Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
Match Preview
The model favours Fenerbahçe to win this match against Eyüpspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fenerbahçe currently sits in 7th place in the Süper Lig standings, having played four matches this season. With two wins and two losses, they have scored eight goals while conceding six, indicating a goal difference of plus two. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, highlighting their competitive edge. In contrast, Eyüpspor finds themselves in 16th place with only one win out of four matches. They have struggled offensively, managing just two goals while conceding six, resulting in a goal difference of minus four. Their form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, which raises concerns about their ability to perform against a stronger opponent like Fenerbahçe. According to the model, Fenerbahçe has a significant advantage with a win probability that reflects their better league position and recent form. However, a potential caveat is that if Eyüpspor can capitalize on defensive lapses, they could pull off an upset. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Fenerbahçe have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Fenerbahçe win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Fenerbahçe clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Fenerbahçe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.14 | 7.80 | 14.75 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 1.14 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 2.25 | 1.62 | |
| 1.17 | 8.21 | 16.09 | 1.40 | 3.00 | — | — | |
| 1.16 | 6.66 | 11.56 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 7.50 | 13.00 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.15 | 9.40 | 17.50 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 2.05 | 1.69 | |
Betano | 1.20 | 7.70 | 16.00 | 1.45 | 2.87 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Fenerbahçe leads 2-0)The head-to-head record between Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor shows Fenerbahçe winning 2 matches, drawing 1, and Eyüpspor not winning any. The scorelines indicate a competitive but ultimately favorable trend for Fenerbahçe, with two victories and a single draw. Fenerbahçe's wins include a decisive 3-0 and a closer 2-1, while the draw featured a 1-1 score. Eyüpspor has struggled to secure a win against Fenerbahçe in recent encounters, highlighting a lack of success, especially considering their last victory over Fenerbahçe has not occurred in this sample.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFenerbahçe have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Beşiktaş 1-2 and beat Konyaspor 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 5D 5L from the last 30 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Eyüpspor have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Eyüpspor 3-0 and drew with Fenerbahçe 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 10L from the last 24 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFenerbahçe
No reported absences
Eyüpspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Saglam has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Saglam to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Fenerbahçe have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Eyüpspor 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fenerbahçe have generated 1.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fenerbahçe player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
