Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win against Hangzhou Greentown, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Qingdao Youth Island currently sits in 6th place in the league standings, having played 15 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced approach, with 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, resulting in 18 points. Their recent form is encouraging, going unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws, which suggests they are finding their rhythm. On the other hand, Hangzhou Greentown is just one position behind in 7th place, also with 15 matches played. They have secured 6 wins but have also faced 5 losses, resulting in 17 points. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches. This inconsistency could be a concern as they look to challenge Qingdao. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Qingdao Youth Island, reflecting their solid recent performances. However, it is essential to note that a single moment of brilliance from Hangzhou could change the course of the match. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results across the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Qingdao Youth Island have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Qingdao Youth Island are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.46 | 3.60 | 2.46 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.59 | 2.29 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.68 | 3.74 | 2.51 | 1.61 | 2.37 | — | — | |
| 2.51 | 3.23 | 2.27 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.45 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.68 | 3.60 | 2.52 | 1.62 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.47 | |
| 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.55 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 3-2)In their last five encounters, Hangzhou Greentown leads with three wins to Qingdao Youth Island's two, with no matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, including two narrow wins for Qingdao Youth Island with a 2-1 and a 5-2 victory, while Hangzhou Greentown's wins have been more consistent, featuring two 2-0 victories and a 2-1 win. This suggests that while Qingdao Youth Island has had moments of success, Hangzhou Greentown has generally had the upper hand in recent meetings. The closest match was Qingdao's 5-2 win, highlighting the potential for high-scoring games.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 | |
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 5 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth Island have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 and drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 12D 6L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Hangzhou Greentown 1-1 and beat Henan Jianye 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 11D 7L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Qingdao Youth Island have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Qingdao Youth Island player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.