Haiti vs Scotland Prediction, Tips & Odds
Haiti vs Scotland
Match Preview
The model favours Scotland to win against Haiti, projecting a scoreline of 0-1. This matchup in the group stage is crucial for both teams, as they look to secure a positive start in Group C. Scotland enters the tournament with a stronger competitive edge, having won four of their last eight matches, including a notable victory against Denmark. While their recent form includes some setbacks, the overall trajectory suggests they are capable of performing under pressure. Haiti, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a mixed bag of results in their last eight competitive outings. They have secured wins against teams like Nicaragua and Costa Rica, but their recent friendly performances indicate some inconsistency, particularly with a loss to Tunisia. As they embark on this World Cup journey, they will need to harness their strengths to compete effectively against a well-rounded Scottish side. Both teams come into this match with no reported absentees, allowing them to field their strongest line-ups. However, the stakes are high, and the pressure of the World Cup stage can lead to unpredictable outcomes. The neutral venue at Gillette Stadium adds another layer of uncertainty, as neither team will have familiar surroundings to rely on. In conclusion, while Scotland appears to hold the upper hand based on recent form and overall competitive experience, the nature of tournament football means anything can happen. The SureTipsPro Analysis Team has developed this prediction based on an in-house model that assesses aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context.
About the Teams
Haiti
Scotland
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Scotland have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Scotland win as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Scotland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Haiti vs Scotland| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.49 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 6.70 | 4.45 | 1.52 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 2.02 | 1.71 | |
| 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.47 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 2.10 | 1.73 | |
| 6.69 | 4.35 | 1.52 | 1.99 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 6.50 | 4.13 | 1.50 | 1.94 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 5.50 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 6.45 | 4.45 | 1.54 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 2.02 | 1.72 | |
| 7.00 | 4.30 | 1.48 | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 6.40 | 4.15 | 1.53 | 1.98 | 1.88 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Group C Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Morocco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 3 |  Brazil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 4 | Haiti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHaiti have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Peru 1-2 and beat New Zealand 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 4L from the last 11 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Scotland have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Scotland 0-4 and lost to Scotland 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 1D 3L from the last 11 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHaiti4-4-2Confirmed
Scotland4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHaiti
No reported absences
Scotland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Mustapha Ghorbal, Algeria has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Mustapha Ghorbal, Algeria to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Haiti have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Scotland 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Scotland have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 64% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Scotland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
