ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Prediction, Tips & Odds
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
Match Preview
The model favours ADO Den Haag to win against Cambuur, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently, ADO Den Haag sits in 17th place in the Eredivisie, having played five matches with one point from one draw and four losses. Their goal difference of -8 reflects defensive struggles, but they have managed to score six goals, indicating some attacking potential. Cambuur, on the other hand, is at the bottom of the table in 18th place, also with one point from five games. They share the same record of one draw and four losses, but their goal difference of -12 suggests significant defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 18 goals while scoring only six. Their form has been particularly concerning, with five consecutive losses. The model gives ADO Den Haag a higher win probability, reflecting their marginally better form and standings. However, the caveat is that both teams have struggled this season, and a lack of winning experience could lead to an unpredictable match. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
ADO Den Haag have been the stronger side, winning 69% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. ADO Den Haag are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.83 | 3.92 | 3.66 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 1.91 | 4.07 | 3.77 | 1.50 | 2.69 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.47 | 3.41 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.89 | 4.04 | 3.78 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.45 | 2.56 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.52 | 2.62 | 1.47 | 2.57 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Cambuur leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between ADO Den Haag and Cambuur, Cambuur leads with 6 wins compared to ADO Den Haag's 2 victories, along with 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tightly contested matches, including four games decided by a single goal. However, Cambuur has demonstrated a stronger edge, winning by margins of 2 or more goals in three instances, including a notable 4-1 victory in the KNVB Beker. ADO Den Haag last won against Cambuur in April 2024, highlighting their struggle to secure victories in recent encounters.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Excelsior | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Twente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 16 |  Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | LDLL |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonADO Den Haag have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with ADO Den Haag 0-0 and beat ADO Den Haag 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 2D 2L from the last 13 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Cambuur have won 1 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Bologna 3-1 and lost to Excelsior 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 2D 8L from the last 14 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersADO Den Haag
No reported absences
Cambuur
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Allard Lindhout has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Allard Lindhout to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
ADO Den Haag have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Cambuur 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
ADO Den Haag have generated 2.11 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 69% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. ADO Den Haag player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
