Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia Prediction, Tips & Odds

Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia

UEFA Champions League1st Qualifying Round
Borac Banja Luka
DLDWW
1 - 1
Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka
Referee: M. Turkmen
Levski Sofia
DWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.7%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.2% vs 62.7%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Borac Banja Luka to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Borac Banja Luka has shown strong form recently, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance indicates a solid attacking capability and resilience, which will be crucial in a knockout stage. On the other hand, Levski Sofia is also in decent shape, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings. While they have not lost recently, their results suggest a tendency to settle for draws, which could be a disadvantage in a high-stakes match like this. The ability to convert opportunities into victories will be key for them. The model output indicates a competitive fixture, with Borac Banja Luka holding a win probability advantage. However, it's important to note that if Levski Sofia can find their scoring touch and exploit any defensive lapses, they could disrupt the prediction. The full method, which utilises expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has worked diligently to analyse the data at hand for this matchup.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Borac Banja Luka Win34%3.21
Draw25%3.04
Levski Sofia Win41%2.22
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7951.1%

Borac Banja Luka have kept a clean sheet in 54% of matches. Levski Sofia average 2.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5957.3%

Borac Banja Luka manage games at home, conceding just 0.69 goals per match. Levski Sofia score 2.00 on the road.

Correct Score
Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Levski Sofia
5.5118.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Levski Sofia -0.0
1.5635%

Levski Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.51
18.2%
0-1
5.88
17.1%
0-0
7.13
14.1%
1-0
7.70
13.1%
1-2
8.37
12.1%
0-2
9.23
10.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Borac Banja Luka
-0.0
2.32
Levski Sofia
+0.0
1.56
Borac Banja Luka
-0.3
2.65
Levski Sofia
+0.3
1.91
Borac Banja Luka
-0.5
2.95
Levski Sofia
+0.5
2.17
Borac Banja Luka
-1.5
7.50
Levski Sofia
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Levski Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.253.102.182.201.621.851.77
Marathonbet
3.283.102.252.291.601.931.76
Betfair
3.102.902.252.201.601.801.91
Pinnacle
3.273.092.232.321.59
SBO
2.892.892.18
William Hill
3.252.902.201.911.80
Bet365
3.203.002.152.351.572.001.73
1xBet
3.383.122.212.291.601.931.78
Unibet
3.153.102.252.231.571.921.77
888Sport
3.103.002.252.251.601.911.80
Betano
3.203.102.272.271.601.931.78
BetVictor
3.403.202.252.181.591.931.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
Over 1.5 Goals
66.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
42.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
22.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBorac Banja Luka or Draw
60%1.59
12Borac Banja Luka or Levski Sofia
75%1.31
X2Draw or Levski Sofia
66%1.31

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Borac Banja Luka1 Draw0 Levski Sofia
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League

The head-to-head record between Borac Banja Luka and Levski Sofia stands at one match, with each team earning one draw and no wins for either side. The only encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with both teams managing to score. Given the limited sample size, it is challenging to draw broader conclusions; however, the absence of a decisive victory for either club suggests a balanced rivalry thus far.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
1.77Goals p.g.2
0.69Goals conceded p.g.0.46
54%Clean sheets54%
54%Win rate54%
2.46Avg goals in match2.46
Borac Banja Luka
Recent Form

Borac Banja Luka have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 and drew with IMT Novi Beograd 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 5D 1L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Borac Banja LukaAll competitions
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
29 Jun
Akhmat
3-1
Borac Banja Luka
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
IMT Novi Beograd
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Borac Banja Luka
1-0
Sutjeska
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
Jedinstvo
0-8
Borac Banja Luka
Friendlies Clubs
26 May
Borac Banja Luka
2-0
Posušje
Premijer Liga
7
Win
54%
5
Draw
38%
1
Lost
8%
Levski Sofia
Recent Form

Levski Sofia have won 1 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 and drew with CSKA 1948 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 5D 1L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Levski SofiaAll competitions
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
30 Jun
Levski Sofia
5-0
Radnik Surdulica
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Levski Sofia
1-1
Botev Vratsa
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Levski Sofia
6-0
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jun
Levski Sofia
4-0
Akademik Svishtov
Friendlies Clubs
25 May
CSKA 1948
0-0
Levski Sofia
First League
7
Win
54%
5
Draw
38%
1
Lost
8%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Borac Banja Luka

No reported absences

Levski Sofia

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.59 (57.3%)
Value Bets
Borac Banja Luka Win3.21 (34.4%)
Draw3.04 (25.1%)
Levski Sofia Win2.22 (40.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.26 (42.7%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (48.9%)
BTTS No1.79 (51.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Turkmen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Turkmen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Borac Banja Luka average 1.8 goals per match at home; Levski Sofia 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Levski Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. Levski Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia Predictions, Stats, H2H - 7 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt