Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win this match against Shanghai Shenhua, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian currently sits in 3rd place in the league, having played 15 matches with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. With 22 points, their goal difference stands at -4, indicating they have struggled defensively. However, they have shown flashes of attacking potential, scoring 21 goals this season. On the other hand, Shanghai Shenhua is positioned 12th in the league, with 15 matches completed, accumulating 13 points through 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. They have been more defensively sound, with a goal difference of +5, having scored 29 goals while conceding 24. However, their recent form is concerning, as they have not secured a win in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 58% for Dalian Zhixing, suggesting they are the clear favourites. Despite this, one caveat is that if Dalian's defensive issues resurface, it could allow Shanghai to capitalize and potentially secure a result. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season, providing a robust basis for these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Dalian Zhixing have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Dalian Zhixing are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.46 | 3.65 | 2.46 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.45 | |
| 2.43 | 3.58 | 2.58 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.48 | 3.82 | 2.68 | 1.59 | 2.42 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.18 | 2.41 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.50 | 3.68 | 2.66 | 1.60 | 2.37 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.55 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.32 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Shanghai Shenhua leads 3-0)In the last four matches between Dalian Zhixing and Shanghai Shenhua, the record stands at 0 wins for Dalian Zhixing, 1 draw, and 3 wins for Shanghai Shenhua. This indicates a clear advantage for Shanghai Shenhua, with three victories, two of which were achieved with a margin of at least two goals, suggesting a tendency for heavier wins. The only draw occurred in a high-scoring match, while Dalian has struggled to secure any wins, with their last victory against Shanghai Shenhua coming well before this sample. Overall, the fixtures reflect a one-sided historical trend favoring Shanghai Shenhua.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 | DDWWL |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 24 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 24 | LWLDL |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 19 | WWDLD |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 8 | LLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian Zhixing have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wuhan Three Towns 3-2 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shanghai Shenhua have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Dalian Zhixing 1-4 and beat Hebei Kungfu 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 9L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Shanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dalian Zhixing have averaged 7.1 corners per match at home; Shanghai Shenhua 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dalian Zhixing have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dalian Zhixing player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
