Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win against Henan Jianye, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in 4th place in the league, having accumulated 21 points from 15 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced attack and defence, scoring 27 goals while conceding 24, resulting in a positive goal difference of 3. Their recent form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, indicates a team that is competitive and capable of securing points. On the other hand, Henan Jianye is positioned 11th in the standings with 15 points, also from 15 matches. They have the same win-loss record as Yunnan Yukun, but their goal difference is concerning at -2, having scored only 16 goals while conceding 18. Despite a decent recent form of four wins and one loss in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has been less consistent, which could impact their chances against a higher-ranked opponent. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Yunnan Yukun, with a projected score of 2-1. A possible caveat is that if Henan Jianye finds a way to exploit defensive lapses or if Yunnan Yukun struggles to maintain their recent form, the match could swing in an unexpected direction. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.54 | 1.48 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 2.48 | 3.56 | 2.53 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.40 | 2.68 | |
| 2.45 | 3.90 | 2.40 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.60 | 3.77 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 2.63 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.38 | 2.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.45 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.55 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.56 | 3.67 | 2.61 | 1.54 | 2.61 | 1.40 | 2.73 | |
| 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.60 | 1.52 | 2.32 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.65 | 1.50 | 2.47 | 1.42 | 2.67 |
BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Henan Jianye stands at one win for each side and one draw over their last three meetings. The match results indicate a competitive rivalry, with two of the three fixtures ending with a scoreline of 2-1, suggesting that while the matches have featured some narrow outcomes, they have also produced a mix of close contests and a shared ability to secure victory. The draw in their most recent encounter highlights the balance between the teams, with neither side managing to dominate historically in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 | DDWWL |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 24 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 24 | LWLDL |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 15 | LLLWW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 8 | LLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Yunnan Yukun 2-1 and lost to Yunnan Yukun 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 10L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Henan Jianye have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Henan Jianye 2-1 and beat Jiangxi Liansheng 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 10L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Henan Jianye 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 1.41 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
