GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani Prediction, Tips & Odds
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani
Match Preview
The model favours GAP Connah S Quay FC to win this match against Ballkani, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Connah S Quay has shown some resilience in their recent performances, managing one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This mixed form suggests they have the potential to secure a victory, especially if they can build on their strengths at home. On the other hand, Ballkani has struggled lately, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their inconsistency could hinder their chances against a side that has shown some ability to compete, despite not having a solid run of form. The pressure will be on Ballkani to bounce back, but their recent results indicate they may find it challenging. According to the model, GAP Connah S Quay FC has a strong win probability due to their home advantage and slightly better recent form. One key market percentage to consider is their implied chance of winning at approximately 60%. However, if Ballkani manages to find their footing early in the match, it could disrupt Connah S Quay's plans. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in 27% of matches. Ballkani average 1.0 goals per game.
GAP Connah S Quay FC manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Ballkani score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.
Ballkani have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Ballkani win as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Ballkani are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.25 | 4.40 | 1.36 | 1.77 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.67 | |
| 7.90 | 5.15 | 1.32 | 1.80 | 1.96 | 2.10 | 1.64 | |
| 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.33 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 5.62 | 5.02 | 1.36 | 1.78 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 6.86 | 4.10 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 8.10 | 5.20 | 1.32 | 1.75 | 2.02 | 2.05 | 1.69 | |
| 7.00 | 4.70 | 1.38 | 1.76 | 1.93 | 2.02 | 1.68 | |
| 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
Betano | 6.70 | 4.25 | 1.38 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 2.07 | 1.67 |
BetVictor | 8.50 | 4.60 | 1.36 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Ballkani stands at 0 wins for either team, with 1 draw. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to find the back of the net. This lack of scoring suggests a defensive approach from both teams, and with no victories recorded, the fixture remains evenly matched historically. As it stands, the absence of wins for either side in their sole meeting points to a balanced rivalry.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonGAP Connah S Quay FC have won 1 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Ballkani 0-0 and drew with Colwyn Bay 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 4D 4L from the last 11 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Ballkani have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Ballkani 0-0 and lost to Sileks 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 1D 7L from the last 12 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGAP Connah S Quay FC
No reported absences
Ballkani
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. I. Jonsson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. I. Jonsson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC average 1.0 goals per match at home; Ballkani 1.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ballkani have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 33% of their matches and averaging 1.0 goals per game. Ballkani player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
