Göztepe vs Rizespor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Göztepe vs Rizespor
Match Preview
The model favours Rizespor to win against Göztepe, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Rizespor currently sits in 9th place in the Süper Lig standings, having secured 6 points from their first three matches. With two wins and one loss, their season has shown promise, highlighted by a balanced goal difference of zero, indicating they have managed to match their goals scored with those conceded. On the other hand, Göztepe finds itself struggling at 17th place, having earned just one point from their opening three fixtures. Their form has been inconsistent, reflected in their record of no wins, one draw, and two losses. With five goals conceded and only two scored, they face significant challenges in both defence and attack, which could hinder their efforts to turn the season around. According to our model, Rizespor has a win probability of approximately 60%, while Göztepe sits at around 20%. The key market percentage indicates a strong likelihood of Rizespor securing the three points. However, Göztepe could pull off a surprise if they manage to tighten their defence and capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.
Göztepe have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Göztepe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Göztepe vs Rizespor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.39 | 3.32 | 2.82 | 1.66 | 2.14 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.45 | 3.49 | 2.96 | 1.69 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.19 | 3.29 | 2.85 | 1.71 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.49 | 3.46 | 2.94 | 1.72 | 2.22 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.64 | 2.07 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Göztepe leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Göztepe and Rizespor, Göztepe has won 5 times, Rizespor has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mixture of outcomes, with Göztepe securing several convincing wins including 3-0 and 3-1 results, while Rizespor's notable victory was a high-scoring 6-3 match. The presence of a 1-7 defeat highlights a particularly lopsided result for Göztepe, but overall, the encounters have been competitive, with a blend of close and more decisive games. The last win for Rizespor came in 2021, suggesting a slight edge for Göztepe in more recent matchups.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 | Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 | Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGöztepe have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Göztepe 0-1 and beat Göztepe 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 6L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rizespor have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rizespor 1-2 and beat NK Osijek 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 9L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGöztepe
No reported absences
Rizespor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Cakir has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Cakir to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Göztepe have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Rizespor 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Göztepe have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Göztepe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
