Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
Match Preview
The model favours Avispa Fukuoka to win against Vissel Kobe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the second-placed team in the standings, Avispa Fukuoka enters the season with a strong form from their last five matches, securing two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their recent performances suggest a competitive edge as they look to build momentum early in the season. On the other hand, Vissel Kobe, currently positioned in 12th place, also has a mixed form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown some resilience, their placement indicates they will need to improve significantly to challenge higher-ranked teams like Avispa Fukuoka. According to the model output, Avispa Fukuoka holds a higher win probability in this matchup. However, the potential for an upset exists, especially if Vissel Kobe can capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Avispa Fukuoka have kept a clean sheet in 8% of matches. Vissel Kobe average 1.5 goals per game.
Avispa Fukuoka manage games at home, conceding just 1.69 goals per match. Vissel Kobe score 1.53 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.1% probability.
Vissel Kobe have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Vissel Kobe win as the most likely scoreline at 19.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Vissel Kobe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.90 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 1.62 | |
| 3.90 | 3.22 | 1.98 | 2.42 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.95 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.93 | 3.27 | 2.01 | 2.59 | 1.50 | — | — | |
| 3.99 | 3.30 | 2.03 | 2.42 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
Betano | 3.95 | 3.15 | 2.00 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Vissel Kobe leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Avispa Fukuoka and Vissel Kobe, Vissel Kobe has won 7 times, Avispa Fukuoka has won 2, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a clear advantage for Vissel Kobe, with several matches ending in narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also includes a notable 3-0 victory. The draw frequency is low, suggesting that these encounters often result in a decisive outcome. Avispa Fukuoka's last win against Vissel Kobe was in March 2025, highlighting that they have struggled to compete in recent fixtures.
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mito Hollyhock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Kyoto Sanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 |  Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonAvispa Fukuoka have won 3 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Osaka 3-2 and lost to Kitakyushu 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 11D 8L from the last 26 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Vissel Kobe have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kashima 2-0 and beat Avispa Fukuoka 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 7L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAvispa Fukuoka
No reported absences
Vissel Kobe
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Vissel Kobe 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Vissel Kobe have generated 1.54 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Vissel Kobe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
