Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu

Super LeagueRegular Season - 17
Tianjin Teda
#15 · Super League
WLDWD
3 - 0
TEDA Football Stadium, Tianjin
Sichuan Jiuniu
#9 · Super League
WLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.1%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 60.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.65). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.6% vs 58.1%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tianjin Teda to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tianjin Teda currently sits at 16th in the standings, having secured only three wins from 15 matches this season. Their season has been marked by a mix of draws and losses, with a total of 19 goals scored and 21 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -2. While they have struggled to find consistent form, their recent performances show some promise, with two draws and a win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu is positioned 9th in the league, with five wins from their 15 games. Their overall record includes 20 goals scored and 25 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -5. Despite a challenging season, they have shown improvement in their recent form, with three wins in their last five matches. However, their inconsistency remains a concern, as they have also suffered from a high number of losses. The model indicates a win probability of 47% for Tianjin Teda, while Sichuan Jiuniu has a 28% chance of winning. A key market percentage suggests that the odds are leaning towards a Tianjin Teda victory. One caveat to consider is that if Sichuan Jiuniu can maintain their recent form, they may pose a greater challenge than anticipated. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Tianjin Teda Win45%2.14
Draw23%3.37
Sichuan Jiuniu Win32%3.15
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7254.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8450.6%

Tianjin Teda manage games at home, conceding just 1.26 goals per match. Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.32 on the road.

Correct Score
Tianjin Teda 1-1 Sichuan Jiuniu
6.2316.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Tianjin Teda -0.5
2.1539%

Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 26% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.23
16.1%
1-0
7.47
13.5%
2-1
8.15
12.3%
0-1
9.29
10.9%
2-0
9.82
10.3%
0-0
10.81
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Tianjin Teda clean sheets, in line with their 26% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Tianjin Teda
-0.0
1.56
Sichuan Jiuniu
+0.0
2.35
Tianjin Teda
-0.3
1.88
Sichuan Jiuniu
+0.3
2.55
Tianjin Teda
-0.5
2.15
Sichuan Jiuniu
+0.5
2.85
Tianjin Teda
-1.5
4.50
Sichuan Jiuniu
+1.5
6.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.153.403.001.931.801.731.93
Marathonbet
2.103.423.221.901.851.721.98
Betfair
2.153.503.101.901.871.732.10
Pinnacle
2.163.583.371.961.91
SBO
2.042.992.821.891.83
William Hill
2.103.253.201.702.05
Bet365
2.153.403.301.951.851.752.00
1xBet
2.163.523.321.921.901.722.01
Unibet
2.233.303.051.901.781.702.00
888Sport
2.103.253.201.911.831.702.05
Betano
2.183.503.001.881.851.751.98
BetVictor
2.103.303.201.851.821.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTianjin Teda or Draw
68%1.32
12Tianjin Teda or Sichuan Jiuniu
77%1.27
X2Draw or Sichuan Jiuniu
56%1.64

Head to Head

Last 5 Meetings (Tianjin Teda leads 3-2)
3 Tianjin Teda0 Draw2 Sichuan Jiuniu
14 Mar
Sichuan Jiuniu
1-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Sept 25
Tianjin Teda
1-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
May 25
Sichuan Jiuniu
1-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Jun 24
Tianjin Teda
3-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
Mar 24
Sichuan Jiuniu
0-4
Tianjin Teda
Super League

In the last five matches between Tianjin Teda and Sichuan Jiuniu, Tianjin Teda has won 3 times, while Sichuan Jiuniu has secured 2 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided encounters, with three matches ending in narrow 1-0 results. However, Tianjin Teda has also achieved two heavy wins, including a 4-0 victory. The close nature of several matches suggests a level of competitiveness, yet Tianjin Teda's stronger recent performances, particularly in the more decisive fixtures, highlight their slight edge in this rivalry.

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Chengdu Better City
18133238172142
DDWWL
2
Chongqing Tongliang Long
187742220228
DLWLW
3
Dalian Zhixing
178182531-625
WLLWD
4
Shandong Luneng
189363431324
WLWLD
5
Yunnan Yukun
187383433124
LWLDL
6
Qingdao Youth Island
185942228-624
LWWDW
9
Sichuan Jiuniu
1862102531-620
WLLWW
14
Qingdao Jonoon
176382728-114
DWLLL
15
Tianjin Teda
17467222208
WLWDL
16
Wuhan Three Towns
172782434-108
LLDDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Tianjin TedaHome
2W3D4L
9 playedGF 12 · GA 121.00 pts/game
Sichuan JiuniuAway
1W1D6L
8 playedGF 5 · GA 160.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Tianjin TedaSichuan Jiuniu
1.26Goals p.g.1.32
1.26Goals conceded p.g.1.5
26%Clean sheets14%
26%Win rate36%
2.52Avg goals in match2.82
1.11xG per game1.00
42%Possession %48%
3.6Shots on target / game3.8
4.6Corners per game5.9
Tianjin Teda
Recent Form

Tianjin Teda have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0 and beat Dalian Zhixing 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 9D 11L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Tianjin TedaAll competitions
04 Jul
Tianjin Teda
3-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
27 Jun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
19 Jun
Rizhao Yuqi
1-1
Tianjin Teda
FA Cup
31 May
Tianjin Teda
1-0
Dalian Zhixing
Super League
23 May
SHANGHAI SIPG
1-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
19 May
Tianjin Teda
1-2
Henan Jianye
Super League
7
Win
26%
9
Draw
33%
11
Lost
41%
Sichuan Jiuniu
Recent Form

Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 3-0 and beat Shenzhen Juniors 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 15L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Sichuan JiuniuAll competitions
11 Jul
Sichuan Jiuniu
3-0
Qingdao Youth Island
Super League
04 Jul
Tianjin Teda
3-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
27 Jun
Sichuan Jiuniu
2-3
Chengdu Better City
Super League
19 Jun
Shenzhen Juniors
1-3
Sichuan Jiuniu
FA Cup
30 May
Sichuan Jiuniu
3-2
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
24 May
Shanghai Shenhua
1-2
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
10
Win
36%
3
Draw
11%
15
Lost
54%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tianjin Teda

No reported absences

Sichuan Jiuniu

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Tianjin Teda Win2.14 (44.5%)
Sichuan Jiuniu Win3.15 (32.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (49.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.84 (50.6%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (54%)
BTTS No2.01 (46%)
Speculative
Draw3.37 (23.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Sichuan Jiuniu 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Tianjin Teda have generated 1.11 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 26% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu Predictions, Stats, H2H - 4 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt