Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag Prediction, Tips & Odds
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Match Preview
The model favours Feyenoord to win against ADO Den Haag, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Feyenoord currently sits in 8th place in the Eredivisie after two matches, having secured one win and one draw. Their goal tally stands at three goals scored and two conceded, reflecting a positive goal difference of one. The team's recent form is strong with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating a solid start to the season. In contrast, ADO Den Haag finds themselves in 16th place, having lost both of their opening fixtures with a disappointing goal record of just one goal scored and six conceded. This poor start has left them without any points, and their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, which suggests they are struggling to find consistency. According to the model, Feyenoord has a strong win probability for this match. However, one caveat is that if ADO Den Haag manages to improve their defensive performance, they could pose a threat. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 60% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Feyenoord win as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Feyenoord clean sheets, in line with their 28% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.50 | 1.30 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.13 | 8.20 | 15.00 | 1.25 | 3.30 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 1.14 | 7.50 | 15.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 8.40 | 14.72 | 1.29 | 3.58 | — | — | |
| 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.14 | 9.20 | 16.50 | 1.25 | 3.30 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
Betano | 1.18 | 7.50 | 14.50 | 1.32 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag, Feyenoord has won 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and ADO Den Haag has won 2 times. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, with several close encounters; five matches ended with a margin of just one goal. Notably, ADO Den Haag's last victory against Feyenoord was in May 2021, while both teams have managed to score in many fixtures. The presence of three draws suggests a pattern of closely contested matches, but Feyenoord has had the upper hand overall.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WWD |
| 3 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DW |
| 16 |  Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LL |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFeyenoord have won 10 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with GO Ahead Eagles 2-2 and beat Atalanta 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 4L from the last 25 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
ADO Den Haag have won 5 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to ADO Den Haag 3-1 and lost to AZ Alkmaar 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 4L from the last 14 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFeyenoord
No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Feyenoord have averaged 6.9 corners per match at home; ADO Den Haag 7.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Feyenoord have generated 2.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 60% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
