Tammeka vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tammeka vs Laagri
Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka to win against Laagri, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tammeka currently sits in 5th place in the Meistriliiga standings, having accumulated 23 points from 16 matches. Their recent form shows they have won three of their last five games, indicating a solid performance. With 18 goals scored and a goal difference of -2, Tammeka has proven to be competitive, particularly in their attacking play. On the other hand, Laagri is positioned 8th with 19 points from 17 matches, showing a struggling season so far. With only 6 wins and a troubling goal difference of -9, their recent form is concerning, as they have managed just one win in their last five matches. This downturn in form suggests difficulties in both scoring and defending, which could hinder their chances against a mid-table team like Tammeka. The model output indicates a win probability of 60% for Tammeka, with Laagri at 20%, and the remaining 20% for a draw. One caveat to consider is that if Laagri can improve their defensive organization and capitalize on counter-attacks, they could pose a threat to Tammeka. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Tammeka have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tammeka are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tammeka vs Laagri| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.93 | 3.52 | 3.24 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.49 | 2.38 | |
| 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.92 | 3.71 | 3.49 | 1.59 | 2.27 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.25 | 2.94 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.90 | 3.54 | 3.44 | 1.54 | 2.19 | 1.51 | 2.36 | |
| 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.45 | 1.45 | 2.45 | 1.42 | 2.55 | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 1.53 | 2.20 | — | — |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.46 | 1.94 | 1.40 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tammeka leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Tammeka and Laagri, Tammeka has won 6 times, Laagri has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Tammeka achieving several decisive victories, including a notable 5-2 win in a Cup match. However, Laagri also managed to secure a significant 4-1 win against Tammeka. Overall, while Tammeka has a stronger record, the presence of competitive matches suggests that Laagri can pose a challenge, particularly highlighted by their recent win.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 46 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 36 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 34 | WDDLD |
| 4 |  Paide | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 32 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Tammeka | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 8 | Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 | LLDWD |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 10 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTammeka have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Laagri 2-1 and beat Trans Narva 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 3D 11L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Laagri have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Laagri 2-1 and lost to Paide 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 12L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTammeka
No reported absences
Laagri
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
T. Uprus has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by T. Uprus to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Tammeka average 1.4 goals per match at home; Laagri 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Tammeka have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 46% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Tammeka player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.