Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian Zhixing currently sits in 3rd place in the league standings, having accumulated 22 points from 15 matches. Their season has been a mix of results, with seven wins, one draw, and seven losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -4, their attacking capabilities are evident with 21 goals scored, which highlights their potential to find the net. On the other hand, Wuhan Three Towns is struggling in 15th place with only 8 points, having recorded just two wins against a backdrop of seven draws and six losses. They have scored 22 goals but have conceded 30, leading to a goal difference of -8. The team's inability to secure a win in their last five matches, where they have drawn all five, reflects their challenges in converting chances into victories. The model indicates a win probability of 58% for Dalian Zhixing and suggests they are likely to score two goals, while Wuhan Three Towns may manage one. However, the caveat lies in Dalian's inconsistency, as their recent form shows only one win in the last five matches. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Dalian Zhixing have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Dalian Zhixing clean sheets, in line with their 23% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Dalian Zhixing are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.35 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 1.65 | 3.88 | 4.65 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.71 | 3.99 | 4.85 | 1.74 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 1.61 | 3.31 | 3.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.60 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.70 | 4.04 | 4.74 | 1.70 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.60 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.60 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.63 | 2.09 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 1-0)In the last three encounters between Dalian Zhixing and Wuhan Three Towns, the record stands at 0 wins for Dalian Zhixing, 2 draws, and 1 win for Wuhan Three Towns. The scorelines indicate a competitive history, with one match resulting in a heavy 4-1 victory for Wuhan Three Towns, while the other two matches ended in draws, reflecting a tighter contest. The most recent draw suggests that Dalian Zhixing has been able to secure points against their opponents, though they have not won any of the last three meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 | DDWWL |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 24 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 24 | LWLDL |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 8 | LLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian Zhixing have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wuhan Three Towns 3-2 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Wuhan Three Towns have won 0 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wuhan Three Towns 3-2 and lost to Beijing Guoan 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 9D 14L from the last 26 games (12% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Wuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dalian Zhixing have averaged 7.1 corners per match at home; Wuhan Three Towns 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dalian Zhixing have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dalian Zhixing player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
