AC Horsens vs Viborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs Viborg
Match Preview
The model favours Viborg to win this match against AC Horsens, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Viborg currently sits in second place in the Superliga standings, having played four matches this season, securing two wins, one draw, and one loss. Their goal tally shows a solid attacking performance with three goals scored, while they have only conceded two, resulting in a positive goal difference of one. This form indicates a competitive side that has been effective in both ends of the pitch. In contrast, AC Horsens finds themselves at the bottom of the standings in twelfth place, having played three matches without a win. They have managed just one draw alongside two losses, scoring only two goals while conceding five, which gives them a negative goal difference of three. Their recent form has been concerning, with four consecutive losses in their last five matches, highlighting a struggle to find stability and momentum. The model gives Viborg a win probability of approximately 70%, suggesting a strong likelihood of success in this fixture. However, the caveat lies in AC Horsens potentially capitalising on any complacency from Viborg, especially given that they are playing at home. For a detailed breakdown of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which utilises an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Viborg have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Viborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs Viborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.40 | 3.95 | 1.70 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 4.45 | 3.98 | 1.68 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.40 | 4.07 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 2.23 | — | — | |
| 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 4.40 | 3.98 | 1.70 | 1.65 | 2.19 | 1.62 | 2.16 | |
| 4.70 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
Betano | 4.45 | 4.05 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viborg leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between AC Horsens and Viborg, Viborg has won 7 times, AC Horsens has won once, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Viborg, with several heavy victories, including a 4-0 and a 4-2 win, suggesting a tendency for one-sided matches. AC Horsens' lone victory came back in 2016, and they have not managed to score more than two goals in any of their recent encounters. Overall, the historical data reflects a dominant performance by Viborg in this fixture.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Brondby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WDWW |
| 5 |  FC Copenhagen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | LWWW |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 5 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lyngby 2-1 and lost to Brondby 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 5L from the last 17 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Viborg have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Sonderjyske 0-0 and lost to Brondby 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 12L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAC Horsens
No reported absences
Viborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Viborg 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viborg have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
