Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Trans Narva with a projected scoreline of 3-0. FC Levadia Tallinn currently sits at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, boasting an impressive record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and no losses this season. With 45 goals scored and only 13 conceded, they have a goal difference of +32, which highlights their dominance in both attack and defence. Their recent form has been strong, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, indicating a team in excellent shape. On the other hand, Trans Narva struggles at the bottom of the table, positioned 10th with just 10 points from 17 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 13 losses reflects ongoing difficulties, with a concerning goal difference of -29. In their last five matches, they have only managed one win, alongside three losses and a draw. This form suggests that they are finding it challenging to compete at this level, especially against a strong opponent like FC Levadia Tallinn. The model output suggests a high win probability for FC Levadia Tallinn, reflecting their current form and league standing. However, a potential caveat could be an unexpected lapse in concentration or an off day, which could allow Trans Narva to capitalize. For a detailed explanation of the prediction model, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 66% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 12.00 | 5.75 | 1.18 | 1.38 | 2.85 | 1.80 | 1.83 | |
| 13.75 | 6.55 | 1.13 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.89 | 1.77 | |
| 11.00 | 6.00 | 1.15 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 11.24 | 6.98 | 1.18 | 1.38 | 2.85 | — | — | |
| 8.49 | 5.61 | 1.18 | — | — | — | — | |
| 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.18 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 10.00 | 6.25 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 13.20 | 6.55 | 1.13 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.89 | 1.80 | |
| 11.00 | 6.00 | 1.17 | 1.43 | 2.48 | 2.02 | 1.66 | |
| 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 2.80 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.21 | — | — | — | — |
BetVictor | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.13 | 1.29 | 2.38 | 1.70 | 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Trans Narva and FC Levadia Tallinn, FC Levadia Tallinn has won 7 times, Trans Narva has won once, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided contest, with FC Levadia Tallinn achieving several convincing victories, including a 4-0 win and a 3-1 win. Trans Narva’s only victory was a 3-0 win in a friendly match, which stands out against the backdrop of otherwise narrow defeats and a couple of low-scoring draws. The last time Trans Narva managed to win in this fixture was in January 2026, highlighting their struggles against this opponent.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 46 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 36 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 34 | WDDLD |
| 4 |  Paide | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 32 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 | LLDWD |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 10 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTrans Narva have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 and lost to Nõmme United 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 18L from the last 29 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 12 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 0-5 and beat Trans Narva 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 4L from the last 29 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTrans Narva
No reported absences
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Reinumagi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by E. Reinumagi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Trans Narva average 1.3 goals per match at home; FC Levadia Tallinn 2.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 66% of their matches and averaging 2.5 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.