Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win against Shanghai SIPG, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao currently sits in 6th place in the league standings, with a record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses from 15 matches. Their recent form has been positive, going unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. The team's ability to maintain possession and create chances is evident, as they have scored 17 goals this season, despite conceding 23. In contrast, Shanghai SIPG is positioned 13th, having secured 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in the same number of matches. Their goal tally stands at 23, but they have a stronger defensive record with only 21 goals conceded. However, their inconsistent performance is reflected in their recent form, where they have managed only 2 wins and 2 draws from their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a critical factor as they face a solid Qingdao side. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Qingdao Youth Island, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is their expected goal advantage based on performance metrics this season. However, if Qingdao fails to convert their chances or if Shanghai manages to find their rhythm, the outcome could differ. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
Qingdao Youth Island have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Qingdao Youth Island are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.92 | 3.60 | 2.14 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.45 | |
| 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.09 | 1.56 | 2.35 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.13 | 1.58 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| 2.73 | 3.04 | 2.06 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.09 | 3.67 | 2.22 | 1.59 | 2.39 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.20 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.27 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 3-0)In the last five matches between Qingdao Youth Island and SHANGHAI SIPG, Qingdao Youth Island has won 0 times, there have been 2 draws, and SHANGHAI SIPG has won 3 matches. The scorelines indicate a tendency towards higher-scoring games, with SHANGHAI SIPG winning by margins of 4-1 and 5-3, suggesting a one-sided nature in those encounters. The two draws, both high-scoring at 2-2 and 3-3, reflect some competitiveness, though Qingdao Youth Island has not secured a victory against SHANGHAI SIPG in this sample. The absence of wins for Qingdao Youth Island highlights their struggles in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 | |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 5 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth Island have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 and drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 12D 6L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat SHANGHAI SIPG 1-2 and lost to Shenyang Urban 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 8D 11L from the last 25 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Qingdao Youth Island have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Qingdao Youth Island player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.