Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ivory Coast vs Norway
Match Preview
Ivory Coast and Norway face off in a crucial knockout match in the World Cup, with both teams looking to secure a place in the Round of 16. Both sides finished second in their respective groups, each accumulating six points from three matches. Ivory Coast scored four goals while conceding two, whereas Norway found the net eight times but allowed seven goals, indicating a more open style of play. Historically, Ivory Coast has participated in the last three World Cups but has not progressed beyond the group stage. In contrast, Norway's absence from recent tournaments adds an element of unpredictability, as they aim to prove themselves on this stage. The managerial experience of D. Belmadi for Ivory Coast and S. Solbakken for Norway could play a significant role in shaping their tactical approaches in this knockout format. Recent competitive form shows that Ivory Coast has struggled with consistency, losing to Germany and Egypt, while Norway has demonstrated a more positive trajectory, including a notable victory against Italy. The contrasting recent performances suggest Norway may have a slight edge in confidence heading into this match. One caveat to consider is the limited sample size of recent competitive data, which may not fully reflect the teams' capabilities under tournament pressure. Bookmakers have not yet priced this fixture, so no model probabilities are available. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses the matchup through aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the context of the tournament.
About the Teams
Ivory Coast
Norway
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Norway have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Norway are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ivory Coast vs Norway| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.14 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 3.55 | 3.58 | 2.15 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 2.12 | |
| 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.20 | |
| 3.67 | 3.45 | 2.17 | 1.93 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 3.47 | 3.43 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.10 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.58 | 3.62 | 2.17 | 1.89 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 2.03 | |
| 3.65 | 3.45 | 2.05 | 1.86 | 1.94 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 3.65 | 3.45 | 2.18 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Norway leads 1-0)In their only competitive meeting, Norway defeated Ivory Coast 2-1 at the 2026 World Cup. With just one match in this head-to-head record, it is too small a sample to draw any meaningful conclusions about a trend. The result is recent, but without additional matches, we cannot assess the tactical dynamics between these teams.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonIvory Coast have won 2 of their last 3 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ivory Coast 3-0 and drew with Ivory Coast 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 2L from the last 11 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Norway have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Norway 1-2 and drew with Morocco 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 2L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedIvory Coast4-1-4-1Confirmed
Norway4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersIvory Coast
No reported absences
Norway
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Valenzuela has averaged 1.3 yellow cards per match across 3 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ivory Coast have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Norway 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Norway have generated 2.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Norway player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
