Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction, Tips & Odds

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5
Akron
#16 · Premier League
DLLLW
0 - 3
Samara Arena, Samara
Referee: A. Prokopov
Krylia Sovetov
#15 · Premier League
DLLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 65.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.4% vs 62.9%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Krylia Sovetov to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Krylia Sovetov currently sits in 13th position in the league, having played three matches this season. Their form has been relatively steady with two draws and one loss, scoring one goal and conceding three, leading to a goal difference of -2. While they have yet to secure a victory, their defensive record suggests they have been competitive in their matches. On the other hand, Akron finds themselves in a precarious 15th position, with a troubling start to their campaign. They have yet to win any of their three matches, managing only one draw and suffering two defeats. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, having netted just one goal while conceding seven, resulting in a goal difference of -6. This poor form may impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model gives Krylia Sovetov a win probability of approximately 55%, reflecting their slightly better standing and form. However, a caveat exists; if Akron can improve their defensive stability and capitalize on any chances they create, they could make this a closer contest than anticipated. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Akron Win37%2.88
Draw24%3.39
Krylia Sovetov Win39%2.44
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5958.4%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7854.5%

Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Akron 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
6.0516.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Krylia Sovetov -0.0
1.8033%

Krylia Sovetov have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.05
16.5%
1-2
8.83
11.3%
0-1
8.93
11.2%
2-1
9.78
10.2%
1-0
9.88
10.1%
2-2
11.35
8.8%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Akron
-0.0
2.10
Krylia Sovetov
+0.0
1.80
Akron
-0.3
2.35
Krylia Sovetov
+0.3
2.03
Akron
-0.5
2.70
Krylia Sovetov
+0.5
2.30

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Krylia Sovetov are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.853.402.521.782.051.592.21
Pinnacle
2.933.502.461.792.09
SBO
2.753.232.301.772.07
1xBet
3.003.482.521.832.131.582.26
Superbet
2.853.352.401.752.001.602.20

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAkron or Draw
61%1.57
12Akron or Krylia Sovetov
77%1.31
X2Draw or Krylia Sovetov
63%1.40

Head to Head

Last 6 Meetings (Akron leads 3-2)
3 Akron1 Draw2 Krylia Sovetov
Jul 25
Akron
1-1
Krylia Sovetov
Premier League
Mar 25
Krylia Sovetov
0-2
Akron
Premier League
Nov 24
Akron
2-0
Krylia Sovetov
Premier League
Jun 22
Krylya Sovetov
0-3
Akron
Friendlies Clubs
May 21
Akron
1-2
Krylya Sovetov
First League
Nov 20
Krylya Sovetov
3-0
Akron
First League

In the last six matches between Akron and Krylia Sovetov, Akron has won 3 times, Krylia Sovetov has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several narrow wins; Akron's victories include two by a margin of 2-0 or more, while Krylia Sovetov's wins include a significant 3-0 result. The draw in their most recent meeting suggests that the teams are closely matched, although Akron has had the upper hand in recent encounters. Krylia Sovetov's last win was over two years ago, indicating a potential shift in the balance of power.

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
440094512
WWWW
2
CSKA Moscow
532074311
WWDDW
3
Zenit
4301122109
WLWW
4
Spartak Moscow
43018449
WLWW
5
Dinamo Makhachkala
43019639
WLWW
6
Baltika
42026516
LWWL
14
Fakel
502336-32
DLDLL
15
Krylia Sovetov
402227-52
LLDD
16
Akron
4022410-62
DDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AkronHome
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 1 · GA 70.00 pts/game
Krylia SovetovAway
0W2D0L
2 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AkronKrylia Sovetov
1.15Goals p.g.1.38
1.7Goals conceded p.g.1.59
21%Clean sheets22%
30%Win rate31%
2.85Avg goals in match2.97
49%Possession %45%
3.4Shots on target / game4.2
4.6Corners per game4.8
Akron
Recent Form

Akron have won 5 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 12. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Akron 0-4 and lost to Akron 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 18L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AkronAll competitions
08 Aug
Lokomotiv
0-0
Akron
Premier League
04 Aug
Akron
0-4
FC Rostov
Cup
01 Aug
Akron
1-2
Rubin
Premier League
25 Jul
Akron
0-5
Zenit
Premier League
18 Jul
Akron
2-1
Krylia Sovetov
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Akron
0-1
Dynamo
Friendlies Clubs
10
Win
30%
5
Draw
15%
18
Lost
55%
Krylia Sovetov
Recent Form

Krylia Sovetov have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 and drew with CSKA Moscow 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 14L from the last 32 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Krylia SovetovAll competitions
19 Aug
Krylia Sovetov
0-0
Zenit
Cup
16 Aug
Krylia Sovetov
1-4
Dinamo Makhachkala
Premier League
08 Aug
Krylia Sovetov
0-2
Baltika
Premier League
04 Aug
Dinamo Makhachkala
1-2
Krylia Sovetov
Cup
01 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1-1
Krylia Sovetov
Premier League
25 Jul
Dynamo
0-0
Krylia Sovetov
Premier League
10
Win
31%
8
Draw
25%
14
Lost
44%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

3 players

Akron2

I. Nedelcearu
QuestionableInjury
Y. Zheleznov
QuestionableInjury

Krylia Sovetov1

C. Geoffrey
Missing FixtureRed Card

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.59 (58.4%)
Value Bets
Akron Win2.88 (37.3%)
Krylia Sovetov Win2.44 (39.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.78 (54.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (45.5%)
BTTS No2.22 (41.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.39 (23.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

A. Prokopov has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Akron have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Krylia Sovetov 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Krylia Sovetov have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 31% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Krylia Sovetov player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.