Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City to win against Qingdao Jonoon, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Chengdu currently sits at the top of the league, boasting an impressive record of 12 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from 15 matches. Their goal difference of +20, with 33 goals scored and only 13 conceded, highlights their strong defensive capabilities and effective attacking play. Despite a couple of recent losses, their overall form remains solid, indicating they are likely to bounce back. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon is struggling in 14th place with just 10 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, combined with a negative goal difference of -3, suggests ongoing difficulties both offensively and defensively. Their recent form is particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five matches and only one draw. This lack of momentum could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a top-tier team like Chengdu. According to the model, Chengdu has a high win probability, reflecting their current form and league position. However, one caveat is that if Qingdao can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Chengdu, they may have a chance to disrupt the expected outcome. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Chengdu Better City have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Chengdu Better City win as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Chengdu Better City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.10 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.15 | |
| 5.30 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 5.30 | 4.47 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 4.26 | 3.53 | 1.52 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 5.75 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 5.51 | 4.32 | 1.58 | 1.60 | 2.37 | 1.62 | 2.17 | |
| 5.10 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 5.10 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Chengdu Better City leads 6-1)In their last eight encounters, Qingdao Jonoon has won 1 match, drawn 1, and Chengdu Better City has won 6 times. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Chengdu Better City to dominate, with several matches ending in narrow victories, but also a significant 5-1 win for Chengdu. The lone victory for Qingdao came in a closely contested 3-2 match, while their last win against Chengdu was over a year ago. This head-to-head record suggests a challenging historical context for Qingdao Jonoon when facing Chengdu Better City.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 | |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 5 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Jonoon have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 and beat Qingdao Jonoon 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 11L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Chengdu Better City have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Chengdu Better City 0-4 and lost to Dalian Zhixing 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 6L from the last 25 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Chengdu Better City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Chengdu Better City 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chengdu Better City have generated 2.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chengdu Better City player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.