Haiti vs Scotland Prediction, Tips & Odds
Haiti vs Scotland
Match Preview
Scotland enters this match against Haiti with a clear edge, having secured three points in the group stage and a more competitive recent form. Although they have only one win from three matches, their overall performance in qualifying was stronger, finishing first in their qualifying group with 11 points. In contrast, Haiti has struggled significantly in this tournament, losing all three of their group matches with a goal difference of -6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams are participating in the World Cup for the first time in several editions, with Scotland looking to build on their recent competitive form that includes notable victories, such as a 4-2 win against Denmark. Manager Steve Clarke has been at the helm since 2019 and has instilled a tactical identity that has yielded some positive results in recent friendlies. Haiti, managed by Sylvain Migné since March 2024, will need to address their defensive issues to stand any chance against Scotland. The stakes are particularly high for Scotland, who can still aim for a better finish despite their mixed results in the group. A win here could potentially boost their confidence and set a foundation for future tournaments. However, it’s important to note the unpredictability of international fixtures, where teams come together with limited preparation time. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has assessed this fixture through an in-house model that analyzes aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context.
About the Teams
Haiti
Scotland
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Scotland leads 1-0)Haiti and Scotland have met once in their history, with Scotland winning that match 1-0 during the 2026 World Cup. Since there is only one competitive meeting between the two teams, the sample is too small to claim a pattern. The result from this recent encounter does suggest that Scotland holds a slight edge over Haiti, but without additional matches to analyze, it is difficult to draw any firm conclusions about their head-to-head dynamics.
Group C Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHaiti have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Peru 1-2 and beat New Zealand 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 4L from the last 11 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Scotland have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Scotland 0-4 and lost to Greece 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 1D 3L from the last 11 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHaiti
No reported absences
Scotland
No reported absences
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
