Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia Prediction, Tips & Odds

Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia

UEFA Champions League1st Qualifying Round
Borac Banja Luka
LDWWW
VS
Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka
Referee: M. Turkmen
Levski Sofia
WDWWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 (implied 61.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.56). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.9% vs 61.4%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Borac Banja Luka to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Borac Banja Luka has shown strong form recently, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance indicates a solid attacking capability and resilience, which will be crucial in a knockout stage. On the other hand, Levski Sofia is also in decent shape, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings. While they have not lost recently, their results suggest a tendency to settle for draws, which could be a disadvantage in a high-stakes match like this. The ability to convert opportunities into victories will be key for them. The model output indicates a competitive fixture, with Borac Banja Luka holding a win probability advantage. However, it's important to note that if Levski Sofia can find their scoring touch and exploit any defensive lapses, they could disrupt the prediction. The full method, which utilises expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has worked diligently to analyse the data at hand for this matchup.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Borac Banja Luka Win34%3.42
Draw25%3.11
Levski Sofia Win42%2.12
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8050.6%

Borac Banja Luka have kept a clean sheet in 58% of matches. Levski Sofia average 2.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6356.2%

Borac Banja Luka manage games at home, conceding just 0.67 goals per match. Levski Sofia score 2.08 on the road.

Correct Score
Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Levski Sofia
5.6617.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Levski Sofia -0.0
1.5136%

Levski Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.66
17.8%
0-1
6.10
16.5%
0-0
7.37
13.7%
1-0
8.10
12.5%
1-2
8.22
12.3%
0-2
8.82
11.4%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Borac Banja Luka
-0.0
2.43
Levski Sofia
+0.0
1.51
Borac Banja Luka
-0.3
2.87
Levski Sofia
+0.3
1.80
Borac Banja Luka
-0.5
2.95
Levski Sofia
+0.5
2.17
Borac Banja Luka
-1.5
8.00
Levski Sofia
+1.5
4.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Levski Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.453.102.10
Marathonbet
3.303.202.192.181.661.861.82
Betfair
3.403.202.052.201.651.831.83
William Hill
3.503.002.101.911.80
Bet365
3.303.002.052.151.671.911.80
1xBet
3.563.152.132.231.631.921.79
Unibet
3.153.102.252.231.571.921.77
888Sport
3.503.002.102.201.621.911.80
Betano
3.453.152.122.201.621.901.80
BetVictor
3.603.252.152.141.601.931.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
67.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
43.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBorac Banja Luka or Draw
58%1.65
12Borac Banja Luka or Levski Sofia
75%1.31
X2Draw or Levski Sofia
67%1.28

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
1.83Goals p.g.2.08
0.67Goals conceded p.g.0.42
58%Clean sheets58%
58%Win rate58%
2.5Avg goals in match2.5
Borac Banja Luka
Recent Form

Borac Banja Luka have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Borac Banja Luka 1-1 and beat Borac Banja Luka 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 1L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Borac Banja LukaAll competitions
29 Jun
Akhmat
3-1
Borac Banja Luka
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
IMT Novi Beograd
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Borac Banja Luka
1-0
Sutjeska
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
Jedinstvo
0-8
Borac Banja Luka
Friendlies Clubs
26 May
Borac Banja Luka
2-0
Posušje
Premijer Liga
22 May
Radnik Bijeljina
0-0
Borac Banja Luka
Premijer Liga
7
Win
58%
4
Draw
33%
1
Lost
8%
Levski Sofia
Recent Form

Levski Sofia have won 1 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include drew with CSKA 1948 0-0 and drew with Ludogorets 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 1L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Levski SofiaAll competitions
30 Jun
Levski Sofia
5-0
Radnik Surdulica
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Levski Sofia
1-1
Botev Vratsa
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Levski Sofia
6-0
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jun
Levski Sofia
4-0
Akademik Svishtov
Friendlies Clubs
25 May
CSKA 1948
0-0
Levski Sofia
First League
16 May
Levski Sofia
2-0
CSKA Sofia
First League
7
Win
58%
4
Draw
33%
1
Lost
8%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Borac Banja Luka

No reported absences

Levski Sofia

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.63 (56.2%)
Value Bets
Borac Banja Luka Win3.42 (33.5%)
Levski Sofia Win2.12 (41.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.19 (43.8%)
Both Teams Score1.90 (49.4%)
BTTS No1.80 (50.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.11 (24.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Turkmen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Turkmen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Borac Banja Luka average 1.8 goals per match at home; Levski Sofia 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Levski Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 58% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. Levski Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.