Argentina vs Algeria Prediction, Tips & Odds

Argentina vs Algeria

World CupGroup Stage - 1
Argentina
#1 · World Cup
WWWWW
3 - 0
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Algeria
#3 · World Cup
DWWDW

Match Preview

Argentina enters this match as the clear favorite, having already secured their spot at the top of Group J with three wins and a commanding goal difference of 8-1. Their recent competitive form is impressive, with a series of victories, including a convincing 3-0 win against Algeria in a prior friendly. This strong performance, combined with their pedigree in recent tournaments where they reached the final in 2022 and the Round of 16 in 2018, illustrates Argentina's capability to perform under pressure. In contrast, Algeria finds itself in a challenging position, having accumulated only four points from their three group matches. Their record of one win, one draw, and one loss, along with a negative goal difference of 5-7, indicates that they have struggled defensively. Although they have shown flashes of talent, their inconsistency could be a significant hurdle against a dominant side like Argentina. Algeria's recent competitive form is mixed, with a draw against Austria and a loss to Nigeria, which raises questions about their ability to compete at this level. Both teams come into this match without key absentees, which means they can field their strongest squads. However, it is worth noting that the stakes are high for Algeria, who must win to stand a chance of advancing, while Argentina is already assured of their place in the next round. The neutral venue also removes any home advantage, but Argentina's experience in high-pressure situations may give them the edge. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs a method that analyzes aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the context of the tournament to inform predictions. While the model output is not available for this fixture, the combination of Argentina's current form and tournament experience suggests they are well-positioned to secure another victory.

About the Teams

Argentina

ManagerL. Scaloni · since 2018-08-01
Qualifying1st in WC Qualification South America, 12W-2D-4L, 38 pts
Tournament historyLast 3 editions — 2022: Final; 2018: Round of 16; 2014: Runners-up. Best: Final.
Recent matches
Wvs Switzerland 3-1World Cup
Wvs Egypt 3-2World Cup
Wvs Cape Verde Islands 3-2World Cup
Wat Jordan 3-1World Cup
Wvs Austria 2-0World Cup
Wvs Algeria 3-0World Cup

Algeria

ManagerV. Petković · since 2024-02-01
Tournament historyLast 3 editions — 2014: Round of 16. Best: Round of 16.
Recent matches
Dvs Austria 3-3World Cup
Wat Bolivia 4-0Friendly
Wat Netherlands 1-0Friendly
Dvs Uruguay 0-0Friendly
Wvs Guatemala 7-0Friendly
Lvs Nigeria 0-2Africa Cup of Nations

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Argentina leads 1-0)
1 Argentina0 Draw0 Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3-0
Algeria
World Cup

Argentina and Algeria have faced each other once in recent history, with Argentina winning that match 3-0 during the 2026 World Cup. This single competitive meeting provides a limited view, making it difficult to draw any significant conclusions about a head-to-head pattern. Since there are no previous encounters and no friendly matches, we cannot assert any trend beyond this singular result.

Group J Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Argentina
33008179
WWWWW
2
Austria
31116604
LDLW
3
Algeria
311157-24
LDWL
4
Jordan
300338-50
LLL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
ArgentinaAlgeria
2.62Goals p.g.2.17
0.56Goals conceded p.g.0.58
56%Clean sheets67%
88%Win rate67%
3.19Avg goals in match2.75
2.11xG per game1.62
-0.54xGA per game-0.49
66%Possession %52%
5.9Shots on target / game3.9
3.7Corners per game4.0
Argentina
Recent Form

Argentina have won 11 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Switzerland 3-1 and beat Egypt 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 1D 1L from the last 16 games (88% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ArgentinaAll competitions
12 Jul
Argentina
3-1
Switzerland
World Cup
07 Jul
Argentina
3-2
Egypt
World Cup
03 Jul
Argentina
3-2
Cape Verde Islands
World Cup
28 Jun
Jordan
1-3
Argentina
World Cup
22 Jun
Argentina
2-0
Austria
World Cup
17 Jun
Argentina
3-0
Algeria
World Cup
14
Win
88%
1
Draw
6%
1
Lost
6%
Algeria
Recent Form

Algeria have won 3 of their last 3 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bolivia 0-4 and beat Netherlands 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 1L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AlgeriaAll competitions
28 Jun
Algeria
3-3
Austria
World Cup
11 Jun
Bolivia
0-4
Algeria
Friendlies
03 Jun
Netherlands
0-1
Algeria
Friendlies
31 Mar
Algeria
0-0
Uruguay
Friendlies
27 Mar
Algeria
7-0
Guatemala
Friendlies
10 Jan
Algeria
0-2
Nigeria
Africa Cup of Nations
8
Win
67%
3
Draw
25%
1
Lost
8%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Argentina

No reported absences

Algeria

No reported absences

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OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score No

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Argentina vs Algeria Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt