediction leans towards an away victory, a potential caveat is Sichuan Jiuniu's ability to capitalize on home advantage, which could disrupt Chongqing's momentum. The full methodology used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which combines expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Sichuan Jiuniu manage games at home, conceding just 1.66 goals per match. Chongqing Tongliang Long score 1.16 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
Sichuan Jiuniu have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sichuan Jiuniu are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.46 | 3.30 | 2.64 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 2.52 | 3.24 | 2.68 | 1.89 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.65 | 3.36 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.01 | 2.50 | 1.99 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.60 | 3.34 | 2.76 | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.68 | 2.06 | |
| 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.85 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.67 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 2.47 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, Chongqing Tongliang Long defeated Sichuan Jiuniu with a score of 2-0. This result indicates a clear advantage for Chongqing, as they secured a comfortable win without conceding any goals. The match demonstrates a one-sided outcome, with no draws recorded between the two teams. Since there has only been one fixture, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but Sichuan Jiuniu has not won against Chongqing Tongliang Long in their head-to-head history.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 29 | LLLDD |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0 and lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 18L from the last 32 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0 and lost to Wuhan Three Towns 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 10L from the last 32 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSichuan Jiuniu4-1-4-1Confirmed
Chongqing Tongliang Long5-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Chongqing Tongliang Long 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sichuan Jiuniu have generated 1.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sichuan Jiuniu player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.