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Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves

NPFLRegular Season - 1
Bendel Insurance
#8 ยท NPFL
LWLWD
2 - 1
Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Warri Wolves
#17 ยท NPFL
WLLLW

Match Preview

The model favours Bendel Insurance to win this match against Warri Wolves, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bendel Insurance enters the season with an 8th position standing, having shown a mixed form in their last five matches with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The team has demonstrated resilience, managing to secure points in tight contests, which could prove beneficial as they look to establish momentum early in the season. On the other hand, Warri Wolves currently sit in 11th place and have struggled with their recent form, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to start the season on a strong note. As they seek to improve, the Wolves will need to find stability and build synergy within their squad to challenge effectively. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Bendel Insurance, alongside the projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is that both teams are starting their season, and the lack of competitive match experience could lead to unexpected outcomes. The full methodology behind this prediction is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Bendel Insurance2 Draw0 Warri Wolves
22 Mar
Warri Wolves
0-0
Bendel Insurance
NPFL
Nov 25
Bendel Insurance
1-1
Warri Wolves
NPFL

The head-to-head record between Bendel Insurance and Warri Wolves stands at 0 wins for Bendel Insurance, 0 wins for Warri Wolves, and 2 draws. This indicates a tightly contested matchup, with both teams unable to secure a victory in their last two encounters. The scorelines of 0-0 and 1-1 reflect a pattern of low-scoring matches, suggesting that both defenses have performed well against each other. Neither side has won in their recent meetings, highlighting the evenly matched nature of these fixtures.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Doma United
43016429
LWWW
2
Barau FC
42206248
DWDW
3
Kano Pillars
32109547
WWD
4
Rivers United
32105147
DWW
5
Enugu Rangers
32107437
WWD
6
Plateau United
42115417
WDWL
8
Bendel Insurance
42027616
LWLW
17
Warri Wolves
310224-23
WLL
18
Inter Lagos
410326-43
WLLL
19
Kun Khalifat FC
402248-42
LLDD
20
Enyimba
300315-40
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Bendel InsuranceHome
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 6 ยท GA 33.00 pts/game
Warri WolvesAway
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 1 ยท GA 40.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Bendel InsuranceWarri Wolves
1.44Goals p.g.0.96
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1.35
32%Clean sheets43%
44%Win rate35%
2.64Avg goals in match2.3
Bendel Insurance
Recent Form

Bendel Insurance have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bendel Insurance 4-2 and beat Bendel Insurance 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 7L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bendel InsuranceAll competitions
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2-1
Bendel Insurance
NPFL
13 Sept
Bendel Insurance
4-2
Kun Khalifat FC
NPFL
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1-0
Bendel Insurance
NPFL
30 Aug
Bendel Insurance
2-1
Warri Wolves
NPFL
06 Jun
Bendel Insurance
3-3
El Kanemi Warriors
Federation Cup
01 Jun
Bendel Insurance
3-1
Crown FC
Federation Cup
11
Win
44%
7
Draw
28%
7
Lost
28%
Warri Wolves
Recent Form

Warri Wolves have won 1 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rivers United 2-0 and lost to Bendel Insurance 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 11L from the last 23 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Warri WolvesAll competitions
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1-0
Kwara United
NPFL
16 Sept
Rivers United
2-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
30 Aug
Bendel Insurance
2-1
Warri Wolves
NPFL
01 Jun
Bida Lions
2-0
Warri Wolves
Federation Cup
24 May
Warri Wolves
2-1
Abia Warriors
NPFL
10 May
Kano Pillars
1-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
8
Win
35%
4
Draw
17%
11
Lost
48%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Bendel Insurance

No reported absences

Warri Wolves

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.