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Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 1
Bayern München
#7 · UEFA Champions League
WWWWW
5 - 0
Allianz Arena, Munich
Bodo/Glimt
#8 · UEFA Champions League
WLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 (implied 61.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 65.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.54). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.1% vs 61.3%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. The price even sits above our fair value, so you are paid more than the true probability suggests.

Match Preview

The model favours Bayern München to win against Bodo/Glimt, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Bayern München comes into this match in exceptional form, having won their last five matches consecutively. This strong run not only highlights their current momentum but also reflects their overall dominance in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League. Their attacking prowess is evident, and they are likely to leverage this against Bodo/Glimt. Bodo/Glimt, however, should not be underestimated. They have matched Bayern's impressive form, also registering five consecutive wins. This level of performance suggests they are a resilient side capable of competing at high levels. Their recent success indicates they can pose a challenge, especially if they can capitalize on any lapses in Bayern's defence. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for Bayern München, with a projected score of 3-1. However, a potential caveat is that Bodo/Glimt's recent form could lead to an unexpected challenge, especially if they manage to convert their chances effectively. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Bayern München Win75%1.09
Draw11%12.45
Bodo/Glimt Win15%22.44
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6365.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.1082.6%

Combined goal output is high (6.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Bayern München 4-0 Bodo/Glimt
9.5110.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 10.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Bayern München -0.5
1.0869%

Bayern München have been the stronger side, winning 81% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
4-0
9.51
10.6%
3-0
9.59
10.5%
4-1
10.53
9.6%
3-1
10.65
9.5%
5-0
11.43
8.8%
2-0
12.60
8.0%

Our model projects a 4-0 Bayern München win as the most likely scoreline at 10.6% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Bayern München clean sheets, in line with their 24% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Bayern München
-0.0
1.02
Bodo/Glimt
+0.0
8.40
Bayern München
-0.5
1.08
Bodo/Glimt
+0.5
16.00

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Bayern München are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.119.1016.501.135.751.572.30
Marathonbet
1.0913.5025.001.085.601.672.07
Betfair
1.0813.0023.001.087.001.502.50
Pinnacle
1.0813.4825.36————
SBO
1.0810.1214.92————
William Hill
1.0812.0021.00——1.702.10
Bet365
1.0711.0023.001.126.001.702.05
1xBet
1.1014.6027.001.085.651.672.11
Unibet
1.0714.0026.001.087.501.662.16
888Sport
1.1011.0019.001.116.501.572.38
Betano
1.1013.0025.001.136.101.622.20
Superbet
1.0912.0020.001.116.801.632.22
BetVictor
1.0615.0026.001.077.001.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
98.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
93.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
82.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
71.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBayern München or Draw
86%1.01
12Bayern München or Bodo/Glimt
89%1.04
X2Draw or Bodo/Glimt
25%7.58

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Bayern München1 Draw0 Bodo/Glimt
10 Sept
Bayern München
0-0
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League

The head-to-head record between Bayern München and Bodo/Glimt shows 0 wins for Bayern, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt. Their only encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating a tightly contested match despite Bayern's notable stature. With no victories recorded for either side, this matchup has yet to demonstrate a clear advantage, and the low-scoring result suggests a defensive approach from both teams.

UEFA Champions League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
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WD
2
Arsenal
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3
Aston Villa
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4
Atletico Madrid
00000000
5
Borussia Dortmund
00000000
6
Barcelona
00000000
7
Bayern München
00000000
8
Bodo/Glimt
00000000
WWWD
34
VfB Stuttgart
00000000
35
Viking
00000000
WD
36
Villarreal
00000000

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Bayern MünchenHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
Bodo/GlimtAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Bayern MünchenBodo/Glimt
3.19Goals p.g.2.77
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.16
24%Clean sheets39%
81%Win rate75%
4.43Avg goals in match3.93
2.53xG per game2.01
-0.29xGA per game-0.10
65%Possession %60%
7.6Shots on target / game5.8
6.5Corners per game6.6
Bayern München
Recent Form

Bayern München have won 15 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Union Berlin 7-0 and beat Bodo/Glimt 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 30W 4D 3L from the last 37 games (81% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bayern MünchenAll competitions
18 Sept
Bayern München
7-0
Union Berlin
Bundesliga
13 Sept
SV Elversberg
1-2
Bayern München
Bundesliga
10 Sept
Bayern München
5-0
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
02 Sept
VfL Osnabrück
1-4
Bayern München
DFB Pokal
28 Aug
Bayern München
5-1
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga
22 Aug
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
Bayern München
Super Cup
30
Win
81%
4
Draw
11%
3
Lost
8%
Bodo/Glimt
Recent Form

Bodo/Glimt have won 14 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 2-6 and lost to Brann 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 33W 5D 6L from the last 44 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bodo/GlimtAll competitions
01 Oct
Rana
2-6
Bodo/Glimt
NM Cupen
20 Sept
Brann
2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3-2
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
10 Sept
Bayern München
5-0
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4-2
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0-5
Bodo/Glimt
NM Cupen
33
Win
75%
5
Draw
11%
6
Lost
14%

Lineups

Confirmed

Bayern München4-2-3-1Confirmed

27K. LaimerDEF
2D. UpamecanoDEF
4J. TahDEF
19A. DaviesDEF
9H. KaneFWD
1M. NeuerGK
14L. DíazMID
10J. MusialaMID
17M. OliseMID
45A. PavlovićMID
6J. KimmichMID
11N. BrownDEF
44J. StanišićDEF
21H. ItoDEF
3Kim Min-JaeDEF
23S. BoeyDEF
26S. UlreichGK
40J. UrbigGK
39Bara NdiayeMID
42L. KarlMID
8T. BischofMID
34I. SaibariMID

Bodo/Glimt4-3-3Confirmed

4O. BjørtuftDEF
15F. BjørkanDEF
20F. SjøvoldDEF
2V. NielsenDEF
8S. AuklendFWD
11O. Didrik BlombergFWD
9A. HelmersenFWD
12N. HaikinGK
19S. FetMID
16J. KitolanoMID
7P. BergMID
5H. AleesamiDEF
25I. MäättäDEF
17O. BrynhildsenFWD
1J. Faye LundGK
32K. SolhaugMID
10J. HaugeMID
22J. MvukaMID
14U. SaltnesMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Bayern München

No reported absences

Bodo/Glimt

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Bayern München Win1.09 (74.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.10 (82.6%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (65.1%)
Value Bets
BTTS No2.20 (34.9%)
Speculative
Draw12.45 (10.7%)
Bodo/Glimt Win22.44 (14.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals6.39 (17.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Bayern München have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Bayern München have generated 2.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 81% of them. They put 7.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bayern München player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.